AFC South · 2017

Houston Texans

Record

4-12

Net EPA

-0.145est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.053
Success rate40.4%
EPA / dropback-0.004
EPA / rush-0.126
Explosive rate7.9%
CPOE-2.95
Third-down rate36.6%
Red-zone TD rate63.3%
Points / drive1.47
Turnover rate2.6%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.031
Success rate allowed41.3%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.133
EPA / rush allowed-0.118
Explosive rate allowed9.8%
Pressure rate (proxy)16.9%
Sack rate5.4%
Points / drive allowed1.94

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.053 · 37th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.031 · 85th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-9

-2.5 vs line

Home

3-5

Away

4-4

As favorite

2-3

As dog

5-6

O/U

7-9

+5.8 vs total

Roster

104 players

55 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks6

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	T.J. Yates	QB	30	6'4" 217	6	North Carolina	ACT
3	Tom Savage	QB	27	6'4" 230	3	Pittsburgh	RES
4	Deshaun Watson	QB	23	6'2" 215	R	Clemson	RES
5	Josh Johnson	QB	31	6'3" 198	9	San Diego	ACT
8	Taylor Heinicke	QB	24	6'1" 210	2	Old Dominion	ACT
11	Matt McGloin	QB	29	6'1" 210	4	Penn State	CUT

Backs & receivers29

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	25	6'1" 215	4	Clemson	ACT
11	DeAndrew White	WR	27	6'0" 192	2	Alabama	ACT
12	Bruce Ellington	WR	26	5'9" 200	3	South Carolina	RES
13	Braxton Miller	WR	26	6'2" 205	1	Ohio State	ACT
14	Chris Thompson	WR	23	6'0" 175	R	Florida	ACT
15	Damaris Johnson	WR	—	5'8" 175	5	Tulsa	ACT
15	Will Fuller	WR	23	6'0" 180	1	Notre Dame	ACT
16	Devin Lucien	WR	24	6'2" 200	1	Arizona State	ACT
16	Deante' Gray	WR	23	5'10" 174	R	Texas Christian	RES
16	Germone Hopper	WR	—	6'0" 181	R	Clemson	CUT
17	Cobi Hamilton	WR	28	6'2" 201	4	Arkansas	ACT
22	Jordan Todman	RB	27	5'10" 200	6	Connecticut	ACT
26	Lamar Miller	RB	26	5'10" 220	5	Miami	ACT
27	D'Onta Foreman	RB	21	6'0" 235	R	Texas	RES
28	Alfred Blue	RB	26	6'2" 225	3	LSU	ACT
33	Troymaine Pope	RB	25	5'8" 205	1	Jacksonville State	DEV
34	Tyler Ervin	RB	25	5'10" 180	1	San Jose State	RES
38	Andre Ellington	RB	28	5'9" 199	4	Clemson	ACT
45	Jay Prosch	RB	25	6'1" 255	3	Auburn	ACT
81	Devin Street	WR	—	6'3" 200	3	Pittsburgh	CUT
82	Wendall Williams	WR	—	5'10" 175	1	Cumberland College	CUT
84	Ryan Griffin	TE	27	6'6" 255	4	Connecticut	RES
85	MyCole Pruitt	TE	25	6'2" 243	2	Southern Illinois	RES
85	Marcus Leak	WR	—	6'0" 210	1	Maryland	CUT
86	Zach Conque	TE	23	6'4" 225	R	Stephen F. Austin St.	DEV
87	C.J. Fiedorowicz	TE	27	6'5" 265	3	Iowa	RES
88	RaShaun Allen	TE	—	6'4" 250	3	Southern University	CUT
88	Ryan Malleck	TE	24	6'4" 253	1	Virginia Tech	ACT
89	Stephen Anderson	TE	24	6'3" 230	1	California	ACT

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Kyle Fuller	OL	23	6'4" 307	R	Baylor	ACT
62	Chad Slade	OL	25	6'3" 315	2	Auburn	ACT
63	Kendall Lamm	OL	25	6'6" 310	2	Appalachian State	ACT
64	Dorian Johnson	OL	24	6'5" 305	R	Pittsburgh	CUT
65	Greg Mancz	OL	25	6'4" 310	2	Toledo	ACT
66	Nick Martin	OL	24	6'4" 300	1	Notre Dame	RES
68	Breno Giacomini	OL	33	6'7" 318	9	Louisville	ACT
68	Jake Rodgers	OL	27	6'6" 320	2	Eastern Washington	DEV
70	Julie'n Davenport	OL	22	6'7" 318	R	Bucknell	ACT
71	Xavier Su'a-Filo	OL	26	6'4" 320	3	UCLA	ACT
72	Derek Newton	OL	31	6'6" 315	6	Arkansas State	PUP
74	Chris Clark	OL	33	6'5" 305	9	Southern Mississippi	RES
75	Jah Reid	OL	29	6'7" 325	6	Central Florida	CUT
77	David Quessenberry	OL	27	6'5" 306	4	San Jose State	ACT
78	Erik Austell	OL	25	6'3" 300	R	Charleston Southern	DEV
79	Jeff Allen	OL	27	6'4" 306	5	Illinois	ACT

