NFC South · 2017
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.026est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.004
- Success rate44.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.090
- EPA / rush-0.167
- Explosive rate6.5%
- CPOE+3.38
- Third-down rate42.9%
- Red-zone TD rate57.7%
- Points / drive1.79
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.038
- Success rate allowed43.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.133
- EPA / rush allowed-0.104
- Explosive rate allowed9.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.9%
- Sack rate3.5%
- Points / drive allowed2.06
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.004 · 63th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.038 · 92th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-0.8 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
2-5-1
As favorite
3-3
As dog
3-4-1
O/U
8-8
-2.2 vs total
Roster
102 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jameis Winston | QB | 23 | 6'4" 231 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 4 | Ryan Griffin | QB | 29 | 6'5" 210 | 4 | Tulane | ACT |
| 8 | Sefo Liufau | QB | — | 6'3" 232 | R | Colorado | CUT |
| 14 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | 36 | 6'2" 223 | 12 | Harvard | ACT |
Backs & receivers24
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Adam Humphries | WR | 24 | 5'11" 195 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 11 | DeSean Jackson | WR | 32 | 5'10" 175 | 9 | California | ACT |
| 12 | Chris Godwin | WR | 21 | 6'1" 209 | R | Penn State | ACT |
| 13 | Mike Evans | WR | 24 | 6'5" 231 | 3 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 15 | Josh Huff | WR | — | 5'11" 206 | 3 | Oregon | CUT |
| 15 | Jake Lampman | WR | 24 | 6'0" 205 | 1 | Ferris State | DEV |
| 16 | Freddie Martino | WR | 27 | 6'0" 195 | 3 | North Greenville | ACT |
| 17 | Donteea Dye | WR | — | 5'10" 195 | 2 | Heidelberg | CUT |
| 22 | Doug Martin | RB | 28 | 5'9" 223 | 5 | Boise State | ACT |
| 25 | Peyton Barber | RB | 23 | 5'11" 225 | 1 | Auburn | ACT |
| 25 | Blake Sims | RB | — | 5'11" 218 | 1 | Alabama | CUT |
| 32 | Jacquizz Rodgers | RB | 27 | 5'6" 190 | 6 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 34 | Charles Sims | RB | 28 | 6'0" 211 | 3 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 36 | Quayvon Hicks | RB | — | 6'2" 351 | R | Georgia | CUT |
| 45 | Alan Cross | TE | 24 | 6'1" 235 | 1 | Memphis | ACT |
| 46 | Austin Johnson | RB | 28 | 6'2" 240 | 5 | Tennessee | DEV |
| 80 | O.J. Howard | TE | 24 | 6'6" 251 | R | Alabama | RES |
| 81 | Tevin Westbrook | TE | — | 6'5" 237 | 2 | Florida | CUT |
| 82 | Antony Auclair | TE | 24 | 6'5" 256 | R | Laval, Can. | ACT |
| 83 | Jhajuan Seales | WR | 25 | 6'1" 205 | R | Oklahoma State | CUT |
| 84 | Cameron Brate | TE | 26 | 6'5" 235 | 3 | Harvard | ACT |
| 85 | Bobo Wilson | WR | 22 | 5'9" 186 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 87 | Derel Walker | WR | — | 6'1" 188 | 3 | Texas A&M | CUT |
| 89 | Shaq Hill | WR | — | 5'10" 191 | R | Eastern Washington | CUT |
Offensive line18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Jarvis Harrison | OL | — | 6'4" 330 | 2 | Texas A&M | CUT |
