NFC South · 2022

Atlanta Falcons

Record

7-10

Net EPA

-0.037est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.002
Success rate45.4%
EPA / dropback-0.001
EPA / rush+0.004
Explosive rate9.6%
CPOE-0.74
Third-down rate41.9%
Red-zone TD rate60.2%
Points / drive1.97
Turnover rate1.8%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.063
Success rate allowed48.2%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.121
EPA / rush allowed-0.012
Explosive rate allowed9.5%
Pressure rate (proxy)14.0%
Sack rate3.4%
Points / drive allowed2.16

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.002 · 42th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.063 · 89th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-8-1

+0.8 vs line

Home

4-4-1

Away

4-4

As favorite

1-3-1

As dog

7-5

O/U

7-10

+0.4 vs total

Roster

85 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Marcus Mariota	QB	30	6'4" 222	7	Oregon	RES
4	Desmond Ridder	QB	23	6'3" 215	R	Cincinnati	ACT
6	Logan Woodside	QB	27	6'2" 213	4	Toledo	ACT

Backs & receivers23

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	Drake London	WR	21	6'4" 210	R	Southern California	ACT
8	Kyle Pitts	TE	23	6'6" 250	1	Florida	RES
12	KhaDarel Hodge	WR	27	5'11" 205	4	Prairie View	ACT
13	Ra'Shaun Henry	WR	24	6'3" 190	R	Virginia	DEV
14	Damiere Byrd	WR	29	5'9" 180	7	South Carolina	ACT
15	Feleipe Franks	TE	26	6'6" 245	1	Arkansas	INA
17	Olamide Zaccheaus	WR	25	5'8" 193	3	Virginia	ACT
25	Tyler Allgeier	RB	22	5'10" 220	R	Brigham Young	ACT
35	Avery Williams	RB	24	5'9" 195	1	Boise State	ACT
35	B.J. Baylor	RB	25	5'11" 205	R	Oregon State	DEV
40	Keith Smith	RB	30	6'0" 240	8	San Jose State	ACT
41	John Raine	TE	24	6'2" 230	1	Northwestern	DEV
42	Caleb Huntley	RB	25	5'10" 229	1	Ball State	RES
46	Parker Hesse	TE	27	6'3" 261	3	Iowa	ACT
80	Josh Ali	WR	23	6'0" 193	R	Kentucky	ACT
83	Jared Bernhardt	WR	26	6'1" 195	R	Ferris State	RES
84	Cordarrelle Patterson	RB	31	6'2" 238	9	Tennessee	ACT
85	MyCole Pruitt	TE	30	6'2" 243	7	Southern Illinois	ACT
86	Anthony Firkser	TE	27	6'2" 246	5	Harvard	ACT
87	John FitzPatrick	TE	22	6'7" 250	R	Georgia	RES
88	Frank Darby	WR	26	6'1" 200	1	Arizona State	ACT
—	Clint Ratkovich	RB	—	— 214	R	—	DEV
—	Emeka Emezie	WR	—	— 208	R	—	DEV

Offensive line14

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Matt Hennessy	OL	26	6'3" 290	2	Temple	ACT
62	Jonotthan Harrison	OL	31	6'4" 300	8	Florida	DEV
63	Chris Lindstrom	OL	25	6'4" 307	3	Boston College	ACT
64	Ryan Neuzil	OL	25	6'3" 290	1	Appalachian State	ACT
66	Colby Gossett	OL	27	6'5" 331	4	Appalachian State	ACT
67	Drew Dalman	OL	25	6'3" 300	1	Stanford	ACT
68	Elijah Wilkinson	OL	27	6'4" 329	5	Massachusetts	INA
70	Jake Matthews	OL	30	6'5" 309	8	Texas A&M	ACT
71	Chuma Edoga	OL	25	6'3" 308	3	Southern California	RES
73	Tyler Vrabel	OL	22	6'6" 307	R	Boston College	DEV
74	Germain Ifedi	OL	28	6'5" 325	6	Texas A&M	ACT
75	Justin Shaffer	OL	24	6'4" 330	R	Georgia	DEV
76	Kaleb McGary	OL	27	6'6" 306	3	Washington	ACT
77	Jalen Mayfield	OL	22	6'5" 320	1	Michigan	RES

