AFC North · 2003
Baltimore Ravens
Record
10-6
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.121est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.093
- Success rate38.5%
- EPA / dropback-0.112
- EPA / rush-0.074
- Explosive rate9.7%
- Third-down rate31.7%
- Red-zone TD rate53.9%
- Points / drive1.53
- Turnover rate3.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.194
- Success rate allowed37.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.182
- EPA / rush allowed-0.213
- Explosive rate allowed6.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)7.8%
- Sack rate7.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.02
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.093 · 29th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.194 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-6-2
+5.2 vs line
Home
4-2-2
Away
4-4
As favorite
6-3-2
As dog
2-3
O/U
9-7
+4.2 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2003
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Steelers | L 15-34 | +4 | -0.189 |
| 2 | vs Browns | W 33-13 | -2.5 | -0.147 |
| 3 | @ Chargers | W 24-10 | +1.5 | +0.127 |
| 4 | vs Chiefs | L 10-17 | +3 | -0.083 |
| 6 | @ Cardinals | W 26-18 | -6.5 | +0.010 |
| 7 | @ Bengals | L 26-34 | -1 | +0.067 |
| 8 | vs Broncos | W 26-6 | -2.5 | -0.023 |
| 9 | vs Jaguars | W 24-17 | -7 | -0.218 |
| 10 | @ Rams | L 22-33 | +6.5 | -0.466 |
| 11 | @ Dolphins | L 6-9 | +5 | -0.288 |
| 12 | vs Seahawks | W 44-41 | -3 | -0.004 |
| 13 | vs 49ers | W 44-6 | -3 | -0.020 |
| 14 | vs Bengals | W 31-13 | -5 | +0.037 |
| 15 | @ Raiders | L 12-20 | -7 | -0.154 |
| 16 | @ Browns | W 35-0 | -3 | +0.179 |
| 17 | vs Steelers | W 13-10 | -6 | -0.242 |
| WC | vs Titans | L 17-20 | +1 | -0.206 |