NFC West · 2004
Arizona Cardinals
Record
6-10
Net EPA
+0.008est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.097
- Success rate38.1%
- EPA / dropback-0.074
- EPA / rush-0.128
- Explosive rate7.0%
- Third-down rate34.7%
- Red-zone TD rate58.0%
- Points / drive1.19
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.081
- Success rate allowed39.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.026
- EPA / rush allowed-0.154
- Explosive rate allowed9.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.3%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.40
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.097 · 22th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.081 · 26th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+1.3 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-1
As dog
7-6
O/U
9-7
-1.3 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2004
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Rams | L 10-17 | +11 | -0.068 |
| 2 | vs Patriots | L 12-23 | +8 | -0.275 |
| 3 | @ Falcons | L 3-6 | +11 | -0.297 |
| 4 | vs Saints | W 34-10 | +3.5 | +0.118 |
| 5 | @ 49ers | L 28-31 | +1 | +0.127 |
| 7 | vs Seahawks | W 25-17 | +6.5 | -0.180 |
| 8 | @ Bills | L 14-38 | +4.5 | -0.181 |
| 9 | @ Dolphins | W 24-23 | +3 | +0.077 |
| 10 | vs Giants | W 17-14 | -1 | -0.064 |
| 11 | @ Panthers | L 10-35 | +3 | -0.177 |
| 12 | vs Jets | L 3-13 | +3 | -0.149 |
| 13 | @ Lions | L 12-26 | +6 | -0.289 |
| 14 | vs 49ers | L 28-31 | -7 | +0.088 |
| 15 | vs Rams | W 31-7 | +3 | +0.059 |
| 16 | @ Seahawks | L 21-24 | +7 | -0.009 |
| 17 | vs Buccaneers | W 12-7 | -4 | -0.302 |