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Mykal Walker	LB	25	6'3" 219	2	Fresno State	ACT
9	Lorenzo Carter	LB	28	6'5" 250	4	Georgia	ACT
44	Troy Andersen	LB	23	6'4" 230	R	Montana State	ACT
47	Arnold Ebiketie	LB	23	6'3" 256	R	Penn State	ACT
48	Dorian Etheridge	LB	25	6'3" 230	1	Louisville	DEV
50	Kobe Smith	DL	24	6'2" 300	2	South Carolina	DEV
51	DeAngelo Malone	LB	23	6'4" 240	R	Western Kentucky	ACT
53	Nick Kwiatkoski	LB	29	6'2" 242	6	West Virginia	ACT
54	Rashaan Evans	LB	28	6'2" 234	4	Alabama	ACT
55	Nate Landman	LB	25	6'3" 230	R	Colorado	DEV
56	Quinton Bell	LB	26	6'4" 253	3	Prairie View	DEV
59	David Anenih	LB	23	6'2" 249	R	Houston	INA
90	Jaleel Johnson	DL	28	6'3" 316	5	Iowa	ACT
91	Eddie Goldman	DL	28	6'3" 320	7	Florida State	RET
91	Matt Dickerson	DL	28	6'5" 290	4	UCLA	ACT
92	Adetokunbo Ogundeji	LB	25	6'4" 268	1	Notre Dame	ACT
93	Timmy Horne	DL	26	6'4" 321	R	Kansas State	ACT
94	Jalen Dalton	DL	25	6'6" 288	3	North Carolina	INA
94	Amani Bledsoe	DL	24	6'4" 280	3	Oklahoma	DEV
95	Ta'Quon Graham	DL	25	6'4" 285	1	Texas	RES
96	Vincent Taylor	DL	28	6'3" 311	5	Oklahoma State	RES
97	Grady Jarrett	DL	29	6'0" 305	7	Clemson	ACT
98	Abdullah Anderson	DL	26	6'3" 295	4	Bucknell	ACT
99	Derrick Tangelo	DL	23	6'1" 305	R	Penn State	DEV

Secondary17

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Jovante Moffatt	DB	27	5'11" 210	2	Middle Tennessee	RES
21	Rashad Fenton	DB	25	5'11" 188	3	South Carolina	INA
22	Cornell Armstrong	DB	28	6'0" 185	4	Southern Mississippi	ACT
23	Erik Harris	DB	32	6'2" 220	6	California, Pa.	ACT
23	John Reid	DB	26	5'10" 181	2	Penn State	DEV
24	A.J. Terrell	DB	25	6'1" 190	2	Clemson	ACT
26	Isaiah Oliver	DB	27	6'0" 210	4	Colorado	ACT
27	Richie Grant	DB	26	6'0" 194	1	Central Florida	ACT
28	Mike Ford	DB	27	6'0" 196	4	Southeast Missouri	ACT
29	Casey Hayward	DB	34	5'11" 192	10	Vanderbilt	RES
31	Javelin Guidry	DB	24	5'9" 190	2	Utah	DEV
32	Jaylinn Hawkins	DB	25	6'1" 210	2	California	ACT
34	Darren Hall	DB	22	6'0" 190	1	San Diego State	ACT
37	Dylan Mabin	DB	26	6'1" 195	3	Fordham	DEV
37	Dee Alford	DB	26	5'11" 170	2	Tusculum	ACT
43	Matt Hankins	DB	23	6'1" 185	R	Iowa	DEV
45	Micah Abernathy	DB	25	6'0" 195	3	Tennessee	INA

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Younghoe Koo	K	28	5'9" 195	5	Georgia Southern	ACT
13	Bradley Pinion	P	28	6'5" 240	7	Clemson	ACT
43	Beau Brinkley	LS	32	6'4" 260	10	Missouri	RES
48	Liam McCullough	LS	25	6'2" 237	2	Ohio State	ACT

Schedule

17 games

Atlanta Falcons schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Saints	L 26-27	+6	+0.003
2	@ Rams	L 27-31	+10.5	-0.113
3	@ Seahawks	W 27-23	+1	+0.310
4	vs Browns	W 23-20	+1	+0.037
5	@ Buccaneers	L 15-21	+10.5	+0.029
6	vs 49ers	W 28-14	+3.5	+0.112
7	@ Bengals	L 17-35	+6.5	+0.026
8	vs Panthers	W 37-34	-4.5	+0.035
9	vs Chargers	L 17-20	+2.5	-0.016
10	@ Panthers	L 15-25	-2.5	-0.142
11	vs Bears	W 27-24	-3	+0.007
12	@ Commanders	L 13-19	+3.5	+0.011
13	vs Steelers	L 16-19	+1	-0.030
15	@ Saints	L 18-21	+5	+0.014
16	@ Ravens	L 9-17	+6.5	-0.144
17	vs Cardinals	W 20-19	-7	-0.092
18	vs Buccaneers	W 30-17	-6	+0.038