NFC South · 2014

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record

2-14

Net EPA

-0.127est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.111
Success rate38.5%
EPA / dropback-0.069
EPA / rush-0.190
Explosive rate7.9%
CPOE-1.50
Third-down rate36.6%
Red-zone TD rate58.8%
Points / drive1.33
Turnover rate3.1%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.034
Success rate allowed45.2%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.153
EPA / rush allowed-0.137
Explosive rate allowed9.3%
Pressure rate (proxy)16.7%
Sack rate5.6%
Points / drive allowed1.95

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.111 · 9th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.034 · 74th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-9

-3.5 vs line

Home

2-6

Away

5-3

As favorite

0-3

As dog

7-6

O/U

5-11

-1.3 vs total

Roster

62 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks2

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Mike Glennon	QB	26	6'6" 225	1	North Carolina State	ACT
12	Josh McCown	QB	35	6'4" 213	12	Sam Houston State	ACT

Backs & receivers17

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Robert Herron	WR	22	5'9" 193	R	—	ACT
11	Solomon Patton	WR	25	5'9" 177	R	—	TRD
11	Solomon Patton	WR	25	5'9" 177	R	—	ACT
13	Mike Evans	WR	21	6'5" 231	R	Texas A&M	ACT
15	Tavarres King	WR	24	6'1" 200	1	Georgia	TRT
15	Tavarres King	WR	24	6'1" 200	1	Georgia	TRC
15	Tavarres King	WR	24	6'1" 200	1	Georgia	ACT
22	Doug Martin	RB	25	5'9" 215	2	Boise State	ACT
25	Mike James	RB	23	5'10" 223	1	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
34	Charles Sims	RB	25	6'0" 214	R	West Virginia	ACT
43	Bobby Rainey	RB	28	5'8" 212	2	Western Kentucky	ACT
82	Brandon Myers	TE	30	6'3" 256	5	Iowa	ACT
83	Vincent Jackson	WR	31	6'5" 230	9	Northern Colorado	ACT
84	Cameron Brate	TE	23	6'5" 235	R	Harvard	ACT
86	Evan Rodriguez	FB	27	6'2" 239	2	—	ACT
88	Luke Stocker	TE	26	6'5" 253	3	Tennessee	ACT
89	Russell Shepard	WR	25	6'1" 195	1	LSU	ACT

Offensive line10

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Josh Allen	C	24	6'3" 315	R	Louisiana-Monroe	TRD
61	Josh Allen	C	24	6'3" 315	R	Louisiana-Monroe	ACT
62	Evan Dietrich-Smith	C	28	6'2" 308	5	Idaho State	ACT
64	Kevin Pamphile	T	25	6'5" 310	R	Purdue	ACT
66	Patrick Omameh	G	26	6'4" 305	1	Michigan	ACT
69	Demar Dotson	T	30	6'9" 315	5	Southern Mississippi	ACT
70	Logan Mankins	G	32	6'4" 308	9	Fresno State	ACT
72	Garrett Gilkey	C	24	6'6" 315	1	—	ACT
73	Anthony Collins	T	30	6'5" 315	6	—	ACT
75	Oniel Cousins	T	30	6'4" 315	6	—	ACT

Defensive front20

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
45	Orie Lemon	LB	28	6'1" 242	3	Oklahoma State	TRD
45	Orie Lemon	LB	28	6'1" 242	3	Oklahoma State	TRC
45	Orie Lemon	LB	28	6'1" 242	3	Oklahoma State	ACT
50	Dane Fletcher	MLB	29	6'2" 245	4	Montana State	ACT
51	Danny Lansanah	OLB	29	6'1" 255	6	Connecticut	ACT
52	Jason Williams	OLB	28	6'1" 245	5	—	TRT
52	Jason Williams	OLB	28	6'1" 245	5	—	ACT
54	Lavonte David	OLB	24	6'1" 233	2	Nebraska	ACT
56	Jacquies Smith	DE	24	6'2" 260	2	Missouri	ACT
56	Jacquies Smith	DE	24	6'2" 260	2	Missouri	TRC
57	Larry English	DE	28	6'2" 255	5	Northern Illinois	ACT
58	George Uko	DE	22	6'3" 284	R	—	ACT
59	Mason Foster	MLB	25	6'1" 241	3	Washington	ACT
77	Lawrence Sidbury	LB	28	6'3" 269	5	Richmond	ACT
90	Michael Johnson	DE	27	6'7" 270	5	Georgia Tech	ACT
91	Da'Quan Bowers	DT	24	6'4" 288	3	Clemson	ACT
92	William Gholston	DE	23	6'6" 281	1	Michigan State	ACT
96	T.J. Fatinikun	DE	23	6'2" 250	1	Toledo	ACT
97	Akeem Spence	DT	24	6'1" 307	1	Illinois	ACT
98	Clinton McDonald	DT	27	6'2" 297	5	Memphis	ACT

Secondary10

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
21	Alterraun Verner	CB	27	5'10" 187	4	UCLA	ACT
27	Johnthan Banks	CB	26	6'2" 185	1	Mississippi State	ACT
29	Leonard Johnson	CB	24	5'10" 202	2	Iowa State	ACT
30	Bradley McDougald	SS	25	6'1" 209	1	Kansas	ACT
32	Isaiah Frey	CB	24	6'0" 190	2	—	TRD
32	Isaiah Frey	CB	24	6'0" 190	2	—	ACT
37	Keith Tandy	FS	25	5'10" 205	2	West Virginia	ACT
38	Dashon Goldson	FS	31	6'2" 200	7	Washington	ACT
39	Brandon Dixon	CB	24	5'11" 203	R	Northwest Missouri State	ACT
41	C.J. Wilson	CB	26	5'11" 187	1	—	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Patrick Murray	K	23	5'7" 160	1	Fordham	ACT
9	Michael Koenen	P	32	5'11" 198	9	—	ACT
48	Andrew DePaola	LS	27	6'2" 230	2	Rutgers	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Panthers	L 14-20	-5.5	-0.132
2	vs Rams	L 17-19	-4	+0.119
3	@ Falcons	L 14-56	+6.5	-0.538
4	@ Steelers	W 27-24	+7.5	+0.120
5	@ Saints	L 31-37	+11	+0.062
6	vs Ravens	L 17-48	+3.5	-0.093
8	vs Vikings	L 13-19	-1	-0.260
9	@ Browns	L 17-22	+7	-0.083
10	vs Falcons	L 17-27	+3.5	+0.020
11	@ Commanders	W 27-7	+6.5	+0.183
12	@ Bears	L 13-21	+4	-0.257
13	vs Bengals	L 13-14	+6	-0.210
14	@ Lions	L 17-34	+10.5	-0.175
15	@ Panthers	L 17-19	+3.5	-0.049
16	vs Packers	L 3-20	+11.5	-0.476
17	vs Saints	L 20-23	+6	-0.015