NFC South · 2021
Atlanta Falcons
Record
7-10
Net EPA
-0.158est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.076
- Success rate41.2%
- EPA / dropback-0.028
- EPA / rush-0.162
- Explosive rate8.2%
- CPOE+0.85
- Third-down rate38.5%
- Red-zone TD rate52.7%
- Points / drive1.58
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.080
- Success rate allowed48.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.187
- EPA / rush allowed-0.066
- Explosive rate allowed8.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)11.5%
- Sack rate2.7%
- Points / drive allowed2.40
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.076 · 17th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.080 · 86th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10-1
-5.0 vs line
Home
1-7
Away
5-3-1
As favorite
3-3
As dog
3-7-1
O/U
7-10
-1.5 vs total
Roster
79 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 36 | 6'4" 217 | 13 | Boston College | ACT |
| 5 | AJ McCarron | QB | 32 | 6'3" 220 | 7 | Alabama | RES |
| 12 | Matt Barkley | QB | 32 | 6'2" 234 | 8 | Southern California | DEV |
| 15 | Feleipe Franks | QB | 25 | 6'6" 245 | R | Arkansas | ACT |
| 16 | Josh Rosen | QB | 24 | 6'4" 226 | 3 | UCLA | INA |
Backs & receivers20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tajae Sharpe | WR | 28 | 6'4" 194 | 5 | Massachusetts | ACT |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | 22 | 6'6" 250 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 9 | Marvin Hall | WR | 28 | 5'10" 190 | 5 | Washington | CUT |
| 13 | Christian Blake | WR | 25 | 6'1" 181 | 3 | Northern Illinois | ACT |
| 14 | Russell Gage | WR | 25 | 6'0" 184 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 17 | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | 24 | 5'8" 193 | 2 | Virginia | ACT |
| 18 | Calvin Ridley | WR | 28 | 6'1" 190 | 3 | Alabama | RES |
| 28 | Mike Davis | RB | 28 | 5'9" 221 | 6 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 30 | Qadree Ollison | RB | 26 | 6'1" 232 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 40 | Keith Smith | RB | 29 | 6'0" 240 | 7 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 42 | Caleb Huntley | RB | 24 | 5'10" 229 | R | Ball State | DEV |
| 46 | Parker Hesse | TE | 26 | 6'3" 261 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 81 | Hayden Hurst | TE | 28 | 6'4" 245 | 3 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 82 | Chad Hansen | WR | 26 | 6'2" 202 | 4 | California | DEV |
| 82 | Austin Trammell | WR | 23 | 5'10" 185 | R | Rice | ACT |
| 84 | Cordarrelle Patterson | RB | 30 | 6'2" 238 | 8 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 85 | Lee Smith | TE | 35 | 6'6" 265 | 10 | Marshall | ACT |
| 87 | Jaeden Graham | TE | 27 | 6'4" 250 | 3 | Yale | RES |
| 88 | Frank Darby | WR | 25 | 6'1" 200 | R | Arizona State | INA |
| 89 | John Raine | TE | 23 | 6'1" 230 | R | Northwestern | DEV |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Matt Hennessy | OL | 25 | 6'4" 290 | 1 | Temple | ACT |
| 63 | Chris Lindstrom | OL | 24 | 6'4" 307 | 2 | Boston College | ACT |
| 64 | Ryan Neuzil | OL | 24 | 6'3" 290 | R | Appalachian State | DEV |
| 66 | Colby Gossett | OL | 26 | 6'5" 331 | 3 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 67 | Drew Dalman | OL | 24 | 6'3" 300 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 68 | Josh Andrews | OL | 30 | 6'2" 298 | 7 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 69 | Jason Spriggs | OL | 27 | 6'6" 301 | 5 | Indiana | RES |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | OL | 29 | 6'5" 309 | 7 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 71 | Rick Leonard | OL | 26 | 6'7" 311 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 72 | Willie Beavers | OL | 29 | 6'5" 322 | 5 | Western Michigan | DEV |
| 73 | Matt Gono | OL | 25 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | Wesley | RES |
| 76 | Kaleb McGary | OL | 26 | 6'6" 306 | 2 | Washington | ACT |
| 77 | Jalen Mayfield | OL | 21 | 6'5" 320 | R | Michigan | INA |
