AFC South · 2016
Indianapolis Colts
Record
8-8
Net EPA
-0.001est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.045
- Success rate45.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.127
- EPA / rush-0.117
- Explosive rate8.4%
- CPOE+1.05
- Third-down rate42.8%
- Red-zone TD rate72.9%
- Points / drive2.10
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.073
- Success rate allowed47.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.143
- EPA / rush allowed-0.047
- Explosive rate allowed10.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.0%
- Sack rate4.9%
- Points / drive allowed2.12
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.045 · 65th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.073 · 85th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-8-1
+2.3 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
3-3
As dog
4-5-1
O/U
9-7
+0.9 vs total
Roster
65 players
55 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Andrew Luck | QB | 28 | 6'4" 240 | 4 | Stanford | ACT |
| 16 | Scott Tolzien | QB | 30 | 6'2" 213 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Donte Moncrief | WR | 23 | 6'2" 222 | 2 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 11 | Quan Bray | WR | 23 | 5'10" 182 | 1 | Auburn | RES |
| 13 | T.Y. Hilton | WR | 28 | 5'9" 180 | 4 | Florida International | ACT |
| 15 | Phillip Dorsett | WR | 23 | 5'10" 185 | 1 | Miami | ACT |
| 23 | Frank Gore | RB | 33 | 5'9" 217 | 11 | Miami | ACT |
| 28 | Jordan Todman | RB | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 5 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 33 | Robert Turbin | RB | 28 | 5'10" 225 | 4 | Utah State | ACT |
| 34 | Josh Ferguson | RB | 23 | 5'10" 200 | R | Illinois | ACT |
| 80 | Chester Rogers | WR | 22 | 6'1" 180 | R | Grambling | ACT |
| 81 | Devin Street | WR | 25 | 6'3" 200 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 83 | Dwayne Allen | TE | 26 | 6'3" 265 | 4 | Clemson | ACT |
| 84 | Jack Doyle | TE | 26 | 6'6" 267 | 3 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 86 | Erik Swoope | TE | 24 | 6'5" 257 | 2 | Miami | ACT |
Offensive line12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Le'Raven Clark | OL | 23 | 6'5" 319 | R | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 63 | Austin Blythe | OL | 24 | 6'2" 298 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 67 | Jeremy Vujnovich | OL | 27 | 6'5" 300 | 3 | Louisiana College | ACT |
| 69 | Hugh Thornton | OL | 25 | 6'3" 320 | 3 | Illinois | RES |
| 71 | Denzelle Good | OL | 25 | 6'5" 355 | 1 | Mars Hill | ACT |
| 72 | Jonotthan Harrison | OL | 25 | 6'4" 300 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 73 | Joe Haeg | OL | 23 | 6'6" 304 | R | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 74 | Anthony Castonzo | OL | 28 | 6'7" 311 | 5 | Boston College | ACT |
| 75 | Jack Mewhort | OL | 25 | 6'6" 312 | 2 | Ohio State | RES |
| 76 | Joe Reitz | OL | 31 | 6'7" 325 | 8 | Western Michigan | ACT |
| 78 | Ryan Kelly | OL | 23 | 6'4" 313 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| — | Isiah Cage | OL | 23 | 6'5" 312 | — | — | RES |
Defensive front21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Chris Carter | LB | 27 | 6'1" 245 | 5 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 44 | Antonio Morrison | LB | 23 | 6'1" 232 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 46 | Luke Rhodes | LB | 25 | 6'2" 242 | R | William & Mary | ACT |
| 50 | Deon King | LB | 23 | 6'0" 225 | R | Norfolk State | ACT |
