NFC South · 2016

New Orleans Saints

Record

7-9

Net EPA

-0.010est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.100
Success rate48.2%
EPA / dropback+0.161
EPA / rush-0.012
Explosive rate9.6%
CPOE+4.38
Third-down rate49.0%
Red-zone TD rate62.6%
Points / drive2.39
Turnover rate2.0%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.086
Success rate allowed47.2%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.184
EPA / rush allowed-0.090
Explosive rate allowed7.8%
Pressure rate (proxy)19.9%
Sack rate4.6%
Points / drive allowed2.45

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.100 · 82th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.086 · 88th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

10-5-1

+1.1 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

6-1-1

As favorite

3-4

As dog

7-1-1

O/U

9-7

+5.6 vs total

Roster

72 players

56 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks2

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Luke McCown	QB	35	6'4" 217	12	Louisiana Tech	ACT
9	Drew Brees	QB	37	6'0" 209	15	Purdue	ACT

Backs & receivers17

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Brandin Cooks	WR	24	5'10" 189	2	Oregon State	ACT
11	Corey Fuller	WR	26	6'2" 200	3	Virginia Tech	ACT
13	Michael Thomas	WR	23	6'3" 212	R	Ohio State	ACT
16	Brandon Coleman	WR	24	6'6" 225	2	Rutgers	ACT
19	Jake Lampman	WR	23	6'0" 205	R	Ferris State	ACT
22	Mark Ingram	RB	28	5'9" 215	5	Alabama	ACT
23	Marcus Murphy	RB	26	5'9" 195	1	Missouri	ACT
29	John Kuhn	RB	35	6'0" 250	11	Shippensburg	ACT
34	Tim Hightower	RB	30	6'0" 220	8	Richmond	ACT
36	Daniel Lasco	RB	25	6'0" 205	R	California	ACT
38	Travaris Cadet	RB	27	6'1" 210	4	Appalachian State	ACT
82	Coby Fleener	TE	29	6'6" 251	4	Stanford	ACT
83	Willie Snead	WR	25	5'11" 195	2	Ball State	ACT
84	Michael Hoomanawanui	TE	28	6'4" 265	6	Illinois	RES
86	John Phillips	TE	29	6'5" 251	7	Virginia	ACT
87	Tommylee Lewis	WR	25	5'7" 168	R	Northern Illinois	ACT
89	Josh Hill	TE	26	6'5" 250	3	Idaho State	RES

Offensive line11

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Max Unger	OL	30	6'5" 305	7	Oregon	ACT
64	Zach Strief	OL	34	6'7" 320	10	Northwestern	ACT
65	Senio Kelemete	OL	26	6'3" 300	4	Washington	ACT
66	Jack Allen	OL	25	6'2" 296	R	Michigan State	ACT
67	Avery Young	OL	25	6'6" 305	R	Auburn	ACT
68	Tim Lelito	OL	27	6'4" 315	3	Grand Valley State	ACT
72	Terron Armstead	OL	25	6'5" 304	3	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	RES
73	Jahri Evans	OL	33	6'4" 318	10	Bloomsburg	ACT
75	Andrus Peat	OL	24	6'7" 316	1	Stanford	ACT
76	Tony Hills	OL	33	6'5" 304	8	Texas	ACT
78	Landon Turner	OL	23	6'3" 325	R	North Carolina	ACT

