AFC East · 2008
New England Patriots
Record
11-5
Net EPA
+0.150est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.103
- Success rate46.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.127
- EPA / rush+0.071
- Explosive rate7.9%
- CPOE+1.36
- Third-down rate44.4%
- Red-zone TD rate54.1%
- Points / drive2.35
- Turnover rate1.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.010
- Success rate allowed41.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.116
- EPA / rush allowed-0.131
- Explosive rate allowed8.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.1%
- Sack rate5.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.78
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.103 · 91th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.010 · 57th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+2.1 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
6-2
As favorite
7-6
As dog
2-1
O/U
8-7-1
+3.9 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kevin O'Connell | QB | 23 | 6'5" 225 | R | — | ACT |
| 7 | Matt Gutierrez | QB | 24 | 6'4" 230 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Matt Cassel | QB | 26 | 6'4" 230 | 3 | USC | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jabar Gaffney | WR | 29 | 6'1" 200 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 15 | Kelley Washington | WR | 29 | 6'3" 215 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 24 | 6'0" 198 | R | UCLA | ACT |
| 32 | LaMont Jordan | RB | 31 | 5'10" 230 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 32 | 5'8" 202 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Sammy Morris | RB | 31 | 6'0" 220 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 42 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis | RB | 23 | 5'11" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Heath Evans | FB | 31 | 6'0" 250 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Randy Moss | WR | 31 | 6'4" 210 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Wes Welker | WR | 27 | 5'9" 185 | 4 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 84 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 29 | 6'3" 255 | 4 | Georgia | ACT |
| 85 | Tyson Devree | TE | 25 | 6'5" 245 | R | — | ACT |
| 86 | David Thomas | TE | 25 | 6'3" 248 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Sam Aiken | WR | 29 | 6'2" 215 | 5 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Steve Neal | G | 33 | 6'4" 305 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | C | 27 | 6'4" 313 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Mark LeVoir | T | 26 | 6'7" 306 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Wesley Britt | T | 28 | 6'8" 320 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 30 | 6'2" 296 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 26 | 6'4" 310 | 3 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 71 | Russ Hochstein | G | 32 | 6'4" 305 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 30 | 6'4" 305 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Billy Yates | G | 28 | 6'2" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Nick Kaczur | T | 29 | 6'4" 315 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | Vince Redd | LB | 24 | 6'6" 260 | R | — | ACT |
| 50 | Mike Vrabel | OLB | 33 | 6'4" 261 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Jerod Mayo | ILB | 22 | 6'1" 242 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 53 | Larry Izzo | ILB | 35 | 5'10" 228 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tedy Bruschi | ILB | 35 | 6'1" 247 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Junior Seau | ILB | 39 | 6'3" 250 | 18 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Gary Guyton | ILB | 24 | 6'3" 242 | R | — | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 28 | 6'2" 325 | 4 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Le Kevin Smith | NT | 26 | 6'3" 308 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Richard Seymour | DE | 30 | 6'6" 310 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 27 | 6'5" 300 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Rosevelt Colvin | OLB | 32 | 6'3" 250 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 29 | 6'3" 285 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Mike Wright | DE | 26 | 6'4" 295 | 3 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Deltha O'Neal | CB | 31 | 5'11" 194 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Jonathan Wilhite | CB | 24 | 5'11" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Ellis Hobbs | CB | 25 | 5'9" 195 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Antwain Spann | CB | 25 | 6'0" 195 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Lewis Sanders | CB | 30 | 6'1" 210 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Brandon Meriweather | SS | 24 | 5'11" 200 | 1 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 35 | Mike Richardson | DB | 24 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | FS | 26 | 5'10" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Raymond Ventrone | FS | 27 | 5'10" 200 | 3 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 2 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Chris Hanson | P | 33 | 6'2" 202 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lonie Paxton | LS | 30 | 6'2" 260 | 8 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chiefs | W 17-10 | -16 | -0.031 |
| 2 | @ Jets | W 19-10 | +1 | +0.078 |
| 3 | vs Dolphins | L 13-38 | -12.5 | -0.202 |
| 5 | @ 49ers | W 30-21 | -3 | +0.094 |
| 6 | @ Chargers | L 10-30 | +6 | -0.112 |
| 7 | vs Broncos | W 41-7 | -3 | +0.294 |
| 8 | vs Rams | W 23-16 | -9 | -0.014 |
| 9 | @ Colts | L 15-18 | +6.5 | +0.139 |
| 10 | vs Bills | W 20-10 | -3.5 | +0.126 |
| 11 | vs Jets | L 31-34 | -3 | +0.138 |
| 12 | @ Dolphins | W 48-28 | -1 | +0.411 |
| 13 | vs Steelers | L 10-33 | -1 | -0.329 |
| 14 | @ Seahawks | W 24-21 | -7.5 | +0.180 |
| 15 | @ Raiders | W 49-26 | -6.5 | +0.409 |
| 16 | vs Cardinals | W 47-7 | -9 | +0.271 |
| 17 | @ Bills | W 13-0 | -5.5 | +0.074 |