| 61 | Josh Allen | OL | — | 6'3" 315 | 3 | Louisiana-Monroe | CUT |
| 62 | Evan Smith | OL | 31 | 6'2" 308 | 8 | Idaho State | ACT |
| 64 | Kevin Pamphile | OL | 28 | 6'5" 315 | 3 | Purdue | ACT |
| 66 | Leonard Wester | OL | 24 | 6'6" 305 | 1 | Missouri Western | ACT |
| 66 | Avery Young | OL | 26 | 6'5" 305 | 1 | Auburn | DEV |
| 67 | Michael Liedtke | OL | 25 | 6'3" 310 | 2 | Illinois State | ACT |
| 68 | Joe Hawley | OL | 30 | 6'3" 302 | 7 | Nevada-Las Vegas | ACT |
| 69 | Demar Dotson | OL | 33 | 6'9" 315 | 8 | Southern Mississippi | RES |
| 72 | Adam Gettis | OL | 30 | 6'3" 305 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 72 | Marquis Lucas | OL | 24 | 6'4" 313 | 1 | West Virginia | CUT |
| 72 | Cole Gardner | OL | 25 | 6'6" 301 | R | Eastern Michigan | RES |
| 73 | J.R. Sweezy | OL | 28 | 6'5" 298 | 5 | North Carolina State | RES |
| 73 | Brad Seaton | OL | 25 | 6'8" 325 | R | Villanova | DEV |
| 74 | Ali Marpet | OL | 24 | 6'4" 307 | 2 | Hobart | RES |
| 76 | Donovan Smith | OL | 24 | 6'6" 338 | 2 | Penn State | ACT |
| 77 | Caleb Benenoch | OL | 23 | 6'5" 305 | 1 | UCLA | ACT |
| 78 | Givens Price | OL | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | Nebraska | DEV |
Defensive front30
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | Eric Nzeocha | LB | 24 | 6'3" 218 | R | Wyoming | DEV |
| 49 | Riley Bullough | LB | 25 | 6'2" 228 | R | Michigan State | ACT |
| 49 | Hendrick Ekpe | DL | — | 6'5" 253 | R | Minnesota | CUT |
| 50 | Jeff Knox | LB | — | 6'2" 225 | R | California (PA) | CUT |
| 51 | Kendell Beckwith | LB | 24 | 6'2" 247 | R | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 52 | Nigel Harris | LB | 24 | 6'0" 225 | R | South Florida | ACT |
| 53 | Adarius Taylor | LB | 28 | 6'1" 230 | 3 | Florida Atlantic | RES |
| 54 | Lavonte David | LB | 27 | 6'1" 233 | 5 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 56 | Darryl Tapp | DL | 34 | 6'1" 270 | 11 | Virginia Tech | CUT |
| 57 | Noah Spence | DL | 23 | 6'2" 251 | 1 | Eastern Kentucky | RES |
| 58 | Kwon Alexander | LB | 23 | 6'1" 227 | 2 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 59 | Devante Bond | LB | 24 | 6'1" 236 | 1 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 61 | Patrick Gamble | DL | 23 | 6'5" 277 | R | Georgia Tech | DEV |
| 70 | Sterling Bailey | DL | 26 | 6'3" 296 | 1 | Georgia | DEV |
| 71 | Channing Ward | DL | 26 | 6'4" 279 | 1 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 72 | Justin Trattou | DL | 29 | 6'4" 258 | 6 | Florida | RES |
| 75 | DaVonte Lambert | DL | 23 | 6'2" 282 | 1 | Auburn | RES |
| 79 | Pat O'Connor | DL | 25 | 6'4" 270 | R | Eastern Michigan | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Baker | DL | 31 | 6'2" 320 | 8 | Hampton | ACT |
| 91 | Robert Ayers | DL | 33 | 6'3" 275 | 8 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 92 | William Gholston | DL | 26 | 6'6" 281 | 4 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 92 | Mehdi Abdesmad | DL | — | 6'6" 284 | 1 | Boston College | CUT |
| 93 | Gerald McCoy | DL | 29 | 6'4" 300 | 7 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 94 | Larry Webster | DL | 27 | 6'6" 275 | 3 | Bloomsburg | CUT |
