AFC South · 2017

Indianapolis Colts

Record

4-12

Net EPA

-0.088est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.107
Success rate38.7%
EPA / dropback-0.102
EPA / rush-0.115
Explosive rate6.7%
CPOE-4.56
Third-down rate38.0%
Red-zone TD rate48.0%
Points / drive1.22
Turnover rate1.5%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.065
Success rate allowed41.8%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.193
EPA / rush allowed-0.100
Explosive rate allowed10.4%
Pressure rate (proxy)16.4%
Sack rate4.2%
Points / drive allowed2.04

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.107 · 18th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.065 · 98th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-8

-3.3 vs line

Home

5-3

Away

3-5

As favorite

2-0

As dog

6-8

O/U

6-10

-1.0 vs total

Roster

106 players

54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks6

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Stephen Morris	QB	—	6'2" 219	3	Miami (Fla.)	CUT
7	Jacoby Brissett	QB	26	6'4" 235	1	North Carolina State	ACT
8	Phillip Walker	QB	22	5'11" 216	R	Temple	DEV
9	Brad Kaaya	QB	23	6'4" 215	R	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
12	Andrew Luck	QB	29	6'4" 240	5	Stanford	RES
16	Scott Tolzien	QB	31	6'2" 215	6	Wisconsin	ACT

Backs & receivers33

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Marvin Bracy	WR	—	5'9" 172	R	Florida State	CUT
3	Fred Brown	WR	25	6'1" 196	R	Mississippi State	ACT
5	Valdez Showers	WR	—	6'0" 198	1	Florida	CUT
5	Chris Briggs	WR	—	6'5" 220	R	Southeastern Louisiana	CUT
10	Donte Moncrief	WR	24	6'2" 216	3	Mississippi	ACT
13	T.Y. Hilton	WR	29	5'9" 178	5	Florida International	ACT
14	Brian Riley	WR	—	6'2" 174	R	San Diego	CUT
15	K.J. Brent	WR	24	6'3" 190	1	Wake Forest	ACT
17	Kamar Aiken	WR	28	6'2" 216	6	Central Florida	ACT
17	Dres Anderson	WR	25	6'2" 190	2	Utah	DEV
17	Justice Liggins	WR	—	6'1" 209	R	Stephen F. Austin St.	CUT
23	Frank Gore	RB	34	5'9" 212	12	Miami	ACT
25	Marlon Mack	RB	21	5'11" 210	R	South Florida	ACT
33	Robert Turbin	RB	29	5'10" 216	5	Utah State	RES
34	Matt Jones	RB	24	6'2" 239	2	Florida	ACT
37	George Winn	RB	28	5'11" 215	4	Cincinnati	RES
37	De'Mard Llorens	RB	—	5'10" 212	R	Northwestern State-Louisiana	CUT
38	Daryl Richardson	RB	—	5'11" 196	5	Abilene Christian	CUT
38	Christine Michael	RB	28	5'10" 221	4	Texas A&M	RES
39	Josh Ferguson	RB	24	5'10" 200	1	Illinois	ACT
42	Dalton Crossan	RB	—	5'11" 203	R	New Hampshire	CUT
43	Ross Travis	TE	24	6'7" 235	2	Penn State	ACT
45	Jason Vander Laan	TE	26	6'3" 244	1	Ferris State	ACT
47	Darrell Daniels	TE	24	6'3" 246	R	Washington	ACT
48	Steven Wroblewski	TE	—	6'7" 265	R	Southern Utah	CUT
49	Mo Alie-Cox	TE	25	6'6" 260	R	Virginia Commonwealth	DEV
80	Chester Rogers	WR	23	6'1" 184	1	Grambling	ACT
80	KeVonn Mabon	WR	25	6'1" 212	R	Ball State	CUT
81	Krishawn Hogan	WR	22	6'3" 222	R	Marian, Ind.	RES
84	Jack Doyle	TE	27	6'6" 262	4	Western Kentucky	ACT
85	Brandon Williams	TE	31	6'3" 260	4	Oregon	RES
86	Erik Swoope	TE	25	6'5" 258	3	Miami	RES
—	Kolby Listenbee	WR	23	6'1" 183	—	Texas Christian	DEV

Offensive line18

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Anthony Fabiano	OL	24	6'1" 290	1	Harvard	ACT
62	Le'Raven Clark	OL	24	6'5" 311	1	Texas Tech	ACT
63	Blake Muir	OL	—	6'6" 309	1	Baylor	CUT
63	Isaiah Williams	OL	24	6'3" 306	1	Akron	DEV
64	Mark Glowinski	OL	25	6'4" 310	2	West Virginia	ACT
64	Fahn Cooper	OL	—	6'5" 311	1	Mississippi	CUT
65	Tyreek Burwell	OL	25	6'6" 305	2	Cincinnati	ACT
65	Arturo Uzdavinis	OL	—	6'7" 305	1	Tulane	CUT
67	Jeremy Vujnovich	OL	28	6'5" 300	4	Louisiana College	ACT
69	Deyshawn Bond	OL	23	6'1" 299	R	Cincinnati	RES
71	Denzelle Good	OL	26	6'5" 345	2	Mars Hill	ACT
72	Mike Person	OL	29	6'4" 299	6	Montana State	ACT
73	Joe Haeg	OL	24	6'6" 305	1	North Dakota State	ACT
74	Anthony Castonzo	OL	29	6'7" 311	6	Boston College	ACT
75	Jack Mewhort	OL	26	6'6" 305	3	Ohio State	RES
75	Andreas Knappe	OL	26	6'8" 325	R	Connecticut	DEV
78	Ryan Kelly	OL	24	6'4" 309	1	Alabama	RES
79	Terran Vaughn	OL	—	6'3" 306	1	Stephen F. Austin St.	CUT

