NFC South · 2005
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
11-5
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.019est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.066
- Success rate39.7%
- EPA / dropback-0.064
- EPA / rush-0.068
- Explosive rate6.8%
- Third-down rate38.9%
- Red-zone TD rate57.3%
- Points / drive1.36
- Turnover rate2.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.097
- Success rate allowed38.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.035
- EPA / rush allowed-0.181
- Explosive rate allowed7.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.2%
- Sack rate6.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.28
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.066 · 47th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.097 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
-0.3 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
4-4
As favorite
4-5-1
As dog
4-1
O/U
6-10
-0.5 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chris Simms | QB | 25 | 6'4" 220 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Luke McCown | QB | 24 | 6'3" 212 | 1 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 13 | Tim Rattay | QB | 28 | 6'0" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Tim Rattay | QB | 28 | 6'0" 200 | 5 | — | TRD |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Ike Hilliard | WR | 29 | 5'11" 210 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Derek Watson | RB | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Carnell Williams | RB | 23 | 5'11" 217 | R | — | ACT |
| 32 | Michael Pittman | RB | 30 | 6'0" 228 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Earnest Graham | RB | 25 | 5'9" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Mike Alstott | FB | 33 | 6'1" 248 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Jameel Cook | FB | 26 | 5'10" 237 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Michael Clayton | WR | 24 | 6'4" 215 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Alex Smith | TE | 23 | 6'4" 258 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 84 | Joey Galloway | WR | 35 | 5'11" 197 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Will Heller | TE | 24 | 6'6" 265 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 85 | Will Heller | TE | 24 | 6'6" 265 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Edell Shepherd | WR | 25 | 6'1" 175 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Anthony Becht | TE | 28 | 6'5" 272 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Mark Jones | WR | 26 | 5'9" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Chris Colmer | T | 26 | 6'5" 310 | R | — | ACT |
| 67 | Kenyatta Walker | T | 26 | 6'5" 302 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Anthony Davis | T | 25 | 6'4" 322 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Dan Buenning | G | 25 | 6'4" 320 | R | — | ACT |
| 74 | Scott Jackson | C | 26 | 6'4" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Todd Steussie | T | 36 | 6'6" 320 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 76 | John Wade | C | 30 | 6'5" 299 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Jeb Terry | G | 24 | 6'5" 311 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Sean Mahan | C | 25 | 6'3" 301 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Barrett Ruud | MLB | 22 | 6'0" 241 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Shelton Quarles | MLB | 35 | 6'1" 225 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Wesly Mallard | OLB | 28 | 6'1" 230 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Wesly Mallard | OLB | 28 | 6'1" 230 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 55 | Derrick Brooks | OLB | 32 | 6'0" 235 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Ryan Nece | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 224 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Marquis Cooper | OLB | 23 | 6'3" 213 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Anthony Bryant | DT | 25 | 6'3" 336 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Dewayne White | DE | 27 | 6'2" 273 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Jon Bradley | DT | 24 | 6'0" 301 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Anthony McFarland | DT | 29 | 6'0" 300 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Greg Spires | DE | 31 | 6'1" 265 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Chris Hovan | DT | 27 | 6'2" 296 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Ellis Wyms | DT | 26 | 6'3" 290 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Simeon Rice | DE | 31 | 6'5" 268 | 9 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | CB | 30 | 5'10" 184 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Juran Bolden | CB | 31 | 6'3" 210 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jermaine Phillips | SS | 26 | 6'1" 214 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Brian Kelly | CB | 29 | 5'11" 193 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Will Allen | FS | 23 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 27 | Torrie Cox | CB | 26 | 5'10" 181 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Donte Nicholson | SS | 25 | 6'1" 216 | R | — | ACT |
| 34 | Dexter Jackson | FS | 28 | 6'0" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Kalvin Pearson | FS | 28 | 5'10" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 46 | Blue Adams | SS | 27 | 5'10" 184 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 30 | 5'9" 200 | 3 | Baylor | ACT |
| 9 | Josh Bidwell | P | 29 | 6'3" 220 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Dave Moore | LS | 37 | 6'2" 250 | 13 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Vikings | W 24-13 | +6 | -0.091 |
| 2 | vs Bills | W 19-3 | -2.5 | +0.065 |
| 3 | @ Packers | W 17-16 | -3 | -0.019 |
| 4 | vs Lions | W 17-13 | -6.5 | -0.132 |
| 5 | @ Jets | L 12-14 | -3.5 | -0.147 |
| 6 | vs Dolphins | W 27-13 | -4.5 | -0.005 |
| 8 | @ 49ers | L 10-15 | -11.5 | -0.264 |
| 9 | vs Panthers | L 14-34 | +0 | -0.297 |
| 10 | vs Commanders | W 36-35 | +1 | +0.157 |
| 11 | @ Falcons | W 30-27 | +6 | +0.140 |
| 12 | vs Bears | L 10-13 | -3 | -0.178 |
| 13 | @ Saints | W 10-3 | -3.5 | +0.064 |
| 14 | @ Panthers | W 20-10 | +5.5 | +0.050 |
| 15 | @ Patriots | L 0-28 | +4.5 | -0.352 |
| 16 | vs Falcons | W 27-24 | -3 | +0.026 |
| 17 | vs Saints | W 27-13 | -13 | +0.011 |
| WC | vs Commanders | L 10-17 | -2.5 | -0.389 |