NFC South · 2025
Atlanta Falcons
Record
8-9
Net EPA
-0.001est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.008
- Success rate44.5%
- EPA / dropback+0.041
- EPA / rush-0.073
- Explosive rate9.2%
- CPOE-3.36
- Third-down rate33.5%
- Red-zone TD rate62.2%
- Points / drive1.82
- Turnover rate1.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.008
- Success rate allowed45.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.032
- EPA / rush allowed-0.028
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)22.3%
- Sack rate8.6%
- Points / drive allowed2.10
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.008 · 36th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.008 · 42th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-8
-2.0 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
6-3
As favorite
2-5
As dog
7-3
O/U
8-9
-0.7 vs total
Roster
87 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 25 | 6'3" 213 | 1 | Washington; Indiana | RES |
| 12 | Easton Stick | QB | 31 | 6'1" 224 | 6 | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 15 | Emory Jones | QB | 25 | 6'2" 210 | 1 | Cincinnati; Arizona State; Florida | RES |
| 16 | Kyle Trask | QB | 27 | 6'5" 240 | 4 | Florida | DEV |
| 18 | Kirk Cousins | QB | 37 | 6'3" 202 | 13 | Michigan State | ACT |
Backs & receivers20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darnell Mooney | WR | 29 | 5'11" 172 | 5 | Tulane | ACT |
| 4 | KhaDarel Hodge | WR | 31 | 6'2" 205 | 7 | Prairie View A&M; Hinds CC; Alcorn State | RES |
| 5 | Drake London | WR | 24 | 6'4" 210 | 3 | USC | ACT |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | RB | 23 | 5'11" 214 | 2 | Texas | ACT |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | 26 | 6'6" 250 | 4 | Florida | ACT |
| 19 | Chris Blair | WR | 29 | 6'2" 200 | 5 | Alcorn State | DEV |
| 25 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | 25 | 5'11" 225 | 3 | BYU | ACT |
| 26 | Carlos Washington | RB | 28 | 5'11" 220 | 2 | Southeastern Louisiana | DEV |
| 38 | Nate Carter | RB | 23 | 5'10" 202 | R | Michigan State; Connecticut | ACT |
| 47 | Joshua Simon | TE | 26 | 6'4" 240 | R | South Carolina; Western Kentucky | DEV |
| 80 | Nick Nash | WR | 26 | 6'3" 195 | R | San Jose State | DEV |
| 81 | Dylan Drummond | WR | 25 | 6'0" 186 | 2 | Eastern Michigan | ACT |
| 82 | Casey Washington | WR | 24 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | Illinois | INA |
| 83 | Deven Thompkins | WR | 27 | 5'8" 155 | 3 | Utah State | ACT |
| 84 | Feleipe Franks | TE | 29 | 6'6" 245 | 4 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 85 | Teagan Quitoriano | TE | 25 | 6'6" 259 | 3 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 86 | Malik Heath | WR | 25 | 6'2" 215 | 2 | Mississippi; Mississippi State | INA |
| 87 | David Sills | WR | 30 | 6'3" 210 | 6 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 88 | K.J. Osborn | WR | 28 | 5'11" 200 | 5 | Miami; Buffalo | DEV |
| 89 | Charlie Woerner | TE | 29 | 6'5" 245 | 5 | Georgia | ACT |
Offensive line16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Jovaughn Gwyn | OL | 26 | 6'2" 300 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 62 | Andrew Stueber | OL | 26 | 6'7" 338 | 3 | Michigan | DEV |
| 63 | Chris Lindstrom | OL | 28 | 6'4" 307 | 6 | Boston College | ACT |
| 64 | Ryan Neuzil | OL | 28 | 6'3" 290 | 4 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 65 | Matthew Bergeron | OL | 25 | 6'5" 322 | 2 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 66 | Carter Warren | OL | 26 | 6'5" 325 | 2 | Pittsburgh | DEV |
| 67 | Joshua Gray | OL | 25 | 6'5" 310 | R | Oregon State | DEV |
| 68 | Kyle Hinton | OL | 27 | 6'2" 310 | 5 | Washburn | ACT |
| 69 | Jack Nelson | OL | 23 | 6'7" 316 | R | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | OL | 33 | 6'5" 309 | 11 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 71 | Elijah Wilkinson | OL | 30 | 6'6" 329 | 8 | UMass Amherst | ACT |
| 72 | Michael Jerrell | OL | 26 | 6'5" 294 | 1 | Findlay | INA |
| 73 | Ryan Hayes | OL | 25 | 6'6" 305 | 2 | Michigan | DEV |
| 74 | Tyrone Wheatley Jr. | OL | 28 | 6'6" 265 | 4 | Stony Brook | RES |
| 76 | Kaleb McGary | OL | 30 | 6'6" 306 | 6 | Washington | RES |
| 77 | Storm Norton | OL | 31 | 6'7" 317 | 8 | Toledo | RES |
Defensive front25