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Antonio Morrison	LB	24	6'1" 241	1	Florida	ACT
49	Joshua Perry	LB	23	6'4" 253	1	Ohio State	DEV
50	Anthony Walker	LB	22	6'1" 242	R	Northwestern	ACT
51	John Simon	LB	28	6'1" 250	4	Ohio State	RES
52	Barkevious Mingo	LB	28	6'4" 239	4	Louisiana State	ACT
53	Edwin Jackson	LB	27	6'0" 234	2	Georgia Southern	RES
56	Jermaine Grace	LB	25	6'1" 223	R	Miami	ACT
56	Johnathan Calvin	LB	25	6'3" 266	R	Mississippi State	DEV
57	Jon Bostic	LB	26	6'1" 245	4	Florida	RES
58	Tarell Basham	LB	23	6'4" 266	R	Ohio	ACT
59	Jeremiah George	LB	25	5'11" 234	3	Iowa State	ACT
60	Josh Boyd	DL	—	6'3" 293	4	Mississippi State	CUT
68	Caraun Reid	DL	27	6'2" 298	3	Princeton	ACT
76	Arthur Miley	DL	24	6'6" 270	2	Southern University	DEV
90	Grover Stewart	DL	25	6'4" 333	R	Albany State, Ga.	ACT
91	Hassan Ridgeway	DL	24	6'3" 318	1	Texas	ACT
92	Margus Hunt	DL	30	6'8" 298	4	Southern Methodist	ACT
93	Jabaal Sheard	LB	28	6'3" 265	6	Pittsburgh	ACT
93	Jeremy Liggins	DL	24	6'3" 315	R	Mississippi	CUT
94	Joey Mbu	DL	24	6'3" 323	2	Houston	ACT
95	Johnathan Hankins	DL	25	6'2" 325	4	Ohio State	ACT
96	Henry Anderson	DL	26	6'6" 301	2	Stanford	RES
97	Anthony Johnson	DL	24	6'2" 295	3	LSU	ACT
99	Al Woods	DL	30	6'4" 330	7	Louisiana State	ACT

Secondary22

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Darius Butler	DB	31	5'10" 192	8	Connecticut	ACT
21	Vontae Davis	DB	29	5'11" 207	8	Illinois	CUT
22	Denzel Rice	DB	24	6'0" 196	2	Coastal Carolina	DEV
26	Clayton Geathers	DB	25	6'2" 220	2	Central Florida	ACT
27	Nate Hairston	DB	23	6'0" 195	R	Temple	ACT
28	Earl Wolff	DB	—	5'11" 210	4	North Carolina State	CUT
28	Chris Milton	DB	26	5'11" 196	1	Georgia Tech	ACT
29	Malik Hooker	DB	21	6'2" 212	R	Ohio State	RES
30	Rashaan Melvin	DB	29	6'2" 196	4	Northern Illinois	RES
31	Quincy Wilson	DB	21	6'0" 206	R	Florida	ACT
32	T.J. Green	DB	22	6'3" 211	1	Clemson	ACT
35	Chris Culliver	DB	29	6'0" 199	6	South Carolina	CUT
35	Pierre Desir	DB	28	6'2" 198	3	Lindenwood	RES
36	Andrew Williamson	DB	—	6'1" 209	1	Vanderbilt	CUT
37	D.J. White	DB	25	5'11" 193	1	Georgia Tech	ACT
37	Dante Blackmon	DB	—	5'11" 185	R	Kennesaw St. (GA)	CUT
38	Corey White	DB	—	6'1" 210	5	Samford	CUT
39	Lee Hightower	DB	—	6'2" 200	1	Houston	CUT
40	Ronald Martin	DB	24	6'2" 220	2	LSU	ACT
41	Matthias Farley	DB	25	5'11" 209	1	Notre Dame	ACT
42	Kenny Moore	DB	22	5'9" 179	R	Valdosta State	ACT
42	Tyson Graham	DB	—	6'2" 208	R	South Dakota	CUT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Rigoberto Sanchez	P	24	5'11" 195	R	Hawaii	ACT
4	Adam Vinatieri	K	46	6'0" 212	21	South Dakota State	ACT
46	Luke Rhodes	LS	26	6'2" 238	1	William & Mary	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Indianapolis Colts schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Rams	L 9-46	+3.5	-0.583
2	vs Cardinals	L 13-16	+7	-0.161
3	vs Browns	W 31-28	-1	+0.021
4	@ Seahawks	L 18-46	+12.5	-0.215
5	vs 49ers	W 26-23	+1	+0.012
6	@ Titans	L 22-36	+7	-0.085
7	vs Jaguars	L 0-27	+3	-0.301
8	@ Bengals	L 23-24	+11	-0.063
9	@ Texans	W 20-14	+6	-0.008
10	vs Steelers	L 17-20	+10.5	-0.112
12	vs Titans	L 16-20	+3	-0.178
13	@ Jaguars	L 10-30	+10	-0.071
14	@ Bills	L 7-13	+3.5	-0.140
15	vs Broncos	L 13-25	+3	-0.077
16	@ Ravens	L 16-23	+13.5	+0.077
17	vs Texans	W 22-13	-5.5	+0.054