AFC North · 2007
Baltimore Ravens
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.109est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.108
- Success rate40.5%
- EPA / dropback-0.090
- EPA / rush-0.133
- Explosive rate6.5%
- CPOE+1.46
- Third-down rate37.9%
- Red-zone TD rate50.1%
- Points / drive1.35
- Turnover rate3.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.024
- Success rate allowed38.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.113
- EPA / rush allowed-0.202
- Explosive rate allowed7.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.5%
- Sack rate5.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.77
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.108 · 19th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.024 · 60th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
3-13
-5.4 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
0-8
As favorite
1-7
As dog
2-6
O/U
9-5-2
+2.8 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2007
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bengals | L 20-27 | +2.5 | -0.378 |
| 2 | vs Jets | W 20-13 | -9.5 | +0.050 |
| 3 | vs Cardinals | W 26-23 | -7 | +0.074 |
| 4 | @ Browns | L 13-27 | -3.5 | +0.104 |
| 5 | @ 49ers | W 9-7 | -4 | -0.043 |
| 6 | vs Rams | W 22-3 | -9 | -0.202 |
| 7 | @ Bills | L 14-19 | -3 | -0.078 |
| 9 | @ Steelers | L 7-38 | +9.5 | -0.566 |
| 10 | vs Bengals | L 7-21 | -3 | -0.346 |
| 11 | vs Browns | L 30-33 | +1 | -0.140 |
| 12 | @ Chargers | L 14-32 | +9 | -0.099 |
| 13 | vs Patriots | L 24-27 | +19 | +0.091 |
| 14 | vs Colts | L 20-44 | +8.5 | -0.266 |
| 15 | @ Dolphins | L 16-22 | -3 | +0.084 |
| 16 | @ Seahawks | L 6-27 | +12.5 | -0.291 |
| 17 | vs Steelers | W 27-21 | +3 | +0.105 |

