AFC East · 2015
Buffalo Bills
Record
8-8
Net EPA
-0.027est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.025
- Success rate40.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.074
- EPA / rush-0.039
- Explosive rate10.5%
- CPOE+2.97
- Third-down rate38.1%
- Red-zone TD rate65.3%
- Points / drive1.83
- Turnover rate1.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.024
- Success rate allowed43.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.054
- EPA / rush allowed-0.031
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)14.0%
- Sack rate3.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.71
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.025 · 67th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.024 · 57th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
+1.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
3-4
As dog
5-3-1
O/U
8-8
+2.4 vs total
Roster
67 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | E.J. Manuel | QB | 25 | 6'4" 237 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 5 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | 26 | 6'1" 215 | 4 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 8 | Josh Johnson | QB | 29 | 6'3" 205 | 7 | San Diego | ACT |
| 8 | Josh Johnson | QB | 29 | 6'3" 205 | 7 | San Diego | TRD |
Backs & receivers19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dezmin Lewis | WR | 24 | 6'4" 214 | R | Central Arkansas | ACT |
| 14 | Sammy Watkins | WR | 22 | 6'1" 211 | 1 | Clemson | ACT |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 29 | 6'1" 220 | 4 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 17 | Greg Salas | WR | 27 | 6'2" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Greg Salas | WR | 27 | 6'2" 210 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 19 | Walter Powell | WR | 25 | 5'11" 189 | 1 | Murray State | TRD |
| 19 | Walter Powell | WR | 25 | 5'11" 189 | 1 | Murray State | ACT |
| 19 | Walter Powell | WR | 25 | 5'11" 189 | 1 | Murray State | TRT |
| 25 | LeSean McCoy | RB | 27 | 5'11" 208 | 6 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 26 | Anthony Dixon | RB | 29 | 6'1" 233 | 5 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 29 | Karlos Williams | RB | 22 | 6'1" 230 | R | — | ACT |
| 35 | Mike Gillislee | RB | 26 | 5'11" 219 | 2 | Florida | TRC |
| 35 | Mike Gillislee | RB | 26 | 5'11" 219 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 42 | Jerome Felton | FB | 29 | 6'0" 248 | 7 | Furman | ACT |
| 80 | Leonard Hankerson | WR | 26 | 6'2" 211 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Leonard Hankerson | WR | 26 | 6'2" 211 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 80 | Leonard Hankerson | WR | 26 | 6'2" 211 | 4 | — | TRT |
| 84 | Nick O'Leary | TE | 23 | 6'3" 252 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 89 | Chris Gragg | TE | 25 | 6'3" 244 | 2 | Arkansas | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Kraig Urbik | C | 31 | 6'5" 324 | 6 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 64 | Richie Incognito | G | 32 | 6'3" 319 | 10 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 70 | Eric Wood | C | 29 | 6'4" 310 | 6 | Louisville | ACT |
| 71 | Cyrus Kouandjio | T | 22 | 6'7" 322 | 1 | Alabama | ACT |
| 72 | Ryan Groy | G | 26 | 6'5" 320 | 1 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 72 | Ryan Groy | G | 26 | 6'5" 320 | 1 | Wisconsin | TRC |
| 72 | Ryan Groy | G | 26 | 6'5" 320 | 1 | Wisconsin | TRT |
| 76 | John Miller | G | 22 | 6'2" 303 | R | Louisville | ACT |
| 77 | Cordy Glenn | T | 27 | 6'6" 345 | 3 | Georgia | ACT |
