AFC South · 2014
Houston Texans
Record
9-7
Net EPA
+0.085est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.031
- Success rate40.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.046
- EPA / rush-0.120
- Explosive rate8.8%
- CPOE-2.14
- Third-down rate38.0%
- Red-zone TD rate52.8%
- Points / drive1.63
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.115
- Success rate allowed42.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.091
- EPA / rush allowed-0.157
- Explosive rate allowed7.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.2%
- Sack rate5.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.28
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.031 · 33th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.115 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-6-1
+3.6 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-2-1
As favorite
6-2
As dog
3-4-1
O/U
8-8
-1.3 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2014
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Commanders | W 17-6 | -3 | +0.010 |
| 2 | @ Raiders | W 30-14 | -3 | +0.164 |
| 3 | @ Giants | L 17-30 | +1 | -0.118 |
| 4 | vs Bills | W 23-17 | -3 | -0.273 |
| 5 | @ Cowboys | L 17-20 | +5 | -0.034 |
| 6 | vs Colts | L 28-33 | +2.5 | -0.053 |
| 7 | @ Steelers | L 23-30 | +3 | +0.003 |
| 8 | @ Titans | W 30-16 | -3.5 | +0.137 |
| 9 | vs Eagles | L 21-31 | +1.5 | -0.009 |
| 11 | @ Browns | W 23-7 | +4.5 | +0.074 |
| 12 | vs Bengals | L 13-22 | -3 | -0.161 |
| 13 | vs Titans | W 45-21 | -7 | +0.184 |
| 14 | @ Jaguars | W 27-13 | -6.5 | +0.089 |
| 15 | @ Colts | L 10-17 | +7 | -0.281 |
| 16 | vs Ravens | W 25-13 | +6 | -0.179 |
| 17 | vs Jaguars | W 23-17 | -8.5 | -0.070 |