| 94 | Will Clarke | DL | 26 | 6'6" 275 | 3 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 95 | Ryan Russell | DL | 25 | 6'5" 275 | 2 | Purdue | ACT |
| 96 | Sealver Siliga | DL | 27 | 6'2" 345 | 6 | Utah | ACT |
| 97 | Stevie Tu'ikolovatu | DL | 26 | 6'1" 320 | R | USC | RES |
| 98 | Clinton McDonald | DL | 30 | 6'2" 297 | 8 | Memphis | ACT |
| — | Evan Panfil | DL | 22 | 6'4" 240 | R | Purdue | CUT |
Secondary21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Justin Evans | DB | 22 | 6'0" 199 | R | Texas A&M | RES |
| 23 | Chris Conte | DB | 28 | 6'2" 203 | 6 | California | ACT |
| 24 | Brent Grimes | DB | 34 | 5'10" 185 | 11 | Shippensburg | ACT |
| 25 | Mariel Cooper | DB | — | 5'11" 192 | 1 | The Citadel | CUT |
| 26 | Josh Robinson | DB | 26 | 5'10" 199 | 5 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 27 | Senquez Golson | DB | 24 | 5'9" 176 | 2 | Mississippi | CUT |
| 27 | David Rivers | DB | 23 | 6'0" 185 | R | Youngstown State | ACT |
| 28 | Vernon Hargreaves | DB | 22 | 5'10" 204 | 1 | Florida | RES |
| 29 | Ryan Smith | DB | 25 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | North Carolina Central | ACT |
| 30 | Vernon Harris | DB | — | 6'1" 197 | 1 | Dartmouth | CUT |
| 30 | Reese Fleming | DB | 25 | 5'11" 202 | R | West Virginia | DEV |
| 31 | Cody Riggs | DB | 27 | 5'9" 187 | 2 | Notre Dame | DEV |
| 34 | Marqueston Huff | DB | — | 5'11" 196 | 3 | Wyoming | CUT |
| 35 | Javien Elliott | DB | 24 | 5'11" 176 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 36 | Robert McClain | DB | 29 | 5'9" 195 | 7 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 37 | Keith Tandy | DB | 28 | 5'10" 205 | 5 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 38 | Jude Adjei-Barimah | DB | 25 | 5'11" 200 | 2 | Bowling Green State | RES |
| 39 | Isaiah Johnson | DB | 26 | 6'0" 209 | 1 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 41 | Jonathan Moxey | DB | 22 | 5'10" 185 | R | Boise State | ACT |
| 43 | T.J. Ward | DB | 32 | 5'10" 200 | 7 | Oregon | ACT |
| — | Paul Magloire | DB | — | 6'1" 210 | R | Arizona | CUT |
Specialists5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Hocker | K | — | 6'0" 191 | 3 | Arkansas | CUT |
| 2 | Nick Folk | K | 34 | 6'1" 222 | 10 | Arizona | RES |
| 7 | Patrick Murray | K | 26 | 5'7" 182 | 4 | Fordham | ACT |
| 9 | Bryan Anger | P | 30 | 6'3" 205 | 5 | California | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 32 | 6'1" 240 | 8 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Bears | W 29-7 | -7 | +0.019 |
| 3 | @ Vikings | L 17-34 | +0 | -0.009 |
| 4 | vs Giants | W 25-23 | -2.5 | +0.103 |
| 5 | vs Patriots | L 14-19 | +3.5 | -0.002 |
| 6 | @ Cardinals | L 33-38 | -2.5 | +0.081 |
| 7 | @ Bills | L 27-30 | +3 | +0.099 |
| 8 | vs Panthers | L 3-17 | -1.5 | -0.314 |
| 9 | @ Saints | L 10-30 | +7 | -0.206 |
| 10 | vs Jets | W 15-10 | -1 | -0.104 |
| 11 | @ Dolphins | W 30-20 | -1 | -0.004 |
| 12 | @ Falcons | L 20-34 | +10.5 | +0.079 |
| 13 | @ Packers | L 20-26 | +3 | -0.012 |
| 14 | vs Lions | L 21-24 | +0 | -0.013 |
| 15 | vs Falcons | L 21-24 | +7 | +0.185 |
| 16 | @ Panthers | L 19-22 | +10 | +0.026 |
| 17 | vs Saints | W 31-24 | +6 | +0.110 |