NFC South · 2016

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record

9-7

Net EPA

+0.010est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.005
Success rate43.9%
EPA / dropback+0.118
EPA / rush-0.208
Explosive rate6.6%
CPOE+1.81
Third-down rate44.2%
Red-zone TD rate62.7%
Points / drive1.74
Turnover rate2.4%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.003
Success rate allowed44.7%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.031
EPA / rush allowed-0.040
Explosive rate allowed10.0%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.3%
Sack rate5.9%
Points / drive allowed1.81

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.005 · 45th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.003 · 42th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

+1.8 vs line

Home

3-5

Away

6-2

As favorite

1-3

As dog

8-4

O/U

7-8-1

-1.7 vs total

Roster

67 players

54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Jameis Winston	QB	22	6'4" 231	1	Florida State	ACT
4	Ryan Griffin	QB	28	6'5" 210	3	Tulane	ACT
8	Mike Glennon	QB	28	6'6" 225	3	North Carolina State	ACT

Backs & receivers20

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Cecil Shorts	WR	30	6'0" 202	5	Mount Union	RES
11	Adam Humphries	WR	23	5'11" 195	1	Clemson	ACT
13	Mike Evans	WR	23	6'5" 231	2	Texas A&M	ACT
15	Bernard Reedy	WR	26	5'9" 175	2	Toledo	ACT
15	Josh Huff	WR	26	5'11" 206	2	Oregon	ACT
16	Freddie Martino	WR	26	6'0" 195	2	North Greenville	ACT
17	Donteea Dye	WR	23	6'0" 195	1	Heidelberg	RES
22	Doug Martin	RB	27	5'9" 223	4	Boise State	ACT
30	Antone Smith	RB	32	5'9" 192	—	Florida State	RES
32	Jacquizz Rodgers	RB	26	5'6" 205	5	Oregon State	ACT
34	Charles Sims	RB	27	6'0" 211	2	West Virginia	RES
35	Austin Johnson	RB	27	6'2" 240	4	Tennessee	ACT
43	Peyton Barber	RB	22	5'10" 225	R	Auburn	ACT
44	Russell Hansbrough	RB	24	5'8" 195	R	Missouri	ACT
45	Alan Cross	RB	23	6'1" 245	R	Memphis	ACT
82	Brandon Myers	TE	32	6'3" 256	7	Iowa	ACT
83	Vincent Jackson	WR	33	6'5" 230	11	Northern Colorado	RES
84	Cameron Brate	TE	25	6'5" 235	2	Harvard	RES
88	Luke Stocker	TE	28	6'5" 253	5	Tennessee	ACT
89	Russell Shepard	WR	27	6'1" 195	3	LSU	ACT

Offensive line11

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
62	Evan Smith	OL	30	6'2" 308	7	Idaho State	ACT
64	J.R. Sweezy	OL	27	6'5" 298	4	North Carolina State	PUP
64	Kevin Pamphile	OL	27	6'5" 310	2	Purdue	ACT
66	Leonard Wester	OL	23	6'6" 305	R	Missouri Western	ACT
68	Joe Hawley	OL	29	6'3" 302	6	Nevada-Las Vegas	ACT
69	Demar Dotson	OL	32	6'9" 315	7	Southern Mississippi	ACT
72	Ben Gottschalk	OL	24	6'5" 293	—	—	RES
74	Ali Marpet	OL	23	6'4" 307	1	Hobart	ACT
76	Donovan Smith	OL	23	6'6" 338	1	Penn State	ACT
77	Caleb Benenoch	OL	22	6'5" 305	R	UCLA	ACT
78	Gosder Cherilus	OL	32	6'7" 316	8	Boston College	ACT

Defensive front20

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
51	Daryl Smith	LB	34	6'2" 250	12	Georgia Tech	ACT
52	Cameron Lynch	LB	23	6'0" 229	1	Syracuse	ACT
53	Adarius Taylor	LB	27	6'1" 230	2	Florida Atlantic	ACT
54	Lavonte David	LB	26	6'1" 233	4	Nebraska	ACT
56	Jacquies Smith	DL	26	6'2" 260	4	Missouri	RES
57	Noah Spence	DL	22	6'2" 251	R	Eastern Kentucky	ACT
58	Kwon Alexander	LB	22	6'1" 227	1	Louisiana State	ACT
59	Devante Bond	LB	23	6'1" 236	R	Oklahoma	RES
67	John Hughes	DL	28	6'2" 320	4	Cincinnati	ACT
70	Sealver Siliga	DL	26	6'2" 325	5	Utah	ACT
71	Channing Ward	DL	25	6'4" 279	R	Mississippi	ACT
75	DaVonte Lambert	DL	22	6'2" 282	R	Auburn	ACT
91	Robert Ayers	DL	32	6'3" 275	7	Tennessee	ACT
92	William Gholston	DL	25	6'6" 281	3	Michigan State	ACT
93	Gerald McCoy	DL	28	6'4" 300	6	Oklahoma	ACT
94	George Johnson	DL	30	6'4" 265	6	Rutgers	RES
95	Howard Jones	DL	26	6'4" 238	2	Shepherd	RES
97	Akeem Spence	DL	26	6'1" 307	3	Illinois	ACT
98	Clinton McDonald	DL	29	6'2" 297	7	Memphis	ACT
99	Ryan Russell	DL	24	6'5" 275	1	Purdue	ACT

Secondary10

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
21	Alterraun Verner	DB	29	5'10" 187	6	UCLA	ACT
23	Chris Conte	DB	27	6'2" 203	5	California	ACT
24	Brent Grimes	DB	33	5'10" 185	10	Shippensburg	ACT
26	Josh Robinson	DB	25	5'10" 200	4	Central Florida	ACT
28	Vernon Hargreaves	DB	21	5'10" 204	R	Florida	ACT
29	Ryan Smith	DB	24	5'11" 189	R	North Carolina Central	ACT
30	Bradley McDougald	DB	27	6'1" 209	3	Kansas	ACT
35	Javien Elliott	DB	23	5'11" 176	R	Florida State	ACT
37	Keith Tandy	DB	27	5'10" 205	4	West Virginia	ACT
38	Jude Adjei-Barimah	DB	24	5'11" 200	1	Bowling Green State	RES

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
9	Bryan Anger	P	29	6'3" 205	4	California	ACT
19	Roberto Aguayo	K	22	6'0" 207	R	Florida State	ACT
48	Andrew DePaola	LS	29	6'2" 230	4	Rutgers	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Falcons	W 31-24	+2.5	+0.202
2	@ Cardinals	L 7-40	+7.5	-0.278
3	vs Rams	L 32-37	-3.5	-0.010
4	vs Broncos	L 7-27	+3.5	-0.320
5	@ Panthers	W 17-14	+6	+0.041
7	@ 49ers	W 34-17	+1	+0.176
8	vs Raiders	L 24-30	-1	-0.015
9	vs Falcons	L 28-43	+4.5	+0.029
10	vs Bears	W 36-10	+2.5	+0.067
11	@ Chiefs	W 19-17	+7	+0.156
12	vs Seahawks	W 14-5	+5	-0.073
13	@ Chargers	W 28-21	+3.5	+0.124
14	vs Saints	W 16-11	-2	-0.004
15	@ Cowboys	L 20-26	+7	-0.113
16	@ Saints	L 24-31	+3	+0.125
17	vs Panthers	W 17-16	-3.5	-0.172