NFC South · 2023
Atlanta Falcons
Record
7-10
Net EPA
-0.039est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.089
- Success rate41.5%
- EPA / dropback-0.026
- EPA / rush-0.171
- Explosive rate8.7%
- CPOE-3.52
- Third-down rate40.2%
- Red-zone TD rate53.3%
- Points / drive1.58
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.046
- Success rate allowed39.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.054
- EPA / rush allowed-0.190
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.5%
- Sack rate6.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.76
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.089 · 17th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.046 · 36th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
5-12
-3.6 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
2-7
As favorite
3-8
As dog
2-4
O/U
7-10
+0.7 vs total
Roster
84 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | 30 | 6'1" 210 | 8 | Old Dominion | INA |
| 9 | Desmond Ridder | QB | 24 | 6'3" 215 | 1 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 11 | Logan Woodside | QB | 28 | 6'2" 213 | 5 | Toledo | ACT |
Backs & receivers23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Drake London | WR | 22 | 6'4" 210 | 1 | Southern California | ACT |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | RB | 21 | 5'11" 214 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | 24 | 6'6" 250 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 12 | KhaDarel Hodge | WR | 28 | 5'11" 205 | 5 | Prairie View | ACT |
| 15 | Van Jefferson | WR | 27 | 6'1" 197 | 3 | Florida | ACT |
| 15 | Feleipe Franks | TE | 27 | 6'6" 245 | 2 | Arkansas | RES |
| 16 | Scott Miller | WR | 26 | 5'9" 174 | 4 | Bowling Green | ACT |
| 18 | Mack Hollins | WR | 31 | 6'4" 221 | 6 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | 23 | 5'11" 220 | 1 | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 26 | Avery Williams | RB | 25 | 5'9" 195 | 2 | Boise State | RES |
| 28 | Carlos Washington | RB | 26 | 5'11" 220 | R | Southeastern Louisiana | DEV |
| 39 | Jacob Saylors | RB | 23 | 5'11" 195 | R | East Tennessee State | CUT |
| 40 | Keith Smith | RB | 31 | 6'0" 240 | 9 | San Jose State | RES |
| 43 | Tucker Fisk | TE | 24 | 6'4" 285 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 46 | Parker Hesse | TE | 28 | 6'3" 261 | 4 | Iowa | DEV |
| 80 | Josh Ali | WR | 24 | 6'0" 193 | 1 | Kentucky | RES |
| 81 | Jonnu Smith | TE | 28 | 6'3" 248 | 6 | Florida International | ACT |
| 83 | Chris Blair | WR | 27 | 6'2" 200 | 3 | Alcorn State | DEV |
| 83 | Jared Bernhardt | WR | — | 6'1" 195 | 1 | Ferris State | RET |
| 84 | Cordarrelle Patterson | RB | 32 | 6'2" 238 | 10 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 85 | MyCole Pruitt | TE | 31 | 6'2" 243 | 8 | Southern Illinois | ACT |
| 87 | John FitzPatrick | TE | 23 | 6'7" 250 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 88 | Frank Darby | WR | 27 | 6'1" 200 | 2 | Arizona State | DEV |
Offensive line16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ryan Swoboda | OL | 26 | 6'10" 325 | R | Central Florida | DEV |
| 54 | Justin Shaffer | OL | 25 | 6'4" 330 | 1 | Georgia | DEV |
| 56 | Jovaughn Gwyn | OL | 24 | 6'2" 300 | R | South Carolina | ACT |
| 61 | Matt Hennessy | OL | 27 | 6'4" 290 | 3 | Temple | RES |
| 63 | Chris Lindstrom | OL | 26 | 6'3" 307 | 4 | Boston College | ACT |
| 64 | Ryan Neuzil | OL | 26 | 6'3" 290 | 2 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 65 | Matthew Bergeron | OL | 23 | 6'5" 322 | R | Syracuse | ACT |
| 66 | John Leglue | OL | 27 | 6'7" 310 | 4 | Tulane | DEV |
| 67 | Drew Dalman | OL | 26 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | Stanford | INA |
| 68 | Kyle Hinton | OL | 25 | 6'2" 310 | 3 | Washburn | ACT |
| 69 | Barry Wesley | OL | 24 | 6'7" 310 | 1 | Colorado State | DEV |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | OL | 31 | 6'5" 309 | 9 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 71 | Ethan Greenidge | OL | 27 | 6'4" 335 | 4 | Villanova | RES |
| 73 | Tyler Vrabel | OL | 23 | 6'6" 307 | 1 | Boston College | DEV |
| 76 | Kaleb McGary | OL | 28 | 6'6" 306 | 4 | Washington | ACT |