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Divine Deablo | LB | 27 | 6'3" 223 | 4 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 11 | Jalon Walker | LB | 21 | 6'2" 245 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 17 | Arnold Ebiketie | LB | 26 | 6'2" 256 | 3 | Penn State | ACT |
| 27 | James Pearce Jr. | LB | 23 | 6'5" 243 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 36 | Ronnie Harrison | LB | 28 | 6'3" 214 | 7 | Alabama | INA |
| 40 | JD Bertrand | LB | 25 | 6'1" 233 | 1 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 42 | Josh Woods | LB | 29 | 6'1" 236 | 7 | Maryland | ACT |
| 43 | Malik Verdon | LB | 24 | 6'4" 220 | R | Iowa State | RES |
| 44 | Troy Andersen | LB | 26 | 6'4" 230 | 3 | Montana State | RES |
| 48 | Bralen Trice | LB | 24 | 6'4" 274 | 1 | Washington | RES |
| 51 | DeAngelo Malone | LB | 26 | 6'3" 240 | 3 | Western Kentucky | RES |
| 53 | Eugene Asante | LB | 25 | 6'1" 222 | R | Auburn; North Carolina | DEV |
| 54 | Brandon Dorlus | DL | 24 | 6'3" 290 | 1 | Oregon | INA |
| 55 | Kaden Elliss | LB | 30 | 6'2" 240 | 6 | Idaho | ACT |
| 56 | Leonard Floyd | DL | 34 | 6'3" 240 | 9 | Georgia | ACT |
| 90 | David Onyemata | DL | 34 | 6'4" 300 | 9 | Manitoba (Canada) | ACT |
| 90 | Patrick Jenkins | DL | 22 | 6'2" 293 | R | Tulane; TCU | DEV |
| 91 | Elijah Garcia | DL | 27 | 6'5" 302 | 3 | Rice | ACT |
| 92 | Khalid Kareem | DL | 27 | 6'4" 265 | 5 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 93 | Kentavius Street | DL | 29 | 6'2" 287 | 7 | N.C. State | ACT |
| 94 | LaCale London | DL | 28 | 6'3" 280 | 5 | Western Illinois | ACT |
| 95 | Ben Stille | DL | 29 | 6'4" 293 | 3 | Nebraska | DEV |
| 96 | Zach Harrison | DL | 24 | 6'5" 272 | 2 | Ohio State | RES |
| 98 | Ruke Orhorhoro | DL | 25 | 6'4" 295 | 1 | Clemson | ACT |
| 99 | Sam Roberts | DL | 27 | 6'5" 292 | 3 | NW Missouri State University | RES |
Secondary16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jessie Bates | DB | 28 | 6'1" 200 | 7 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 20 | Dee Alford | DB | 29 | 5'11" 170 | 5 | Tusculum College | ACT |
| 21 | Mike Hughes | DB | 28 | 5'10" 191 | 7 | UCF; Garden City CC; North Carolina | RES |
| 22 | Clark Phillips III | DB | 25 | 5'9" 183 | 2 | Utah | RES |
| 23 | DeMarcco Hellams | DB | 25 | 6'1" 208 | 2 | Alabama | RES |
| 24 | A.J. Terrell | DB | 28 | 6'1" 190 | 5 | Clemson | ACT |
| 28 | Mike Ford | DB | 30 | 6'0" 196 | 7 | Southeast Missouri State | ACT |
| 29 | Jordan Fuller | DB | 27 | 6'2" 205 | 5 | Ohio State | DEV |
| 30 | A.J. Woods | DB | 24 | 5'11" 195 | 1 | Pittsburgh | DEV |
| 31 | Xavier Watts | DB | 25 | 6'0" 203 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 33 | Billy Bowman Jr. | DB | 22 | 5'10" 192 | R | Oklahoma | RES |
| 34 | Jammie Robinson | DB | 24 | 5'11" 203 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 35 | Natrone Brooks | DB | 27 | 5'11" 176 | 2 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 37 | Cobee Bryant | DB | 25 | 6'0" 175 | R | Kansas | ACT |
| 39 | C.J. Henderson | DB | 28 | 6'1" 191 | 5 | Florida | ACT |
| 41 | Tysheem Johnson | DB | 24 | 5'10" 200 | R | Oregon; Mississippi | DEV |
Specialists5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bradley Pinion | P | 31 | 6'5" 240 | 10 | Clemson | ACT |
| 32 | Trenton Gill | P | 26 | 6'4" 219 | 3 | N.C. State | INA |
| 45 | Zane Gonzalez | K | 30 | 6'0" 202 | 8 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 46 | Lenny Krieg | K | 23 | 6'2" 208 | R | — | DEV |
| 49 | Liam McCullough | LS | 28 | 6'2" 237 | 5 | Ohio State | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Buccaneers | L 20-23 | +1.5 | +0.075 |
| 2 | @ Vikings | W 22-6 | +3.5 | -0.034 |
| 3 | @ Panthers | L 0-30 | -5.5 | -0.339 |
| 4 | vs Commanders | W 34-27 | -2.5 | +0.278 |
| 6 | vs Bills | W 24-14 | +3.5 | +0.138 |
| 7 | @ 49ers | L 10-20 | +1.5 | -0.113 |
| 8 | vs Dolphins | L 10-34 | -7 | -0.285 |
| 9 | @ Patriots | L 23-24 | +5.5 | +0.058 |
| 10 | @ Colts | L 25-31 | +6.5 | -0.023 |
| 11 | vs Panthers | L 27-30 | -4.5 | +0.088 |
| 12 | @ Saints | W 24-10 | +1.5 | -0.134 |
| 13 | @ Jets | L 24-27 | -3 | +0.181 |
| 14 | vs Seahawks | L 9-37 | +7 | -0.297 |
| 15 | @ Buccaneers | W 29-28 | +6 | +0.219 |
| 16 | @ Cardinals | W 26-19 | -2.5 | +0.065 |
| 17 | vs Rams | W 27-24 | +7.5 | +0.116 |
| 18 | vs Saints | W 19-17 | -4.5 | -0.243 |