Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

AFC South · 2016

Jacksonville Jaguars

Record

3-13

Net EPA

-0.010est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play-0.060
  • Success rate41.3%
  • EPA / dropback+0.014
  • EPA / rush-0.210
  • Explosive rate7.1%
  • CPOE-4.51
  • Third-down rate34.7%
  • Red-zone TD rate71.4%
  • Points / drive1.52
  • Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed-0.016
  • Success rate allowed40.8%
  • EPA / dropback allowed+0.044
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.110
  • Explosive rate allowed7.2%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)16.4%
  • Sack rate5.1%
  • Points / drive allowed1.92
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.060 · 22th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.016 · 35th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-9

-2.1 vs line

Home

2-6

Away

5-3

As favorite

1-2

As dog

6-7

O/U

10-6

+0.6 vs total

Roster

69 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#PlayerPosSt
5Blake BortlesQBACT
7Chad HenneQBACT
10Brandon AllenQBACT

Backs & receivers21

Backs & receivers
#PlayerPosSt
11Marqise LeeWRACT
12Tony WashingtonWRACT
13Rashad GreeneWRRES
14Justin BlackmonWRSUS
14Shane WynnWRACT
15Allen RobinsonWRACT
16Denard RobinsonRBACT
17Arrelious BennWRACT
24T.J. YeldonRBRES
30Corey GrantRBACT
33Chris IvoryRBACT
34Bronson HillRBACT
36Joe BanyardRBACT
48Alex EllisTEACT
80Julius ThomasTERES
81Bryan WaltersWRACT
83Ben KoyackTEACT
87Neal SterlingTEACT
88Allen HurnsWRACT
89Marcedes LewisTERES
Daryl RichardsonRBACT

Offensive line11

Offensive line
#PlayerPosSt
60A.J. CannOLACT
64Chris ReedOLRES
65Brandon LinderOLACT
68Kelvin BeachumOLACT
69Tyler ShatleyOLACT
70Luke BowankoOLACT
72Josh WellsOLACT
73Jeremiah PoutasiOLRES
76Luke JoeckelOLRES
77Patrick OmamehOLRES
78Jermey ParnellOLACT

Defensive front20

Defensive front
#PlayerPosSt
44Myles JackLBACT
50Telvin SmithLBACT
51Paul PoslusznyLBACT
52Hayes PullardLBACT
53Sean PorterLBRES
54Marcus RushLBACT
55Dan SkutaLBACT
56Dante FowlerDLACT
66Jonathan WoodardDLPUP
75Jared OdrickDLRES
79Jordan HillDLACT
90Malik JacksonDLACT
91Yannick NgakoueDLACT
92Sheldon DayDLACT
93Tyson AlualuDLACT
95Abry JonesDLACT
96Michael BennettDLRES
97Roy MillerDLRES
98Chris SmithDLACT
99Sen'Derrick MarksDLACT

Secondary11

Secondary
#PlayerPosSt
20Jalen RamseyDBACT
21Prince AmukamaraDBACT
22Aaron ColvinDBRES
23James SampleDBRES
25Peyton ThompsonDBACT
29Josh JohnsonDBACT
31Davon HouseDBACT
35Akeem DavisDBACT
37Johnathan CyprienDBACT
39Tashaun GipsonDBACT
47Jarrod WilsonDBACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#PlayerPosSt
2Jason MyersKACT
3Brad NortmanPACT
46Carson TinkerLSACT

Schedule

16 games

Jacksonville Jaguars schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs PackersL 23-27
2@ ChargersL 14-38
3vs RavensL 17-19
4vs ColtsW 30-27
6@ BearsW 17-16
7vs RaidersL 16-33
8@ TitansL 22-36
9@ ChiefsL 14-19
10vs TexansL 21-24
11@ LionsL 19-26
12@ BillsL 21-28
13vs BroncosL 10-20
14vs VikingsL 16-25
15@ TexansL 20-21
16vs TitansW 38-17
17@ ColtsL 20-24