NFC South · 2006
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
4-12
Net EPA
-0.112est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.186
- Success rate37.6%
- EPA / dropback-0.208
- EPA / rush-0.149
- Explosive rate6.4%
- CPOE-4.51
- Third-down rate37.4%
- Red-zone TD rate43.2%
- Points / drive0.82
- Turnover rate3.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.006
- Success rate allowed41.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.093
- EPA / rush allowed-0.097
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.2%
- Sack rate4.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.70
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.186 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.006 · 74th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-4.1 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
3-5
As favorite
0-3-1
As dog
6-6
O/U
7-9
-1.9 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bruce Gradkowski | QB | 23 | 6'1" 222 | R | — | ACT |
| 12 | Luke McCown | QB | 25 | 6'3" 212 | 2 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 13 | Tim Rattay | QB | 29 | 6'0" 200 | 6 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Ike Hilliard | WR | 30 | 5'11" 210 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Carnell Williams | RB | 24 | 5'11" 217 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Lionel Gates | RB | 24 | 6'0" 233 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Michael Pittman | RB | 31 | 6'0" 228 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Jerald Sowell | FB | 32 | 6'0" 237 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Earnest Graham | RB | 26 | 5'9" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Mike Alstott | FB | 34 | 6'1" 248 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Alex Smith | TE | 24 | 6'4" 258 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 82 | Paris Warren | WR | 25 | 6'0" 213 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Joey Galloway | WR | 36 | 5'11" 197 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Maurice Stovall | WR | 21 | 6'4" 229 | R | — | ACT |
| 86 | Doug Jolley | TE | 27 | 6'4" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Anthony Becht | TE | 29 | 6'5" 272 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Mark Jones | WR | 27 | 5'9" 185 | 2 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Jeremy Trueblood | T | 23 | 6'8" 316 | R | — | ACT |
| 66 | Nick Mihlhauser | C | 22 | 6'3" 291 | R | — | TRC |
| 66 | Nick Mihlhauser | C | 22 | 6'3" 291 | R | — | ACT |
| 69 | Anthony Davis | T | 26 | 6'4" 329 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Donald Penn | T | 23 | 6'5" 305 | R | Utah State | TRD |
| 70 | Donald Penn | T | 23 | 6'5" 305 | R | Utah State | ACT |
| 74 | Cornell Green | T | 30 | 6'6" 315 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Davin Joseph | G | 24 | 6'3" 311 | R | — | ACT |
| 76 | John Wade | C | 31 | 6'5" 299 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Jeb Terry | G | 25 | 6'5" 311 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Sean Mahan | C | 26 | 6'3" 301 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Jamie Winborn | OLB | 27 | 5'11" 242 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Barrett Ruud | MLB | 23 | 6'2" 241 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Antoine Cash | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 223 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Shelton Quarles | MLB | 36 | 6'1" 225 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Wesly Mallard | OLB | 29 | 6'1" 230 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Derrick Brooks | OLB | 33 | 6'0" 235 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Ryan Nece | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 224 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 60 | Darrell Campbell | DT | 25 | 6'4" 290 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jovan Haye | DE | 24 | 6'2" 290 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jovan Haye | DE | 24 | 6'2" 290 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 90 | Dewayne White | DE | 28 | 6'2" 273 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Charles Bennett | DE | 23 | 6'3" 254 | R | — | ACT |
| 94 | Greg Spires | DE | 32 | 6'1" 265 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Chris Hovan | DT | 28 | 6'2" 298 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Ellis Wyms | DT | 27 | 6'3" 290 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Jon Bradley | DT | 25 | 6'0" 301 | 2 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | CB | 31 | 5'10" 184 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Juran Bolden | CB | 32 | 6'3" 210 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jermaine Phillips | SS | 27 | 6'1" 214 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Will Allen | FS | 24 | 6'1" 200 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 27 | Torrie Cox | CB | 27 | 5'9" 181 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Donte Nicholson | SS | 26 | 6'1" 216 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Phillip Buchanon | CB | 27 | 5'11" 185 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Phillip Buchanon | CB | 27 | 5'11" 185 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 39 | Kalvin Pearson | FS | 29 | 5'10" 190 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 46 | Blue Adams | SS | 28 | 5'10" 184 | 3 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 31 | 5'9" 200 | 4 | Baylor | ACT |
| 9 | Josh Bidwell | P | 30 | 6'3" 220 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Dave Moore | LS | 38 | 6'2" 250 | 14 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ravens | L 0-27 | -3 | -0.653 |
| 2 | @ Falcons | L 3-14 | +4.5 | -0.185 |
| 3 | vs Panthers | L 24-26 | +3 | -0.059 |
| 5 | @ Saints | L 21-24 | +7 | +0.046 |
| 6 | vs Bengals | W 14-13 | +4.5 | +0.006 |
| 7 | vs Eagles | W 23-21 | +6 | -0.120 |
| 8 | @ Giants | L 3-17 | +9.5 | -0.485 |
| 9 | vs Saints | L 14-31 | -1 | -0.239 |
| 10 | @ Panthers | L 10-24 | +10 | -0.326 |
| 11 | vs Commanders | W 20-17 | -3 | +0.029 |
| 12 | @ Cowboys | L 10-38 | +12.5 | -0.139 |
| 13 | @ Steelers | L 3-20 | +9 | -0.370 |
| 14 | vs Falcons | L 6-17 | +4 | -0.277 |
| 15 | @ Bears | L 31-34 | +13 | -0.080 |
| 16 | @ Browns | W 22-7 | +3.5 | -0.073 |
| 17 | vs Seahawks | L 7-23 | -3 | -0.145 |