| 77 | Storm Norton | OL | 29 | 6'7" 317 | 6 | Toledo | ACT |
Defensive front26
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Lorenzo Carter | LB | 29 | 6'5" 250 | 5 | Georgia | ACT |
| 17 | Arnold Ebiketie | LB | 24 | 6'3" 256 | 1 | Penn State | ACT |
| 42 | Frank Ginda | LB | 26 | 6'0" 245 | 5 | San Jose State | DEV |
| 44 | Troy Andersen | LB | 24 | 6'4" 230 | 1 | Montana State | RES |
| 45 | Donavan Mutin | LB | 24 | 6'0" 230 | R | Houston | DEV |
| 48 | Bud Dupree | LB | 30 | 6'4" 269 | 8 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 51 | DeAngelo Malone | LB | 24 | 6'4" 240 | 1 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 52 | Milo Eifler | LB | 25 | 6'2" 225 | 2 | Illinois | DEV |
| 53 | Nate Landman | LB | 26 | 6'3" 230 | 1 | Colorado | ACT |
| 55 | Kaden Elliss | LB | 28 | 6'3" 240 | 4 | Idaho | ACT |
| 59 | Andre Smith | LB | 26 | 6'0" 240 | 5 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 62 | Tommy Togiai | DL | 25 | 6'2" 300 | 2 | Ohio State | INA |
| 72 | Lacale London | DL | 26 | 6'3" 280 | 3 | Western Illinois | ACT |
| 74 | Carlos Davis | DL | 27 | 6'2" 320 | 3 | Nebraska | DEV |
| 75 | Kentavius Street | DL | 27 | 6'2" 287 | 5 | North Carolina State | RES |
| 79 | Ikenna Enechukwu | LB | 23 | 6'4" 266 | R | Rice | RES |
| 90 | David Onyemata | DL | 32 | 6'4" 300 | 7 | Manitoba, Can. | ACT |
| 91 | Eddie Goldman | DL | 29 | 6'3" 320 | 8 | Florida State | RES |
| 91 | Demone Harris | DL | 29 | 6'4" 272 | 5 | Buffalo | DEV |
| 92 | Adetokunbo Ogundeji | LB | 26 | 6'4" 268 | 2 | Notre Dame | RES |
| 93 | Calais Campbell | DL | 38 | 6'8" 300 | 15 | Miami | ACT |
| 94 | Albert Huggins | DL | 26 | 6'3" 305 | 4 | Clemson | ACT |
| 95 | Ta'Quon Graham | DL | 26 | 6'4" 285 | 2 | Texas | ACT |
| 96 | Zach Harrison | DL | 22 | 6'6" 272 | R | Ohio State | INA |
| 97 | Grady Jarrett | DL | 30 | 6'0" 305 | 8 | Clemson | RES |
| 99 | Joe Gaziano | DL | 28 | 6'4" 275 | 3 | Northwestern | ACT |
Secondary13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeff Okudah | DB | 24 | 6'1" 200 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 3 | Jessie Bates | DB | 26 | 6'1" 200 | 5 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 20 | Dee Alford | DB | 27 | 5'11" 170 | 3 | Tusculum | ACT |
| 21 | Mike Hughes | DB | 26 | 5'10" 191 | 5 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 24 | A.J. Terrell | DB | 26 | 6'1" 190 | 3 | Clemson | ACT |
| 27 | Richie Grant | DB | 27 | 6'0" 194 | 2 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 29 | Micah Abernathy | DB | 26 | 6'0" 195 | 4 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 33 | Tre Flowers | DB | 28 | 6'3" 203 | 5 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 34 | Clark Phillips | DB | 23 | 5'10" 183 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 35 | Natrone Brooks | DB | 25 | 5'11" 176 | R | Southern Mississippi | INA |
| 37 | DeMarcco Hellams | DB | 23 | 6'1" 208 | R | Alabama | INA |
| 38 | Arnold Tarpley | DB | — | 6'1" 203 | 5 | Vanderbilt | DEV |
| 41 | Lukas Denis | DB | 26 | 5'11" 190 | 4 | Boston College | DEV |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Younghoe Koo | K | 29 | 5'9" 195 | 6 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 13 | Bradley Pinion | P | 29 | 6'5" 240 | 8 | Clemson | ACT |
| 49 | Liam McCullough | LS | 26 | 6'2" 237 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Panthers | W 24-10 | -3.5 | -0.139 |
| 2 | vs Packers | W 25-24 | -3 | +0.097 |
| 3 | @ Lions | L 6-20 | +3 | -0.282 |
| 4 | @ Jaguars | L 7-23 | +3.5 | -0.295 |
| 5 | vs Texans | W 21-19 | -2.5 | -0.042 |
| 6 | vs Commanders | L 16-24 | -1.5 | -0.110 |
| 7 | @ Buccaneers | W 16-13 | +3 | -0.028 |
| 8 | @ Titans | L 23-28 | -2.5 | -0.051 |
| 9 | vs Vikings | L 28-31 | -3.5 | -0.147 |
| 10 | @ Cardinals | L 23-25 | -2 | +0.037 |
| 12 | vs Saints | W 24-15 | +2 | +0.051 |
| 13 | @ Jets | W 13-8 | -2 | -0.197 |
| 14 | vs Buccaneers | L 25-29 | -1.5 | +0.000 |
| 15 | @ Panthers | L 7-9 | -3 | -0.276 |
| 16 | vs Colts | W 29-10 | -3 | +0.131 |
| 17 | @ Bears | L 17-37 | +3 | -0.073 |
| 18 | @ Saints | L 17-48 | +3.5 | -0.316 |