| 79 | Jordan Mills | T | 26 | 6'5" 316 | 2 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 79 | Jordan Mills | T | 26 | 6'5" 316 | 2 | Louisiana Tech | TRC |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Kevin Reddick | ILB | 27 | 6'1" 240 | 2 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 52 | Preston Brown | MLB | 24 | 6'1" 251 | 1 | Louisville | ACT |
| 53 | Nigel Bradham | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 241 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 54 | Max Valles | DE | 21 | 6'4" 250 | R | Virginia | ACT |
| 54 | Max Valles | DE | 21 | 6'4" 250 | R | Virginia | TRD |
| 55 | Jerry Hughes | DE | 27 | 6'2" 254 | 5 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 59 | A.J. Tarpley | MLB | 23 | 6'0" 232 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 69 | Jerel Worthy | DE | 25 | 6'2" 308 | 3 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 75 | IK Enemkpali | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 261 | 1 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 90 | T.J. Barnes | NT | 25 | 6'7" 364 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 90 | T.J. Barnes | NT | 25 | 6'7" 364 | 2 | Georgia Tech | TRT |
| 91 | Manny Lawson | OLB | 31 | 6'5" 240 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Lavar Edwards | DE | 25 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | LSU | TRC |
| 93 | Lavar Edwards | DE | 25 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | LSU | ACT |
| 94 | Mario Williams | DE | 30 | 6'6" 292 | 9 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 96 | Stefan Charles | DT | 27 | 6'5" 323 | 2 | Regina (Canada) | ACT |
| 97 | Corbin Bryant | DT | 27 | 6'4" 300 | 4 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 99 | Marcell Dareus | DT | 25 | 6'3" 331 | 4 | Alabama | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Corey Graham | CB | 30 | 6'0" 196 | 8 | New Hampshire | ACT |
| 21 | Leodis McKelvin | CB | 31 | 5'10" 185 | 7 | Troy | ACT |
| 27 | Duke Williams | FS | 26 | 5'11" 201 | 2 | Nevada | ACT |
| 28 | Ronald Darby | CB | 21 | 5'11" 193 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 30 | Bacarri Rambo | SS | 25 | 6'0" 211 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 36 | Jonathan Meeks | SS | 27 | 6'0" 209 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 37 | Nickell Robey | CB | 23 | 5'8" 165 | 2 | Southern California | ACT |
| 39 | Mario Butler | CB | 28 | 6'1" 187 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Sammy Seamster | CB | 24 | 6'0" 205 | 1 | Middle Tennessee State | ACT |
| 44 | Sammy Seamster | CB | 24 | 6'0" 205 | 1 | Middle Tennessee State | TRC |
| 46 | Merrill Noel | DB | 25 | 5'10" 175 | R | Wake Forest | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dan Carpenter | K | 31 | 6'2" 228 | 7 | Montana | ACT |
| 4 | Jordan Gay | K | 25 | 6'1" 200 | 2 | Centre | ACT |
| 6 | Colton Schmidt | P | 26 | 5'11" 224 | 2 | California-Davis | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 30 | 6'1" 240 | 6 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colts | W 27-14 | +1 | +0.080 |
| 2 | vs Patriots | L 32-40 | -2 | +0.022 |
| 3 | @ Dolphins | W 41-14 | +1 | +0.297 |
| 4 | vs Giants | L 10-24 | -6 | -0.241 |
| 5 | @ Titans | W 14-13 | +1 | +0.006 |
| 6 | vs Bengals | L 21-34 | +3 | +0.037 |
| 7 | @ Jaguars | L 31-34 | -3.5 | -0.172 |
| 9 | vs Dolphins | W 33-17 | -4 | +0.418 |
| 10 | @ Jets | W 22-17 | +2.5 | -0.199 |
| 11 | @ Patriots | L 13-20 | +7 | -0.045 |
| 12 | @ Chiefs | L 22-30 | +4.5 | +0.077 |
| 13 | vs Texans | W 30-21 | -3 | +0.115 |
| 14 | @ Eagles | L 20-23 | +1 | +0.096 |
| 15 | @ Commanders | L 25-35 | -2.5 | +0.149 |
| 16 | vs Cowboys | W 16-6 | -6.5 | +0.006 |
| 17 | vs Jets | W 22-17 | +2.5 | -0.082 |