AFC South · 2020

Houston Texans

Record

4-12

Net EPA

-0.038est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.093
Success rate47.8%
EPA / dropback+0.211
EPA / rush-0.193
Explosive rate9.7%
CPOE+6.51
Third-down rate43.5%
Red-zone TD rate63.1%
Points / drive2.25
Turnover rate1.7%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.168
Success rate allowed50.1%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.252
EPA / rush allowed+0.058
Explosive rate allowed11.2%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.6%
Sack rate5.5%
Points / drive allowed2.60

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.093 · 73th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.168 · 95th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

6-10

-3.5 vs line

Home

3-5

Away

3-5

As favorite

2-4

As dog

4-6

O/U

8-8

+2.3 vs total

Roster

85 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	AJ McCarron	QB	31	6'3" 220	6	Alabama	ACT
3	Josh McCown	QB	41	6'4" 218	18	Sam Houston State	INA
4	Deshaun Watson	QB	26	6'2" 221	3	Clemson	ACT

Backs & receivers21

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Artavis Scott	WR	27	5'11" 195	3	Clemson	DEV
11	Steven Mitchell	WR	26	5'10" 186	2	Southern California	ACT
13	Brandin Cooks	WR	28	5'10" 183	6	Oregon State	ACT
15	Will Fuller	WR	26	6'0" 184	4	Notre Dame	RES
16	J'Mon Moore	WR	25	6'3" 205	2	Missouri	DEV
16	Keke Coutee	WR	23	5'11" 180	2	Texas Tech	ACT
17	Chad Hansen	WR	25	6'2" 202	3	California	ACT
18	Randall Cobb	WR	30	5'10" 192	9	Kentucky	RES
19	Damion Ratley	WR	25	6'2" 200	2	Texas A&M	INA
22	Dontrell Hilliard	RB	25	5'11" 202	2	Tulane	ACT
24	C.J. Prosise	RB	26	6'1" 225	4	Notre Dame	CUT
25	Duke Johnson	RB	28	5'9" 210	5	Miami	INA
31	David Johnson	RB	30	6'1" 224	5	Northern Iowa	ACT
38	Buddy Howell	RB	24	6'1" 218	2	Florida Atlantic	ACT
40	Scottie Phillips	RB	24	5'8" 211	R	Mississippi	ACT
44	Cullen Gillaspia	RB	25	6'2" 235	1	Texas A&M	RES
81	Kahale Warring	TE	23	6'5" 250	1	San Diego State	ACT
82	Isaiah Coulter	WR	23	6'3" 190	R	Rhode Island	ACT
85	Pharaoh Brown	TE	26	6'6" 258	3	Oregon	ACT
87	Darren Fells	TE	34	6'7" 270	7	California-Irvine	ACT
88	Jordan Akins	TE	28	6'4" 243	2	Central Florida	ACT

Offensive line14

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
62	Beau Benzschawel	OL	26	6'6" 300	1	Wisconsin	ACT
63	Roderick Johnson	OL	26	6'6" 306	3	Florida State	ACT
64	Senio Kelemete	OL	30	6'3" 300	8	Washington	ACT
65	Greg Mancz	OL	28	6'4" 310	5	Toledo	ACT
66	Nick Martin	OL	27	6'4" 300	4	Notre Dame	ACT
67	Charlie Heck	OL	25	6'8" 315	R	North Carolina	ACT
68	Cohl Cabral	OL	22	6'5" 295	R	Arizona State	DEV
71	Tytus Howard	OL	24	6'5" 322	1	Alabama State	RES
73	Zach Fulton	OL	30	6'5" 321	6	Tennessee	ACT
74	Max Scharping	OL	24	6'6" 325	1	Northern Illinois	ACT
75	Elijah Nkansah	OL	27	6'5" 316	2	Toledo	DEV
76	Brent Qvale	OL	29	6'7" 315	6	Nebraska	RES
77	Hjalte Froholdt	OL	24	6'5" 310	1	Arkansas	RES
78	Laremy Tunsil	OL	26	6'5" 313	4	Mississippi	INA

