NFC South · 2003
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
7-9
Net EPA
+0.038est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.043
- Success rate41.6%
- EPA / dropback+0.014
- EPA / rush-0.134
- Explosive rate7.3%
- Third-down rate35.7%
- Red-zone TD rate68.3%
- Points / drive1.38
- Turnover rate2.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.116
- Success rate allowed37.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.105
- EPA / rush allowed-0.130
- Explosive rate allowed7.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.5%
- Sack rate6.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.18
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.043 · 50th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.116 · 16th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-1.8 vs line
Home
2-5-1
Away
4-4
As favorite
4-8-1
As dog
2-1
O/U
6-10
-2.2 vs total
Roster
55 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chris Simms | QB | 23 | 6'4" 220 | R | — | ACT |
| 10 | Shaun King | QB | 26 | 6'1" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Brad Johnson | QB | 36 | 6'5" 226 | 11 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Edell Shepherd | WR | 23 | 6'1" 170 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Keyshawn Johnson | WR | 31 | 6'4" 212 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Thomas Jones | RB | 25 | 5'10" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Thomas Jones | RB | 25 | 5'10" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Aaron Stecker | RB | 29 | 5'10" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Michael Pittman | RB | 28 | 6'0" 218 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Cecil Martin | FB | 28 | 6'0" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Jameel Cook | FB | 24 | 5'10" 237 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Todd Yoder | TE | 25 | 6'4" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Roland Williams | TE | 28 | 6'5" 265 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Charles Lee | WR | 27 | 6'3" 227 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Reggie Barlow | WR | 30 | 6'0" 190 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Ken Dilger | TE | 32 | 6'5" 250 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Karl Williams | WR | 32 | 5'10" 177 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Keenan McCardell | WR | 33 | 6'1" 191 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Rickey Dudley | TE | 31 | 6'6" 255 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Will Heller | TE | 22 | 6'6" 250 | R | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Cosey Coleman | G | 26 | 6'4" 322 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Austin King | C | 22 | 6'5" 299 | R | — | ACT |
| 65 | Jason Whittle | G | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Ryan Benjamin | C | 27 | 6'1" 242 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Anthony Davis | T | 23 | 6'4" 329 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kerry Jenkins | G | 31 | 6'5" 305 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Roman Oben | T | 32 | 6'4" 305 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Cornell Green | T | 27 | 6'6" 315 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 76 | John Wade | C | 28 | 6'5" 299 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Sean Mahan | G | 23 | 6'3" 301 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Nate Webster | MLB | 27 | 6'0" 230 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Shelton Quarles | MLB | 33 | 6'1" 225 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Derrick Brooks | OLB | 30 | 6'0" 235 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Ryan Nece | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 224 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Dwayne Rudd | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 235 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Cleveland Pinkney | DT | 27 | 6'1" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Dewayne White | DE | 25 | 6'2" 273 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Chuck Darby | NT | 29 | 6'0" 270 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Anthony McFarland | DT | 27 | 6'0" 300 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Reinard Wilson | DE | 31 | 6'2" 272 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Simeon Rice | DE | 29 | 6'5" 268 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Corey Smith | DE | 25 | 6'2" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Warren Sapp | DE | 32 | 6'2" 303 | 8 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | CB | 28 | 5'10" 184 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Scott Frost | FS | 28 | 6'3" 218 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jermaine Phillips | FS | 24 | 6'1" 214 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Dwight Smith | FS | 25 | 5'10" 201 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Travaris Robinson | FS | 23 | 5'10" 193 | R | — | TRT |
| 28 | Travaris Robinson | FS | 23 | 5'10" 193 | R | — | ACT |
| 29 | Ronyell Whitaker | DB | 24 | 5'9" 196 | R | — | ACT |
| 34 | David Gibson | SS | 27 | 6'1" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Corey Ivy | CB | 26 | 5'8" 183 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 47 | John Lynch | FS | 33 | 6'2" 220 | 10 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Martin Gramatica | K | 29 | 5'8" 170 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Tom Tupa | P | 37 | 6'4" 225 | 15 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Eagles | W 17-0 | +3 | +0.055 |
| 2 | vs Panthers | L 9-12 | -9 | -0.065 |
| 3 | @ Falcons | W 31-10 | -6.5 | +0.004 |
| 5 | vs Colts | L 35-38 | -4.5 | +0.191 |
| 6 | @ Commanders | W 35-13 | -3.5 | +0.377 |
| 7 | @ 49ers | L 7-24 | -5 | -0.252 |
| 8 | vs Cowboys | W 16-0 | -6 | -0.145 |
| 9 | vs Saints | L 14-17 | -8 | -0.208 |
| 10 | @ Panthers | L 24-27 | -3.5 | -0.037 |
| 11 | vs Packers | L 13-20 | -3.5 | -0.220 |
| 12 | vs Giants | W 19-13 | -6 | -0.189 |
| 13 | @ Jaguars | L 10-17 | -3 | -0.137 |
| 14 | @ Saints | W 14-7 | +3 | -0.008 |
| 15 | vs Texans | W 16-3 | -11.5 | +0.006 |
| 16 | vs Falcons | L 28-30 | -6.5 | +0.037 |
| 17 | @ Titans | L 13-33 | +4 | -0.131 |