Defensive front30

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Zach Cunningham	LB	24	6'3" 234	R	Vanderbilt	ACT
42	Shakeel Rashad	LB	—	6'2" 235	1	North Carolina	CUT
44	Jelani Jenkins	LB	25	6'0" 245	4	Florida	ACT
47	Kennan Gilchrist	LB	24	6'1" 230	R	Appalachian State	DEV
48	Mike Catapano	LB	—	6'4" 270	4	Princeton	CUT
50	Ben Heeney	LB	25	6'0" 230	2	Kansas	RES
50	Avery Williams	LB	—	5'10" 225	R	Temple	CUT
51	Dylan Cole	LB	23	6'0" 220	R	Missouri State	ACT
52	Brian Peters	LB	30	6'4" 240	3	Northwestern (Ia)	ACT
53	Gimel President	LB	24	6'3" 275	R	Illinois	ACT
54	Sio Moore	LB	—	6'1" 245	4	Connecticut	CUT
54	LaTroy Lewis	LB	25	6'3" 255	R	Tennessee	ACT
55	Benardrick McKinney	LB	26	6'4" 260	2	Mississippi State	ACT
56	Brian Cushing	LB	30	6'3" 255	8	USC	ACT
57	Brennan Scarlett	LB	24	6'4" 265	1	Stanford	RES
58	Dayon Pratt	LB	—	6'4" 240	R	East Carolina	CUT
59	Whitney Mercilus	LB	27	6'4" 260	5	Illinois	RES
69	Matt Godin	DL	25	6'6" 295	R	Michigan	RES
90	Jadeveon Clowney	LB	24	6'5" 270	3	South Carolina	ACT
91	Marcus Hardison	DL	25	6'3" 310	2	Arizona State	DEV
91	Carlos Watkins	DL	25	6'3" 309	R	Clemson	ACT
92	Brandon Dunn	DL	26	6'2" 310	3	Louisville	ACT
93	Joel Heath	DL	24	6'6" 300	1	Michigan State	ACT
94	Ufomba Kamalu	LB	26	6'6" 295	1	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
95	Christian Covington	DL	25	6'2" 290	2	Rice	RES
96	Kendall Langford	DL	31	6'6" 299	9	Hampton	CUT
96	Chunky Clements	DL	24	6'2" 295	R	Illinois	ACT
97	Angelo Blackson	DL	26	6'4" 318	2	Auburn	ACT
98	D.J. Reader	DL	23	6'3" 325	1	Clemson	RES
99	J.J. Watt	DL	28	6'5" 290	6	Wisconsin	RES

Secondary20

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Marcus Burley	DB	27	5'10" 190	4	Delaware	CUT
21	Marcus Gilchrist	DB	30	5'10" 200	6	Clemson	ACT
23	Kurtis Drummond	DB	25	6'1" 200	2	Michigan State	ACT
24	Johnathan Joseph	DB	33	5'11" 185	11	South Carolina	ACT
25	Kareem Jackson	DB	29	5'10" 185	7	Alabama	ACT
29	Andre Hal	DB	25	5'10" 195	3	Vanderbilt	ACT
30	Kevin Johnson	DB	25	6'0" 185	2	Wake Forest	ACT
31	Treston Decoud	DB	24	6'2" 206	R	Oregon State	ACT
32	Dee Virgin	DB	25	5'9" 194	R	West Alabama	DEV
33	Johnthan Banks	DB	29	6'2" 190	4	Mississippi State	CUT
35	Eddie Pleasant	DB	30	5'10" 200	5	Oregon	ACT
36	Marcus Cromartie	DB	28	6'0" 195	4	Wisconsin	CUT
36	Josh Thornton	DB	26	5'11" 185	R	Southern Utah	DEV
36	Malik Smith	DB	—	6'0" 190	R	San Diego State	CUT
37	Bryce Jones	DB	23	6'0" 180	R	Akron	DEV
38	Marcus Roberson	DB	—	6'0" 191	3	Florida	CUT
39	Lonnie Ballentine	DB	—	6'3" 215	3	Memphis	CUT
39	Ibraheim Campbell	DB	25	5'11" 208	2	Northwestern	ACT
40	Marcus Williams	DB	26	5'11" 196	3	North Dakota State	ACT
43	Corey Moore	DB	24	6'2" 205	2	Georgia	RES

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	23	6'0" 190	1	UCLA	ACT
9	Shane Lechler	P	41	6'2" 230	17	Texas A&M	ACT
46	Jon Weeks	LS	31	5'10" 250	7	Baylor	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Houston Texans schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Jaguars	L 7-29	-5.5	-0.418
2	@ Bengals	W 13-9	+5.5	-0.117
3	@ Patriots	L 33-36	+13.5	+0.119
4	vs Titans	W 57-14	+2.5	+0.284
5	vs Chiefs	L 34-42	+2	+0.196
6	vs Browns	W 33-17	-7.5	-0.081
8	@ Seahawks	L 38-41	+6	+0.180
9	vs Colts	L 14-20	-6	-0.123
10	@ Rams	L 7-33	+12	-0.290
11	vs Cardinals	W 31-21	-2.5	+0.023
12	@ Ravens	L 16-23	+7.5	-0.063
13	@ Titans	L 13-24	+7	+0.085
14	vs 49ers	L 16-26	-1	-0.138
15	@ Jaguars	L 7-45	+10.5	-0.271
16	vs Steelers	L 6-34	+8	-0.285
17	@ Colts	L 13-22	+5.5	-0.053