Defensive front25

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
40	Curtis Bolton	LB	26	6'0" 228	1	Oklahoma	DEV
41	Zach Cunningham	LB	27	6'3" 238	3	Vanderbilt	ACT
48	Nate Hall	LB	24	6'2" 224	1	Northwestern	ACT
49	Davin Bellamy	LB	27	6'5" 259	2	Georgia	DEV
50	Tyrell Adams	LB	28	6'2" 228	5	West Georgia	ACT
51	Dylan Cole	LB	26	6'0" 237	3	Missouri State	RES
52	Emmanuel Ellerbee	LB	25	6'1" 235	2	Rice	DEV
52	Jonathan Greenard	LB	23	6'3" 259	R	Florida	ACT
53	Duke Ejiofor	LB	25	6'4" 255	2	Wake Forest	RES
54	Jacob Martin	DL	26	6'2" 242	2	Temple	ACT
55	Benardrick McKinney	LB	29	6'4" 257	5	Mississippi State	RES
56	Kyle Emanuel	LB	29	6'3" 250	5	North Dakota State	ACT
57	Brennan Scarlett	LB	27	6'4" 263	4	Stanford	ACT
58	Peter Kalambayi	LB	25	6'3" 254	2	Stanford	ACT
59	Whitney Mercilus	LB	30	6'4" 258	8	Illinois	RES
61	Willie Henry	DL	26	6'3" 291	4	Michigan	DEV
90	Ross Blacklock	DL	22	6'3" 305	R	Texas Christian	ACT
91	Carlos Watkins	DL	28	6'3" 297	3	Clemson	ACT
92	Brandon Dunn	DL	29	6'2" 310	6	Louisville	RES
94	Charles Omenihu	DL	23	6'5" 280	1	Texas	ACT
95	Eddie Vanderdoes	DL	27	6'3" 315	3	UCLA	RES
96	P.J. Hall	DL	25	6'0" 305	2	Sam Houston State	RES
97	Andrew Brown	DL	26	6'3" 290	2	Virginia	ACT
98	Auzoyah Alufohai	DL	25	6'4" 320	R	West Georgia	ACT
99	J.J. Watt	DL	31	6'5" 288	9	Wisconsin	ACT

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Justin Reid	DB	23	6'1" 204	2	Stanford	RES
21	Bradley Roby	DB	28	5'11" 194	6	Ohio State	RES
22	Gareon Conley	DB	25	6'0" 190	3	Ohio State	RES
23	Eric Murray	DB	26	5'11" 199	4	Minnesota	RES
24	Geno Stone	DB	21	5'11" 210	R	Iowa	INA
26	Vernon Hargreaves	DB	25	5'10" 204	4	Florida	ACT
27	Manny Patterson	DB	—	— 180	R	—	DEV
28	Michael Thomas	DB	30	5'11" 195	8	Stanford	RES
28	Brandon Williams	DB	29	6'0" 200	4	Texas A&M	DEV
29	Phillip Gaines	DB	29	6'0" 193	6	Rice	INA
30	Cornell Armstrong	DB	26	6'0" 185	2	Southern Mississippi	ACT
32	Lonnie Johnson	DB	26	6'2" 213	1	Kentucky	ACT
33	A.J. Moore	DB	26	5'11" 202	2	Mississippi	ACT
34	John Reid	DB	24	5'10" 181	R	Penn State	ACT
35	Keion Crossen	DB	24	5'10" 185	2	Western Carolina	ACT
36	Jonathan Owens	DB	25	5'11" 210	2	Missouri Western	ACT
39	Mark Fields	DB	25	5'10" 192	1	Clemson	ACT
43	Anthony Chesley	DB	24	6'0" 190	1	Coastal Carolina	DEV

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	26	6'0" 183	4	UCLA	ACT
9	Bryan Anger	P	33	6'3" 205	8	California	ACT
45	Anthony Kukwa	LS	29	6'3" 220	3	Lake Erie	DEV
46	Jonathan Weeks	LS	34	5'10" 242	10	Baylor	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Houston Texans schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Chiefs	L 20-34	+9.5	+0.172
2	vs Ravens	L 16-33	+7.5	-0.186
3	@ Steelers	L 21-28	+4	+0.044
4	vs Vikings	L 23-31	-3.5	+0.028
5	vs Jaguars	W 30-14	-6.5	+0.201
6	@ Titans	L 36-42	+4	+0.299
7	vs Packers	L 20-35	+2.5	-0.034
9	@ Jaguars	W 27-25	-7	+0.143
10	@ Browns	L 7-10	+4.5	+0.000
11	vs Patriots	W 27-20	+2.5	+0.196
12	@ Lions	W 41-25	-3	+0.218
13	vs Colts	L 20-26	+3.5	-0.028
14	@ Bears	L 7-36	-1	-0.196
15	@ Colts	L 20-27	+7.5	+0.137
16	vs Bengals	L 31-37	-7.5	+0.248
17	vs Titans	L 38-41	+7	+0.275