Defensive front20

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
42	Travis Feeney	LB	25	6'4" 226	—	—	ACT
44	Hau'oli Kikaha	LB	24	6'3" 246	1	Washington	PUP
50	Stephone Anthony	LB	24	6'3" 245	1	Clemson	RES
52	Craig Robertson	LB	28	6'1" 234	5	North Texas	ACT
54	Nate Stupar	LB	28	6'2" 240	4	Penn State	ACT
55	Darryl Tapp	DL	33	6'1" 270	10	Virginia Tech	ACT
56	Michael Mauti	LB	26	6'2" 243	3	Penn State	ACT
58	Obum Gwacham	DL	25	6'5" 246	1	Oregon State	RES
59	Jason Trusnik	LB	32	6'4" 252	—	Ohio Northern	ACT
59	Dannell Ellerbe	LB	32	6'1" 245	7	Georgia	ACT
77	D.J. Pettway	DL	25	6'2" 270	—	—	RES
90	Nick Fairley	DL	28	6'4" 308	5	Auburn	ACT
91	Kasim Edebali	DL	27	6'2" 253	2	Boston College	ACT
93	David Onyemata	DL	25	6'3" 300	R	Manitoba, Can.	ACT
94	Cameron Jordan	DL	27	6'4" 287	5	California	ACT
95	Tyeler Davison	DL	25	6'2" 309	1	Fresno State	ACT
97	Sam Barrington	LB	27	6'1" 240	3	South Florida	ACT
98	Sheldon Rankins	DL	22	6'2" 305	R	Louisville	ACT
99	Paul Kruger	DL	30	6'4" 270	—	Utah	ACT
—	Mitchell Loewen	DL	23	6'5" 275	R	Arkansas	RSN

Secondary19

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
21	De'Vante Harris	DB	22	5'11" 190	R	Texas A&M	ACT
24	Kyle Wilson	DB	30	5'10" 190	—	Boise State	RES
24	Sterling Moore	DB	26	5'10" 202	5	Southern Methodist	ACT
25	P.J. Williams	DB	23	6'0" 196	1	Florida State	RES
27	Damian Swann	DB	25	6'0" 189	1	Georgia	RES
28	B.W. Webb	DB	26	5'11" 190	3	William & Mary	ACT
30	Erik Harris	DB	26	6'3" 220	R	California, Pa.	RES
31	Jairus Byrd	DB	31	5'10" 203	7	Oregon	ACT
32	Kenny Vaccaro	DB	25	6'0" 214	3	Texas	ACT
33	Jamarca Sanford	DB	31	5'10" 200	—	Mississippi	RES
35	Robenson Therezie	DB	25	5'9" 212	1	Auburn	ACT
37	Chris Banjo	DB	26	5'10" 207	3	Southern Methodist	ACT
39	Taveze Calhoun	DB	25	6'1" 188	R	Mississippi State	ACT
40	Delvin Breaux	DB	28	6'1" 196	1	LSU	RES
41	Roman Harper	DB	35	6'1" 205	—	Alabama	ACT
43	Jimmy Pruitt	DB	25	6'0" 203	—	—	RES
46	Ken Crawley	DB	23	6'1" 180	R	Colorado	RES
48	Vonn Bell	DB	23	5'11" 205	R	Ohio State	ACT
49	Shiloh Keo	DB	30	5'11" 208	—	Idaho	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Wil Lutz	K	22	5'11" 184	R	Georgia State	ACT
6	Thomas Morstead	P	30	6'4" 235	7	Southern Methodist	ACT
47	Justin Drescher	LS	28	6'1" 235	6	Colorado	ACT

Schedule

16 games

New Orleans Saints schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Raiders	L 34-35	-2.5	+0.261
2	@ Giants	L 13-16	+3.5	-0.079
3	vs Falcons	L 32-45	-2.5	+0.049
4	@ Chargers	W 35-34	+4	+0.048
6	vs Panthers	W 41-38	+2.5	+0.237
7	@ Chiefs	L 21-27	+6	+0.102
8	vs Seahawks	W 25-20	+1	+0.000
9	@ 49ers	W 41-23	-5	+0.328
10	vs Broncos	L 23-25	-3	-0.168
11	@ Panthers	L 20-23	+3.5	+0.055
12	vs Rams	W 49-21	-7.5	+0.279
13	vs Lions	L 13-28	-6.5	-0.169
14	@ Buccaneers	L 11-16	+2	-0.148
15	@ Cardinals	W 48-41	+3	+0.230
16	vs Buccaneers	W 31-24	-3	+0.162
17	@ Falcons	L 32-38	+7.5	+0.194