NFC South · 2012
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.115est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.018
- Success rate41.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.053
- EPA / rush-0.038
- Explosive rate9.8%
- CPOE-4.01
- Third-down rate35.9%
- Red-zone TD rate63.4%
- Points / drive1.74
- Turnover rate1.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.026
- Success rate allowed44.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.140
- EPA / rush allowed-0.196
- Explosive rate allowed10.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)12.7%
- Sack rate3.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.77
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.018 · 50th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.026 · 64th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-5-1
+1.0 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
7-1
As favorite
3-3
As dog
7-2-1
O/U
9-7
+2.5 vs total
Roster
58 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Josh Freeman | QB | 24 | 6'6" 240 | 3 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 6 | Dan Orlovsky | QB | 29 | 6'5" 230 | 7 | Connecticut | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tiquan Underwood | WR | 25 | 6'1" 183 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Roscoe Parrish | WR | 30 | 5'9" 175 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Mike Williams | WR | 25 | 6'2" 212 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Doug Martin | RB | 23 | 5'9" 215 | R | Boise State | ACT |
| 27 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | 27 | 6'0" 247 | 2 | Oregon | ACT |
| 28 | Danny Ware | RB | 27 | 6'0" 225 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Michael Smith | RB | 24 | 5'9" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 41 | Erik Lorig | FB | 27 | 6'4" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Dallas Clark | TE | 33 | 6'3" 252 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Chris Owusu | WR | 22 | 6'2" 200 | R | Stanford | TRC |
| 80 | Chris Owusu | WR | 22 | 6'2" 200 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 82 | Nate Byham | TE | 24 | 6'4" 264 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Vincent Jackson | WR | 29 | 6'5" 230 | 7 | Northern Colorado | ACT |
| 88 | Luke Stocker | TE | 24 | 6'5" 253 | 1 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 89 | David Douglas | WR | 23 | 6'1" 205 | R | — | TRD |
| 89 | David Douglas | WR | 23 | 6'1" 205 | R | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Ted Larsen | G | 25 | 6'2" 305 | 2 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 68 | Derek Hardman | G | 27 | 6'6" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Demar Dotson | T | 28 | 6'9" 315 | 3 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 70 | Donald Penn | T | 29 | 6'5" 340 | 6 | Utah State | ACT |
| 73 | Roger Allen | G | 26 | 6'3" 325 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Cody Wallace | C | 29 | 6'4" 300 | 4 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 76 | Jeremy Zuttah | C | 26 | 6'4" 308 | 4 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 79 | Jamon Meredith | T | 26 | 6'5" 312 | 3 | South Carolina | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Daniel Te'o-Nesheim | DE | 25 | 6'3" 263 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Jacob Cutrera | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 238 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Najee Goode | OLB | 23 | 6'0" 244 | R | West Virginia | ACT |
| 54 | Lavonte David | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 233 | R | Nebraska | ACT |
| 56 | Dekoda Watson | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 240 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 57 | Adam Hayward | OLB | 28 | 6'1" 240 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Mason Foster | MLB | 23 | 6'1" 241 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 71 | Michael Bennett | DE | 28 | 6'4" 274 | 3 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 78 | Lazarius Levingston | DE | 26 | 6'4" 292 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Roy Miller | DT | 25 | 6'2" 310 | 3 | Texas | ACT |
| 91 | Da'Quan Bowers | DE | 22 | 6'4" 277 | 1 | Clemson | ACT |
| 92 | Markus White | OLB | 26 | 6'4" 264 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 92 | Markus White | OLB | 26 | 6'4" 264 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Gerald McCoy | DT | 24 | 6'4" 300 | 2 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 95 | Gary Gibson | DT | 30 | 6'3" 312 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Corvey Irvin | DT | 27 | 6'2" 295 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Matthew Masifilo | DE | 24 | 6'3" 280 | R | — | TRD |
| 97 | Matthew Masifilo | DE | 24 | 6'3" 280 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | FS | 37 | 5'10" 184 | 15 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Eric Wright | CB | 27 | 5'10" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Mark Barron | SS | 24 | 6'2" 213 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 26 | Anthony Gaitor | CB | 25 | 5'10" 182 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Leonard Johnson | CB | 22 | 5'10" 202 | R | Iowa State | ACT |
| 31 | E.J. Biggers | CB | 25 | 6'0" 185 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Brandon McDonald | CB | 27 | 5'10" 185 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Danny Gorrer | DB | 26 | 6'0" 180 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Danny Gorrer | DB | 26 | 6'0" 180 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 37 | Keith Tandy | FS | 23 | 5'10" 205 | R | West Virginia | ACT |
| 43 | Ahmad Black | FS | 24 | 5'9" 184 | 1 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Michael Koenen | P | 30 | 5'11" 198 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Connor Barth | K | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 4 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 48 | Andrew Economos | LS | 30 | 6'1" 250 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Panthers | W 16-10 | +3 | -0.053 |
| 2 | @ Giants | L 34-41 | +9 | +0.052 |
| 3 | @ Cowboys | L 10-16 | +7 | -0.246 |
| 4 | vs Commanders | L 22-24 | -1.5 | +0.009 |
| 6 | vs Chiefs | W 38-10 | -5 | +0.323 |
| 7 | vs Saints | L 28-35 | +1 | +0.263 |
| 8 | @ Vikings | W 36-17 | +5 | +0.181 |
| 9 | @ Raiders | W 42-32 | +1 | +0.405 |
| 10 | vs Chargers | W 34-24 | -3 | +0.200 |
| 11 | @ Panthers | W 27-21 | -1 | -0.075 |
| 12 | vs Falcons | L 23-24 | +1 | +0.133 |
| 13 | @ Broncos | L 23-31 | +9.5 | -0.092 |
| 14 | vs Eagles | L 21-23 | -8 | -0.025 |
| 15 | @ Saints | L 0-41 | +3.5 | -0.319 |
| 16 | vs Rams | L 13-28 | -3 | -0.240 |
| 17 | @ Falcons | W 22-17 | +3 | -0.022 |