AFC East · 1999
Buffalo Bills
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.010
- Success rate40.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.116
- EPA / rush-0.195
- Explosive rate7.9%
- Third-down rate41.4%
- Red-zone TD rate56.2%
- Points / drive1.59
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.138
- Success rate allowed35.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.106
- EPA / rush allowed-0.188
- Explosive rate allowed6.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)11.3%
- Sack rate6.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.05
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.010 · 77th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.138 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Doug Flutie | QB | 38 | 5'10" 178 | — | — | ACT |
| 10 | Alex Van Pelt | QB | 29 | 6'1" 220 | — | — | ACT |
| 11 | Rob Johnson | QB | 26 | 6'4" 212 | — | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Antowain Smith | RB | 27 | 6'2" 225 | — | — | ACT |
| 31 | Lennox Gordon | RB | 22 | 5'11" 201 | — | — | ACT |
| 33 | Sam Gash | RB | 30 | 6'0" 240 | — | — | ACT |
| 34 | Thurman Thomas | RB | 33 | 5'10" 198 | — | — | ACT |
| 35 | Jonathan Linton | RB | 26 | 6'0" 238 | — | — | ACT |
| 38 | Shawn Bryson | RB | 24 | 6'0" 235 | — | — | RES |
| 80 | Eric Moulds | WR | 26 | 6'0" 204 | — | — | ACT |
| 81 | Peerless Price | WR | 24 | 5'11" 180 | — | — | ACT |
| 82 | Kevin R. Williams | WR | 28 | 5'9" 195 | — | — | ACT |
| 83 | Andre Reed | WR | 35 | 6'2" 190 | — | — | ACT |
| 84 | Bobby Collins | TE | 23 | 6'4" 249 | — | — | ACT |
| 85 | Jay Riemersma | TE | 26 | 6'5" 254 | — | — | ACT |
| 86 | Jeremy McDaniel | WR | 23 | 6'0" 197 | — | — | ACT |
| 88 | Sheldon Jackson | TE | 23 | 6'3" 250 | — | — | ACT |
| 89 | Kamil Loud | WR | 23 | 6'0" 190 | — | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Jerry Ostroski | OL | 29 | 6'4" 325 | — | — | ACT |
| 61 | Dusty Zeigler | OL | 27 | 6'5" 298 | — | — | ACT |
| 63 | Bill Conaty | OL | 26 | 6'2" 300 | — | — | ACT |
| 66 | Victor Allotey | OL | 24 | 6'3" 325 | — | — | ACT |
| 69 | T. Marcus Spriggs | OL | 25 | 6'3" 315 | — | — | ACT |
| 70 | John Fina | OL | 30 | 6'4" 300 | — | — | ACT |
| 72 | Joe Panos | OL | 28 | 6'2" 298 | — | — | ACT |
| 74 | Jamie Nails | OL | 22 | 6'6" 354 | — | — | ACT |
| 76 | Ethan Albright | OL | 28 | 6'5" 278 | — | — | ACT |
| 77 | Robert Hicks | OL | 26 | 6'7" 338 | — | — | ACT |
| 79 | Ruben Brown | OL | 27 | 6'3" 304 | — | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Joe Cummings | LB | 25 | 6'2" 242 | — | — | ACT |
| 52 | John Holecek | LB | 27 | 6'2" 242 | — | — | ACT |
| 53 | Keith Newman | LB | 22 | 6'2" 243 | — | — | ACT |
| 55 | Jay Foreman | LB | 23 | 6'1" 240 | — | — | ACT |
| 56 | Sam Cowart | LB | 24 | 6'2" 245 | — | — | ACT |
| 58 | Marlo Perry | LB | 27 | 6'4" 245 | — | — | ACT |
| 59 | Sam Rogers | LB | 29 | 6'3" 245 | — | — | ACT |
| 75 | Marcellus Wiley | DL | 26 | 6'4" 275 | — | — | ACT |
| 78 | Bruce Smith | DL | 36 | 6'4" 273 | — | — | ACT |
| 90 | Phil Hansen | DL | 31 | 6'5" 278 | — | — | ACT |
| 91 | Shawn Price | DL | 29 | 6'4" 290 | — | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ted Washington | DL | 31 | 6'5" 330 | — | — | ACT |
| 93 | Pat Williams | DL | 28 | 6'3" 310 | — | — | ACT |
| 96 | Dan Brandenburg | LB | 26 | 6'3" 240 | — | — | ACT |
| 98 | Sean Moran | DL | 26 | 6'3" 275 | — | — | ACT |
| 99 | Gabe Northern | LB | 25 | 6'3" 244 | — | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Henry Jones | DB | 33 | 6'0" 197 | — | — | ACT |
| 21 | Manny Martin | DB | 30 | 5'10" 190 | — | — | RES |
| 22 | Daryl Porter | DB | 25 | 5'9" 190 | — | — | ACT |
| 24 | Kurt Schulz | DB | 32 | 6'0" 208 | — | — | ACT |
| 25 | Donovan Greer | DB | 26 | 5'9" 178 | — | — | ACT |
| 26 | Antoine Winfield | DB | 22 | 5'8" 180 | — | — | ACT |
| 27 | Ken Irvin | DB | 27 | 5'10" 186 | — | — | RES |
| 28 | Thomas Smith | DB | 30 | 5'11" 190 | — | — | ACT |
| 29 | Keion Carpenter | DB | 23 | 5'11" 205 | — | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Colts | L 14-31 | -3 | -0.228 |
| 2 | vs Jets | W 17-3 | -4 | +0.046 |
| 3 | vs Eagles | W 26-0 | -11.5 | +0.035 |
| 4 | @ Dolphins | W 23-18 | +4.5 | -0.160 |
| 5 | vs Steelers | W 24-21 | -6.5 | +0.125 |
| 6 | vs Raiders | L 14-20 | -3.5 | -0.135 |
| 7 | @ Seahawks | L 16-26 | +2.5 | -0.075 |
| 8 | @ Ravens | W 13-10 | -3.5 | -0.155 |
| 9 | @ Commanders | W 34-17 | +4 | +0.280 |
| 10 | vs Dolphins | W 23-3 | -3 | +0.049 |
| 11 | @ Jets | L 7-17 | -2.5 | -0.196 |
| 12 | vs Patriots | W 17-7 | -4 | -0.006 |
| 14 | vs Giants | L 17-19 | -8 | -0.195 |
| 15 | @ Cardinals | W 31-21 | -3 | +0.177 |
| 16 | @ Patriots | W 13-10 | -3 | -0.156 |
| 17 | vs Colts | W 31-6 | +1.5 | +0.416 |
| WC | @ Titans | L 16-22 | +5 | -0.103 |