AFC East · 2002
Buffalo Bills
Record
8-8
Net EPA
+0.009est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.021
- Success rate47.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.091
- EPA / rush-0.110
- Explosive rate8.3%
- Third-down rate42.2%
- Red-zone TD rate59.5%
- Points / drive1.81
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.022
- Success rate allowed42.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.055
- EPA / rush allowed-0.023
- Explosive rate allowed9.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)9.4%
- Sack rate5.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.87
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.021 · 71th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.022 · 74th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
-0.5 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
3-2-1
As dog
5-5
O/U
7-9
+2.4 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Travis Brown | QB | 25 | 6'3" 212 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Alex Van Pelt | QB | 32 | 6'1" 218 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 11 | Drew Bledsoe | QB | 30 | 6'5" 240 | 9 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Travis Henry | RB | 25 | 5'9" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Charlie Rogers | WR | 26 | 5'9" 177 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Sammy Morris | RB | 25 | 6'0" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Joe Burns | RB | 24 | 5'9" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 37 | Larry Centers | FB | 34 | 6'0" 225 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Phillip Crosby | FB | 27 | 6'0" 242 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Brady McDonnell | TE | 25 | 6'4" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Eric Moulds | WR | 29 | 6'2" 204 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Peerless Price | WR | 27 | 5'11" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 22 | 5'10" 203 | R | — | ACT |
| 83 | Dave Moore | TE | 34 | 6'2" 250 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Jay Riemersma | TE | 29 | 6'5" 252 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Andre Rone | WR | 26 | 5'10" 180 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Charles Johnson | WR | 30 | 6'0" 205 | 8 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Mike Pucillo | G | 23 | 6'4" 316 | R | — | ACT |
| 63 | Billy Conaty | C | 29 | 6'2" 300 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mike Williams | T | 22 | 6'5" 370 | R | — | ACT |
| 69 | Mike Houghton | T | 24 | 6'5" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 70 | Trey Teague | C | 29 | 6'5" 292 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Marcus Price | T | 30 | 6'6" 314 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Marques Sullivan | G | 24 | 6'5" 320 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Jonas Jennings | T | 26 | 6'3" 320 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Ruben Brown | G | 30 | 6'3" 304 | 7 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Dominique Stevenson | LB | 26 | 5'11" 222 | R | — | ACT |
| 51 | DaShon Polk | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Keith Newman | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 248 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Greg Favors | OLB | 29 | 6'1" 242 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Greg Favors | OLB | 29 | 6'1" 242 | 4 | — | TRD |
| 55 | Eddie Robinson | OLB | 32 | 6'1" 243 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Anthony Denman | OLB | 24 | 5'11" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 59 | London Fletcher | MLB | 27 | 5'9" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Chidi Ahanotu | DE | 33 | 6'2" 285 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Kendrick Office | DE | 24 | 6'5" 270 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Ryan Denney | DE | 25 | 6'7" 276 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Pat Williams | DT | 31 | 6'3" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Aaron Schobel | DE | 26 | 6'4" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Grant Irons | DE | 23 | 6'5" 270 | R | — | ACT |
| 97 | Justin Bannan | DT | 23 | 6'2" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 98 | Ron Edwards | DT | 23 | 6'3" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Chris Watson | CB | 25 | 6'1" 188 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Nate Clements | CB | 24 | 5'11" 204 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Pierson Prioleau | FS | 25 | 5'11" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Billy Jenkins | SS | 28 | 5'10" 211 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Tony Driver | FS | 25 | 6'1" 207 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Antoine Winfield | CB | 25 | 5'9" 180 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Coy Wire | SS | 25 | 5'11" 209 | R | — | ACT |
| 28 | Kevin Thomas | CB | 24 | 5'11" 180 | R | — | ACT |
| 30 | Marcus Floyd | CB | 25 | 5'9" 180 | R | — | ACT |
| 30 | Marcus Floyd | CB | 25 | 5'9" 180 | R | — | TRT |
| 47 | Ahmad Brooks | DB | 22 | 5'8" 180 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Hollis | K | 30 | 5'7" 178 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 26 | 6'0" 180 | 3 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jets | L 31-37 | +3 | -0.018 |
| 2 | @ Vikings | W 45-39 | +3.5 | +0.225 |
| 3 | @ Broncos | L 23-28 | +7.5 | -0.007 |
| 4 | vs Bears | W 33-27 | -3 | +0.124 |
| 5 | vs Raiders | L 31-49 | +3 | +0.032 |
| 6 | @ Texans | W 31-24 | -7 | +0.155 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | W 23-10 | +6 | -0.058 |
| 8 | vs Lions | W 24-17 | -7.5 | +0.049 |
| 9 | vs Patriots | L 7-38 | -3 | -0.041 |
| 11 | @ Chiefs | L 16-17 | +3.5 | +0.139 |
| 12 | @ Jets | L 13-31 | +3 | -0.060 |
| 13 | vs Dolphins | W 38-21 | +2 | +0.208 |
| 14 | @ Patriots | L 17-27 | +3.5 | -0.085 |
| 15 | vs Chargers | W 20-13 | -3 | -0.035 |
| 16 | @ Packers | L 0-10 | +6.5 | -0.334 |
| 17 | vs Bengals | W 27-9 | -7.5 | +0.015 |