NFC South · 2007
Atlanta Falcons
Record
4-12
Net EPA
-0.195est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.148
- Success rate37.3%
- EPA / dropback-0.138
- EPA / rush-0.167
- Explosive rate7.5%
- CPOE-3.93
- Third-down rate36.4%
- Red-zone TD rate48.0%
- Points / drive1.07
- Turnover rate2.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.020
- Success rate allowed44.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.061
- EPA / rush allowed-0.031
- Explosive rate allowed9.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)10.5%
- Sack rate4.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.96
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.148 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.020 · 78th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
-4.0 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
5-3
As favorite
1-0
As dog
7-8
O/U
9-7
+3.0 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Byron Leftwich | QB | 27 | 6'5" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 8 | Chris Redman | QB | 30 | 6'3" 223 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Joey Harrington | QB | 30 | 6'4" 222 | 5 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Michael Jenkins | WR | 25 | 6'4" 208 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Eric Weems | WR | 22 | 5'9" 182 | R | Bethune-Cookman | ACT |
| 19 | Laurent Robinson | WR | 22 | 6'2" 201 | R | — | ACT |
| 28 | Warrick Dunn | RB | 32 | 5'9" 187 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Jerious Norwood | RB | 24 | 5'11" 202 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Ovie Mughelli | FB | 27 | 6'1" 254 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Corey McIntyre | FB | 28 | 6'0" 244 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Jason Snelling | RB | 25 | 5'11" 232 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Courtney Anderson | TE | 28 | 6'6" 270 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Courtney Anderson | TE | 28 | 6'6" 270 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 81 | Adam Jennings | WR | 26 | 5'9" 176 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Alge Crumpler | TE | 31 | 6'2" 264 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Roddy White | WR | 27 | 6'0" 206 | 2 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
| 85 | Dwayne Blakley | TE | 28 | 6'4" 261 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Joe Horn | WR | 35 | 6'1" 208 | 11 | — | ACT |
Offensive line12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 30 | 6'1" 295 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Justin Blalock | G | 25 | 6'4" 329 | R | — | ACT |
| 64 | Patrick McCoy | T | 28 | 6'5" 328 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Patrick McCoy | T | 28 | 6'5" 328 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 65 | Kynan Forney | G | 30 | 6'3" 311 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Ben Wilkerson | C | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 70 | D'Anthony Batiste | G | 25 | 6'4" 318 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kurt Quarterman | G | 23 | 6'5" 328 | R | — | ACT |
| 73 | Harvey Dahl | T | 26 | 6'5" 313 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 73 | Harvey Dahl | T | 26 | 6'5" 313 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Quinn Ojinnaka | T | 23 | 6'5" 312 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Tyson Clabo | G | 27 | 6'6" 319 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Marcus Wilkins | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 233 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Demorrio Williams | OLB | 27 | 6'0" 226 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Travis Williams | LB | 24 | 5'11" 217 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Tony Taylor | MLB | 23 | 6'0" 241 | R | — | ACT |
| 54 | Stephen Nicholas | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 232 | R | — | ACT |
| 55 | John Abraham | DE | 29 | 6'4" 266 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Brooking | MLB | 33 | 6'2" 243 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Michael Boley | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 242 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Chauncey Davis | DE | 24 | 6'2" 271 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Tim Anderson | DT | 28 | 6'3" 328 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Tim Anderson | DT | 28 | 6'3" 328 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 95 | Jonathan Babineaux | DT | 27 | 6'2" 288 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 96 | Montavious Stanley | DT | 27 | 6'2" 308 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Jamaal Anderson | DE | 21 | 6'6" 283 | R | — | ACT |
| 99 | Derrick Jones | DE | 24 | 6'4" 282 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | DeAngelo Hall | CB | 25 | 5'10" 201 | 3 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 23 | Chris Houston | CB | 24 | 5'11" 183 | R | — | ACT |
| 24 | Jimmy Williams | FS | 23 | 6'3" 212 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Chris Crocker | FS | 27 | 5'11" 193 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 30 | David Irons | CB | 26 | 5'11" 190 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | Lawyer Milloy | SS | 35 | 6'0" 213 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Daren Stone | SS | 22 | 6'3" 218 | R | — | ACT |
| 41 | Antoine Harris | SS | 25 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Brent Grimes | DB | 24 | 5'10" 180 | 1 | Shippensburg | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Morten Andersen | K | 47 | 6'2" 225 | 25 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Michael Koenen | P | 25 | 5'11" 194 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 46 | Mike Schneck | LS | 30 | 6'1" 233 | 8 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Vikings | L 3-24 | +3 | -0.272 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | L 7-13 | +10 | +0.038 |
| 3 | vs Panthers | L 20-27 | +4 | +0.057 |
| 4 | vs Texans | W 26-16 | +2.5 | +0.072 |
| 5 | @ Titans | L 13-20 | +9 | -0.440 |
| 6 | vs Giants | L 10-31 | +4.5 | -0.249 |
| 7 | @ Saints | L 16-22 | +9 | -0.011 |
| 9 | vs 49ers | W 20-16 | -3.5 | -0.161 |
| 10 | @ Panthers | W 20-13 | +3.5 | -0.085 |
| 11 | vs Buccaneers | L 7-31 | +3 | -0.443 |
| 12 | vs Colts | L 13-31 | +13.5 | -0.227 |
| 13 | @ Rams | L 16-28 | +3 | -0.127 |
| 14 | vs Saints | L 14-34 | +4 | -0.295 |
| 15 | @ Buccaneers | L 3-37 | +13 | -0.736 |
| 16 | @ Cardinals | L 27-30 | +11 | +0.125 |
| 17 | vs Seahawks | W 44-41 | +2 | +0.169 |