Defensive front23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mykal Walker | LB | 24 | 6'3" 219 | 1 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 6 | Dante Fowler | LB | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 6 | Florida | ACT |
| 45 | Deion Jones | LB | 28 | 6'1" 227 | 5 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 48 | Dorian Etheridge | LB | 24 | 6'3" 230 | R | Louisville | DEV |
| 50 | John Cominsky | DL | 27 | 6'5" 285 | 2 | Charleston, W. Va. | INA |
| 51 | Brandon Copeland | LB | 30 | 6'3" 263 | 8 | Pennsylvania | ACT |
| 52 | Emmanuel Ellerbee | LB | 26 | 6'1" 235 | 3 | Rice | RES |
| 53 | Daren Bates | LB | 32 | 5'11" 225 | 8 | Auburn | ACT |
| 53 | Rashad Smith | LB | 24 | 6'1" 220 | 1 | Florida Atlantic | DEV |
| 54 | Foyesade Oluokun | LB | 26 | 6'2" 215 | 3 | Yale | ACT |
| 55 | Steven Means | LB | 32 | 6'3" 263 | 8 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 56 | Quinton Bell | LB | 25 | 6'4" 253 | 2 | Prairie View | DEV |
| 58 | Jordan Brailford | LB | 27 | 6'3" 252 | 2 | Oklahoma State | DEV |
| 90 | Marlon Davidson | DL | 23 | 6'3" 279 | 1 | Auburn | ACT |
| 91 | Nick Thurman | DL | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | Houston | DEV |
| 92 | Adetokunbo Ogundeji | LB | 24 | 6'4" 268 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 93 | James Vaughters | LB | 28 | 6'2" 254 | 6 | Stanford | INA |
| 94 | Anthony Rush | DL | 26 | 6'5" 350 | 2 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
| 95 | Ta'Quon Graham | DL | 24 | 6'4" 285 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 96 | Tyeler Davison | DL | 30 | 6'2" 309 | 6 | Fresno State | INA |
| 97 | Grady Jarrett | DL | 28 | 6'0" 305 | 6 | Clemson | ACT |
| 98 | Mike Pennel | DL | 30 | 6'4" 332 | 7 | Colorado State-Pueblo | ACT |
| 99 | Jonathan Bullard | DL | 29 | 6'3" 296 | 5 | Florida | RES |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cornell Armstrong | DB | 27 | 6'0" 185 | 3 | Southern Mississippi | DEV |
| 20 | Kendall Sheffield | DB | 25 | 5'10" 212 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 21 | Duron Harmon | DB | 30 | 6'1" 205 | 8 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 22 | Fabian Moreau | DB | 27 | 6'0" 204 | 4 | UCLA | ACT |
| 23 | Erik Harris | DB | 31 | 6'2" 220 | 5 | California, Pa. | RES |
| 24 | A.J. Terrell | DB | 24 | 6'1" 190 | 1 | Clemson | ACT |
| 26 | Isaiah Oliver | DB | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 3 | Colorado | RES |
| 27 | Richie Grant | DB | 25 | 6'0" 194 | R | Central Florida | ACT |
| 32 | Jaylinn Hawkins | DB | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 1 | California | ACT |
| 33 | Luther Kirk | DB | 26 | 6'2" 195 | 1 | Illinois State | DEV |
| 34 | Darren Hall | DB | 21 | 6'0" 190 | R | San Diego State | ACT |
| 35 | Avery Williams | DB | 23 | 5'9" 195 | R | Boise State | ACT |
| 36 | Shawn Williams | DB | 30 | 6'0" 210 | 8 | Georgia | ACT |
| 38 | Lafayette Pitts | DB | 30 | 5'11" 194 | 5 | Pittsburgh | DEV |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Younghoe Koo | K | 27 | 5'10" 195 | 4 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 9 | Dom Maggio | P | 23 | 6'3" 190 | 1 | Wake Forest | DEV |
| 19 | Thomas Morstead | P | 35 | 6'4" 235 | 12 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 47 | Josh Harris | LS | 32 | 6'1" 224 | 9 | Auburn | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eagles | L 6-32 | -3.5 | -0.277 |
| 2 | @ Buccaneers | L 25-48 | +13.5 | -0.276 |
| 3 | @ Giants | W 17-14 | +3 | +0.069 |
| 4 | vs Commanders | L 30-34 | +1 | +0.201 |
| 5 | vs Jets | W 27-20 | -3 | +0.221 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | W 30-28 | -1.5 | +0.116 |
| 8 | vs Panthers | L 13-19 | -2.5 | -0.144 |
| 9 | @ Saints | W 27-25 | +7 | +0.073 |
| 10 | @ Cowboys | L 3-43 | +8 | -0.479 |
| 11 | vs Patriots | L 0-25 | +7 | -0.556 |
| 12 | @ Jaguars | W 21-14 | -1.5 | +0.123 |
| 13 | vs Buccaneers | L 17-30 | +11 | -0.066 |
| 14 | @ Panthers | W 29-21 | +2.5 | +0.052 |
| 15 | @ 49ers | L 13-31 | +9.5 | -0.200 |
| 16 | vs Lions | W 20-16 | -7.5 | +0.042 |
| 17 | @ Bills | L 15-29 | +14 | -0.138 |
| 18 | vs Saints | L 20-30 | +4.5 | -0.246 |