NFC South · 2018

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record

5-11

Net EPA

-0.055est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.045
Success rate44.9%
EPA / dropback+0.165
EPA / rush-0.229
Explosive rate9.1%
CPOE+3.11
Third-down rate46.7%
Red-zone TD rate64.3%
Points / drive1.93
Turnover rate3.2%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.099
Success rate allowed48.9%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.194
EPA / rush allowed-0.048
Explosive rate allowed12.1%
Pressure rate (proxy)20.7%
Sack rate6.2%
Points / drive allowed2.31

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.045 · 63th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.099 · 95th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-7-2

-1.0 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

3-3-2

As favorite

1-3

As dog

6-4-2

O/U

9-7

+1.9 vs total

Roster

109 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Jameis Winston	QB	24	6'4" 231	3	Florida State	ACT
4	Ryan Griffin	QB	30	6'5" 210	5	Tulane	ACT
8	Austin Allen	QB	—	6'1" 209	R	Arkansas	CUT
14	Ryan Fitzpatrick	QB	37	6'2" 223	13	Harvard	ACT

Backs & receivers30

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Adam Humphries	WR	25	5'11" 195	3	Clemson	ACT
11	DeSean Jackson	WR	33	5'10" 175	10	California	ACT
12	Chris Godwin	WR	22	6'1" 209	1	Penn State	ACT
13	Mike Evans	WR	25	6'5" 231	4	Texas A&M	ACT
15	Donteea Dye	WR	—	5'10" 195	3	Heidelberg	CUT
15	K.J. Brent	WR	25	6'3" 202	2	Wake Forest	DEV
16	Freddie Martino	WR	28	6'0" 195	4	North Greenville	CUT
17	Justin Watson	WR	22	6'3" 225	R	Pennsylvania	ACT
18	Bernard Reedy	WR	28	5'8" 175	4	Toledo	DEV
19	Jake Lampman	WR	—	6'0" 205	2	Ferris State	CUT
25	Peyton Barber	RB	24	5'11" 225	2	Auburn	ACT
27	Ronald Jones	RB	21	5'11" 200	R	Southern California	ACT
32	Jacquizz Rodgers	RB	28	5'6" 190	7	Oregon State	ACT
34	Charles Sims	RB	—	6'0" 211	4	West Virginia	CUT
34	Devine Redding	RB	—	5'8" 205	1	Indiana	CUT
38	Shaun Wilson	RB	24	5'9" 185	R	Duke	RES
44	Dalton Crossan	RB	—	5'11" 203	1	New Hampshire	CUT
44	Dare Ogunbowale	RB	24	5'10" 205	1	Wisconsin	DEV
45	Alan Cross	TE	25	6'1" 235	2	Memphis	RES
46	Austin Johnson	RB	—	6'2" 240	6	Tennessee	CUT
80	O.J. Howard	TE	25	6'6" 251	1	Alabama	RES
82	Antony Auclair	TE	25	6'6" 256	1	Laval, Can.	ACT
83	Sergio Bailey	WR	24	6'0" 186	R	Eastern Michigan	RES
84	Cameron Brate	TE	27	6'5" 235	4	Harvard	ACT
85	Bobo Wilson	WR	23	5'9" 186	1	Florida State	ACT
86	Donnie Ernsberger	TE	23	6'2" 255	R	Western Michigan	ACT
87	Matt Weiser	TE	—	6'5" 241	2	Buffalo	CUT
87	Colin Jeter	TE	—	6'7" 254	1	LSU	CUT
88	Tanner Hudson	TE	25	6'5" 239	R	Southern Arkansas	ACT
89	Ervin Philips	WR	—	5'11" 179	R	Syracuse	CUT

Offensive line15

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Leonard Wester	OL	25	6'6" 305	2	Missouri Western	ACT
62	Evan Smith	OL	32	6'2" 308	9	Idaho State	RES
64	Cole Boozer	OL	24	6'5" 275	R	Temple	DEV
65	Alex Cappa	OL	23	6'6" 305	R	Humboldt State	ACT
66	Ryan Jensen	OL	27	6'4" 319	5	Colorado State-Pueblo	ACT
67	Michael Liedtke	OL	26	6'3" 310	3	Illinois State	ACT
68	Cole Gardner	OL	26	6'6" 301	1	Eastern Michigan	CUT
69	Demar Dotson	OL	34	6'9" 315	9	Southern Mississippi	ACT
70	Ruben Holcomb	OL	25	6'4" 309	R	Indianapolis	DEV
72	Adam Gettis	OL	31	6'3" 315	6	Iowa	CUT
73	Jerry Ugokwe	OL	—	6'7" 315	1	William & Mary	CUT
74	Ali Marpet	OL	25	6'4" 307	3	Hobart	ACT
76	Donovan Smith	OL	25	6'6" 338	3	Penn State	ACT
77	Caleb Benenoch	OL	24	6'5" 305	2	UCLA	ACT
78	Givens Price	OL	—	6'4" 310	2	Nebraska	CUT

