NFC South · 2010
Atlanta Falcons
Record
13-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.134est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.066
- Success rate43.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.161
- EPA / rush-0.066
- Explosive rate6.3%
- CPOE+0.37
- Third-down rate46.9%
- Red-zone TD rate58.8%
- Points / drive2.13
- Turnover rate1.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.042
- Success rate allowed42.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.016
- EPA / rush allowed-0.147
- Explosive rate allowed7.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.5%
- Sack rate5.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.41
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.066 · 81th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.042 · 29th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
11-5
+3.8 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
6-2
As favorite
10-4
As dog
1-1
O/U
9-5-2
+0.1 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 25 | 6'4" 220 | 2 | Boston College | ACT |
| 4 | John Parker Wilson | QB | 26 | 6'2" 218 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 8 | Chris Redman | QB | 33 | 6'3" 229 | 10 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Michael Jenkins | WR | 28 | 6'4" 217 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Eric Weems | WR | 25 | 5'9" 194 | 3 | Bethune-Cookman | ACT |
| 27 | Gartrell Johnson | RB | 24 | 5'10" 219 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Michael Turner | RB | 28 | 5'10" 244 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Ovie Mughelli | FB | 30 | 6'1" 250 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Antone Smith | RB | 26 | 5'9" 190 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 44 | Jason Snelling | RB | 28 | 5'11" 223 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Michael Palmer | TE | 22 | 6'5" 260 | R | — | ACT |
| 83 | Harry Douglas | WR | 27 | 6'0" 182 | 2 | Louisville | ACT |
| 84 | Roddy White | WR | 30 | 6'0" 212 | 5 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Finneran | WR | 34 | 6'5" 210 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Justin Peelle | TE | 31 | 6'4" 251 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Tony Gonzalez | TE | 34 | 6'5" 243 | 13 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Joe Hawley | C | 23 | 6'3" 297 | R | Nevada-Las Vegas | ACT |
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 33 | 6'1" 296 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Justin Blalock | G | 28 | 6'4" 329 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Sam Baker | T | 25 | 6'5" 307 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Harvey Dahl | G | 29 | 6'5" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Will Svitek | T | 28 | 6'6" 309 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Garrett Reynolds | T | 23 | 6'7" 317 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Tyson Clabo | T | 30 | 6'6" 331 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Mike Johnson | G | 23 | 6'5" 312 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Curtis Lofton | MLB | 24 | 6'0" 242 | 2 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 52 | Coy Wire | MLB | 33 | 6'0" 225 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Mike Peterson | OLB | 34 | 6'1" 233 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Stephen Nicholas | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 230 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | John Abraham | DE | 32 | 6'4" 263 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Sean Weatherspoon | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 239 | R | Missouri | ACT |
| 59 | Spencer Adkins | OLB | 23 | 5'11" 242 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kroy Biermann | DE | 26 | 6'3" 260 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Lawrence Sidbury | DE | 24 | 6'3" 265 | 1 | Richmond | ACT |
| 91 | Corey Peters | DT | 22 | 6'3" 295 | R | Kentucky | ACT |
| 92 | Chauncey Davis | DE | 27 | 6'2" 262 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Peria Jerry | DT | 26 | 6'2" 294 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Jonathan Babineaux | DT | 30 | 6'2" 296 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 97 | Trey Lewis | DT | 25 | 6'3" 316 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Jamaal Anderson | DE | 24 | 6'6" 289 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Vance Walker | DT | 23 | 6'2" 307 | 1 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Brent Grimes | CB | 27 | 5'10" 181 | 4 | Shippensburg | ACT |
| 21 | Christopher Owens | CB | 25 | 5'9" 179 | 1 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 23 | Dunta Robinson | CB | 28 | 5'10" 182 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Dominique Franks | CB | 24 | 5'11" 194 | R | — | ACT |
| 25 | William Moore | SS | 25 | 6'0" 218 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 26 | Erik Coleman | SS | 28 | 5'10" 207 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Thomas DeCoud | FS | 25 | 6'0" 193 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Brian Williams | CB | 31 | 5'11" 202 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Rafael Bush | DB | 23 | 5'11" 197 | R | South Carolina State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 35 | 5'9" 200 | 8 | Baylor | ACT |
| 9 | Michael Koenen | P | 28 | 5'11" 198 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Joe Zelenka | LS | 34 | 6'3" 260 | 11 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Steelers | L 9-15 | -1 | -0.120 |
| 2 | vs Cardinals | W 41-7 | -7 | +0.258 |
| 3 | @ Saints | W 27-24 | +3 | +0.122 |
| 4 | vs 49ers | W 16-14 | -7 | -0.019 |
| 5 | @ Browns | W 20-10 | -3 | +0.047 |
| 6 | @ Eagles | L 17-31 | +1 | -0.028 |
| 7 | vs Bengals | W 39-32 | -3.5 | +0.156 |
| 9 | vs Buccaneers | W 27-21 | -10 | +0.174 |
| 10 | vs Ravens | W 26-21 | -1 | +0.123 |
| 11 | @ Rams | W 34-17 | -3.5 | +0.142 |
| 12 | vs Packers | W 20-17 | -2.5 | +0.098 |
| 13 | @ Buccaneers | W 28-24 | -3 | +0.076 |
| 14 | @ Panthers | W 31-10 | -7 | +0.113 |
| 15 | @ Seahawks | W 34-18 | -5.5 | +0.061 |
| 16 | vs Saints | L 14-17 | -2 | -0.238 |
| 17 | vs Panthers | W 31-10 | -14 | +0.012 |
| DIV | vs Packers | L 21-48 | -1 | -0.259 |