AFC South · 2015
Indianapolis Colts
Record
8-8
Net EPA
-0.067est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.083
- Success rate40.1%
- EPA / dropback-0.023
- EPA / rush-0.206
- Explosive rate7.0%
- CPOE-4.10
- Third-down rate40.5%
- Red-zone TD rate59.4%
- Points / drive1.47
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.003
- Success rate allowed41.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.094
- EPA / rush allowed-0.141
- Explosive rate allowed10.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.6%
- Sack rate5.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.73
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.083 · 9th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.003 · 43th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
-4.1 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-6
As dog
6-2
O/U
8-8
+0.7 vs total
Roster
59 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks6
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ryan Lindley | QB | 26 | 6'3" 232 | 3 | San Diego State | ACT |
| 5 | Josh Freeman | QB | 27 | 6'6" 240 | 6 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 7 | Stephen Morris | QB | 23 | 6'2" 218 | 1 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 7 | Stephen Morris | QB | 23 | 6'2" 218 | 1 | Miami (Fla.) | TRC |
| 8 | Matt Hasselbeck | QB | 41 | 6'4" 235 | 17 | Boston College | ACT |
| 12 | Andrew Luck | QB | 27 | 6'4" 240 | 3 | Stanford | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Donte Moncrief | WR | 22 | 6'2" 222 | 1 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 11 | Quan Bray | WR | 22 | 5'10" 195 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 13 | T.Y. Hilton | WR | 27 | 5'9" 180 | 3 | Florida International | ACT |
| 15 | Phillip Dorsett | WR | 22 | 5'10" 185 | R | Miami | ACT |
| 23 | Frank Gore | RB | 32 | 5'9" 217 | 10 | Miami | ACT |
| 36 | Dan Herron | RB | 26 | 5'10" 212 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Dan Herron | RB | 26 | 5'10" 212 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 40 | Trey Williams | RB | 24 | 5'7" 195 | R | Texas A&M | TRD |
| 40 | Trey Williams | RB | 24 | 5'7" 195 | R | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 40 | Trey Williams | RB | 24 | 5'7" 195 | R | Texas A&M | TRC |
| 80 | Coby Fleener | TE | 28 | 6'6" 251 | 3 | Stanford | ACT |
| 81 | Andre Johnson | WR | 34 | 6'3" 229 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Jack Doyle | TE | 25 | 6'6" 267 | 2 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 86 | Erik Swoope | TE | 23 | 6'5" 246 | 1 | Miami | ACT |
Offensive line7
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Lance Louis | G | 30 | 6'3" 323 | 6 | San Diego State | ACT |
| 62 | Khaled Holmes | C | 25 | 6'3" 309 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Denzelle Good | T | 24 | 6'6" 340 | R | Mars Hill | ACT |
| 72 | Jonotthan Harrison | C | 24 | 6'4" 308 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 74 | Anthony Castonzo | T | 27 | 6'7" 311 | 4 | Boston College | ACT |
| 75 | Jack Mewhort | G | 24 | 6'6" 312 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 76 | Joe Reitz | T | 30 | 6'7" 323 | 7 | Western Michigan | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | Amarlo Herrera | LB | 25 | 6'0" 244 | R | — | ACT |
| 50 | Jerrell Freeman | ILB | 29 | 6'0" 240 | 7 | Mary Hardin-Baylor | ACT |
| 51 | Sio Moore | LB | 25 | 6'1" 245 | 2 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 52 | D'Qwell Jackson | ILB | 33 | 6'0" 242 | 9 | Maryland | ACT |
| 54 | David Parry | NT | 23 | 6'2" 310 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 58 | Trent Cole | OLB | 34 | 6'3" 270 | 10 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 59 | Andy Studebaker | OLB | 31 | 6'3" 255 | 7 | Wheaton | ACT |
| 64 | Kelcy Quarles | DT | 23 | 6'4" 294 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 64 | Kelcy Quarles | DT | 23 | 6'4" 294 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | T.Y. McGill | DT | 24 | 6'0" 299 | R | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 90 | Kendall Langford | DE | 29 | 6'6" 305 | 7 | Hampton | ACT |
| 91 | Jonathan Newsome | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 247 | 1 | Ball State | ACT |
| 92 | Bjoern Werner | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Erik Walden | OLB | 30 | 6'2" 250 | 7 | Middle Tennessee State | ACT |
| 94 | Zach Kerr | NT | 25 | 6'2" 334 | 1 | Delaware | ACT |
| 95 | Earl Okine | DE | 25 | 6'6" 290 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | OLB | 34 | 6'2" 245 | 12 | Alabama A&M | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Darius Butler | CB | 29 | 5'10" 188 | 6 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 21 | Vontae Davis | CB | 27 | 5'11" 207 | 6 | Illinois | ACT |
| 27 | Winston Guy | FS | 25 | 6'1" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Gregory Toler | CB | 30 | 6'0" 190 | 6 | St. Paul's (VA) | ACT |
| 29 | Mike Adams | SS | 34 | 5'11" 205 | 11 | Delaware | ACT |
| 31 | Jalil Brown | CB | 29 | 6'1" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Colt Anderson | SS | 31 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | Montana | ACT |
| 33 | Dwight Lowery | FS | 29 | 5'11" 212 | 7 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 35 | Akeem Davis | S | 27 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 35 | Akeem Davis | S | 27 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Tay Glover-Wright | DB | 23 | 6'0" 175 | 1 | Utah State | ACT |
| 42 | Clayton Geathers | FS | 23 | 6'1" 215 | R | Central Florida | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat McAfee | P | 28 | 6'1" 233 | 6 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 44 | 6'0" 206 | 19 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 45 | Matt Overton | LS | 30 | 6'1" 243 | 5 | Western Washington | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bills | L 14-27 | -1 | +0.008 |
| 2 | vs Jets | L 7-20 | -6 | -0.223 |
| 3 | @ Titans | W 35-33 | -3 | +0.008 |
| 4 | vs Jaguars | W 16-13 | -4 | -0.079 |
| 5 | @ Texans | W 27-20 | +4.5 | +0.227 |
| 6 | vs Patriots | L 27-34 | +8 | +0.024 |
| 7 | vs Saints | L 21-27 | -5.5 | -0.123 |
| 8 | @ Panthers | L 26-29 | +5 | -0.215 |
| 9 | vs Broncos | W 27-24 | +3.5 | +0.117 |
| 11 | @ Falcons | W 24-21 | +3.5 | -0.136 |
| 12 | vs Buccaneers | W 25-12 | -3 | +0.048 |
| 13 | @ Steelers | L 10-45 | +10 | -0.346 |
| 14 | @ Jaguars | L 16-51 | +1 | -0.391 |
| 15 | vs Texans | L 10-16 | -2.5 | -0.342 |
| 16 | @ Dolphins | W 18-12 | +2.5 | +0.099 |
| 17 | vs Titans | W 30-24 | -3.5 | -0.045 |