| 52 | D'Qwell Jackson | LB | 34 | 6'0" 242 | 10 | Maryland | ACT |
| 53 | Edwin Jackson | LB | 26 | 6'0" 230 | 1 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 53 | Deiontrez Mount | LB | 23 | 6'5" 249 | 1 | Louisville | ACT |
| 54 | David Parry | DL | 24 | 6'2" 310 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 56 | Akeem Ayers | LB | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 5 | UCLA | ACT |
| 57 | Josh McNary | LB | 28 | 6'0" 251 | 3 | Army | ACT |
| 58 | Trent Cole | LB | 35 | 6'3" 270 | 11 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 67 | Kristjan Sokoli | DL | 26 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 90 | Kendall Langford | DL | 30 | 6'6" 305 | 8 | Hampton | RES |
| 91 | Hassan Ridgeway | DL | 23 | 6'3" 317 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 92 | Curt Maggitt | LB | 23 | 6'3" 246 | R | — | RES |
| 93 | Erik Walden | LB | 31 | 6'2" 250 | 8 | Middle Tennessee State | ACT |
| 94 | Zach Kerr | DL | 26 | 6'2" 334 | 2 | Delaware | ACT |
| 96 | Henry Anderson | DL | 25 | 6'6" 300 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 97 | Arthur Jones | DL | 30 | 6'3" 320 | 6 | Syracuse | RES |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | LB | 35 | 6'2" 245 | 13 | Alabama A&M | ACT |
| 99 | T.Y. McGill | DL | 25 | 6'0" 310 | 1 | North Carolina State | ACT |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Darius Butler | DB | 30 | 5'10" 188 | 7 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 21 | Vontae Davis | DB | 28 | 5'11" 207 | 7 | Illinois | ACT |
| 25 | Patrick Robinson | DB | 30 | 5'11" 191 | 6 | Florida State | RES |
| 26 | Clayton Geathers | DB | 24 | 6'2" 215 | 1 | Central Florida | RES |
| 29 | Mike Adams | DB | 35 | 5'11" 205 | 12 | Delaware | ACT |
| 30 | Rashaan Melvin | DB | 28 | 6'2" 193 | 3 | Northern Illinois | ACT |
| 31 | Duke Williams | DB | 27 | 5'11" 201 | 3 | Nevada | ACT |
| 32 | T.J. Green | DB | 21 | 6'2" 205 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 35 | Darryl Morris | DB | 27 | 5'10" 188 | 3 | Texas State | ACT |
| 36 | Andrew Williamson | DB | 25 | 6'1" 212 | R | Vanderbilt | RES |
| 38 | Charles James | DB | 26 | 5'9" 185 | 3 | Charleston Southern | ACT |
| 40 | Chris Milton | DB | 25 | 5'11" 190 | R | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 41 | Matthias Farley | DB | 24 | 5'11" 210 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 46 | Frankie Williams | DB | 23 | 5'9" 190 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat McAfee | P | 29 | 6'1" 233 | 7 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 45 | 6'0" 206 | 20 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 45 | Matt Overton | LS | 31 | 6'1" 243 | 6 | Western Washington | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lions | L 35-39 | -2.5 | +0.246 |
| 2 | @ Broncos | L 20-34 | +5 | -0.159 |
| 3 | vs Chargers | W 26-22 | -1.5 | -0.081 |
| 4 | @ Jaguars | L 27-30 | +1 | +0.075 |
| 5 | vs Bears | W 29-23 | -4 | +0.088 |
| 6 | @ Texans | L 23-26 | +3 | +0.017 |
| 7 | @ Titans | W 34-26 | +4 | +0.273 |
| 8 | vs Chiefs | L 14-30 | +3 | -0.201 |
| 9 | @ Packers | W 31-26 | +7.5 | +0.088 |
| 11 | vs Titans | W 24-17 | -3 | +0.129 |
| 12 | vs Steelers | L 7-28 | +8 | -0.153 |
| 13 | @ Jets | W 41-10 | +1 | +0.253 |
| 14 | vs Texans | L 17-22 | -6.5 | -0.051 |
| 15 | @ Vikings | W 34-6 | +5 | +0.181 |
| 16 | @ Raiders | L 25-33 | +3.5 | +0.067 |
| 17 | vs Jaguars | W 24-20 | -5.5 | -0.052 |