Defensive front36

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Kevin Minter	LB	29	6'0" 246	5	Louisiana State	RES
41	Farrington Huguenin	LB	26	6'4" 268	2	Kentucky	DEV
46	Eric Nzeocha	LB	25	6'3" 218	1	Wyoming	DEV
48	Jack Cichy	LB	22	6'2" 238	R	Wisconsin	RES
49	Riley Bullough	LB	26	6'2" 228	1	Michigan State	ACT
50	Vita Vea	DL	23	6'4" 340	R	Washington	ACT
51	Kendell Beckwith	LB	25	6'2" 243	1	Louisiana State	RSN
52	Cameron Lynch	LB	25	6'0" 229	3	Syracuse	ACT
53	Adarius Taylor	LB	29	6'1" 230	4	Florida Atlantic	ACT
53	Emmanuel Smith	LB	23	6'2" 240	R	Vanderbilt	DEV
54	Lavonte David	LB	28	6'1" 233	6	Nebraska	ACT
56	Jerel Worthy	DL	28	6'2" 300	6	Michigan State	CUT
56	Rakeem Nunez-Roches	DL	25	6'2" 307	3	Southern Mississippi	ACT
56	Shaheed Salmon	LB	—	6'2" 232	R	Samford	CUT
57	Noah Spence	DL	24	6'2" 251	2	Eastern Kentucky	ACT
58	Kwon Alexander	LB	24	6'1" 227	3	Louisiana State	RES
59	Devante Bond	LB	25	6'1" 236	2	Oklahoma	ACT
71	Channing Ward	DL	27	6'4" 279	2	Mississippi	CUT
71	Drew Iddings	DL	—	6'5" 290	2	South Dakota	CUT
71	Demone Harris	DL	24	6'4" 272	R	Buffalo	DEV
71	Adam Reth	DL	—	6'3" 270	R	Northern Iowa	CUT
73	Nathan Bazata	DL	—	6'1" 282	R	Iowa	CUT
75	DaVonte Lambert	DL	24	6'2" 282	2	Auburn	CUT
78	Jeremiah Ledbetter	DL	24	6'3" 295	1	Arkansas	ACT
78	Evan Perrizo	DL	—	6'5" 275	R	Minnesota State	CUT
79	Pat O'Connor	DL	26	6'4" 270	1	Eastern Michigan	DEV
90	Jason Pierre-Paul	DL	29	6'5" 278	8	South Florida	ACT
91	Beau Allen	DL	28	6'3" 327	4	Wisconsin	ACT
92	William Gholston	DL	27	6'6" 281	5	Michigan State	ACT
93	Gerald McCoy	DL	30	6'4" 300	8	Oklahoma	ACT
94	Carl Nassib	DL	25	6'7" 275	2	Penn State	ACT
94	Alec James	DL	25	6'3" 272	R	Wisconsin	DEV
95	Will Clarke	DL	27	6'6" 275	4	West Virginia	CUT
96	Stevie Tu'ikolovatu	DL	27	6'1" 320	1	USC	RES
97	Vinny Curry	DL	30	6'3" 279	6	Marshall	ACT
98	Mitch Unrein	DL	31	6'4" 301	8	Wyoming	RES

Secondary19

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
21	Justin Evans	DB	23	6'0" 199	1	Texas A&M	RES
22	De'Vante Harris	DB	24	5'11" 190	2	Texas A&M	ACT
22	Josh Liddell	DB	—	6'1" 211	R	Arkansas	CUT
23	Chris Conte	DB	29	6'2" 203	7	California	RES
24	Brent Grimes	DB	35	5'10" 185	12	Shippensburg	ACT
26	Andrew Adams	DB	25	5'11" 202	2	Connecticut	ACT
28	Vernon Hargreaves	DB	23	5'10" 204	2	Florida	RES
29	Ryan Smith	DB	26	5'11" 190	2	North Carolina Central	ACT
30	Josh Shaw	DB	26	6'1" 200	3	Southern California	ACT
30	Reese Fleming	DB	26	5'11" 202	1	West Virginia	CUT
31	Jordan Whitehead	DB	21	5'10" 195	R	Pittsburgh	ACT
33	Carlton Davis	DB	23	6'1" 203	R	Auburn	ACT
35	Javien Elliott	DB	25	5'11" 176	2	Florida State	ACT
36	M.J. Stewart	DB	24	5'11" 205	R	North Carolina	ACT
37	David Rivers	DB	24	6'0" 185	1	Youngstown State	ACT
38	Marko Myers	DB	25	5'10" 185	R	Southeastern University	CUT
39	Isaiah Johnson	DB	27	6'0" 209	2	South Carolina	ACT
44	Amari Coleman	DB	23	5'11" 188	R	Central Michigan	CUT
—	Aaron Davis	DB	—	6'1" 195	R	Georgia	CUT

Specialists5

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	Cairo Santos	K	28	5'8" 160	4	Tulane	ACT
5	Trevor Moore	K	—	5'11" 187	R	North Texas	CUT
9	Bryan Anger	P	31	6'3" 205	6	California	ACT
41	Drew Ferris	LS	—	6'0" 230	2	Florida	CUT
89	Garrison Sanborn	LS	33	6'1" 240	9	Florida State	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Saints	W 48-40	+10	+0.466
2	vs Eagles	W 27-21	+3	+0.104
3	vs Steelers	L 27-30	-1	-0.037
4	@ Bears	L 10-48	+3	-0.116
6	@ Falcons	L 29-34	+3	+0.261
7	vs Browns	W 26-23	-3.5	-0.086
8	@ Bengals	L 34-37	+3.5	+0.073
9	@ Panthers	L 28-42	+6	+0.003
10	vs Commanders	L 3-16	-3.5	-0.114
11	@ Giants	L 35-38	+3	+0.187
12	vs 49ers	W 27-9	-1.5	+0.152
13	vs Panthers	W 24-17	+3.5	+0.011
14	vs Saints	L 14-28	+8.5	-0.051
15	@ Ravens	L 12-20	+8.5	-0.157
16	@ Cowboys	L 20-27	+7	-0.095
17	vs Falcons	L 32-34	+2.5	+0.195