AFC East · 2019
Buffalo Bills
Record
10-6
Seed
#5
Net EPA
+0.025est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.023
- Success rate41.8%
- EPA / dropback+0.020
- EPA / rush-0.085
- Explosive rate10.1%
- CPOE-2.62
- Third-down rate35.9%
- Red-zone TD rate58.3%
- Points / drive1.56
- Turnover rate1.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.087
- Success rate allowed41.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.098
- EPA / rush allowed-0.068
- Explosive rate allowed8.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.6%
- Sack rate6.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.35
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.023 · 40th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.087 · 15th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-5-2
+3.0 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
6-0-2
As favorite
4-3
As dog
5-2-2
O/U
4-12
-5.0 vs total
Roster
87 players
46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matt Barkley | QB | 30 | 6'2" 234 | 6 | Southern California | ACT |
| 6 | Tyree Jackson | QB | — | 6'7" 249 | R | Buffalo | CUT |
| 7 | Davis Webb | QB | 24 | 6'5" 225 | 2 | California | DEV |
| 17 | Josh Allen | QB | 23 | 6'5" 237 | 1 | Wyoming | ACT |
Backs & receivers23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cole Beasley | WR | 30 | 5'8" 174 | 7 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 14 | Ray-Ray McCloud | WR | 24 | 5'9" 190 | 1 | Clemson | DEV |
| 15 | John Brown | WR | 29 | 5'11" 179 | 5 | Pittsburg State | ACT |
| 16 | Robert Foster | WR | 25 | 6'2" 194 | 1 | Alabama | INA |
| 18 | Andre Roberts | WR | 31 | 5'11" 195 | 9 | Citadel | ACT |
| 19 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | 24 | 5'8" 173 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 20 | Frank Gore | RB | 36 | 5'9" 212 | 14 | Miami | ACT |
| 22 | Marcus Murphy | RB | 29 | 5'9" 195 | 4 | Missouri | CUT |
| 22 | T.J. Yeldon | RB | 27 | 6'1" 223 | 4 | Alabama | INA |
| 26 | Devin Singletary | RB | 23 | 5'7" 203 | R | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 32 | Senorise Perry | RB | 29 | 6'0" 210 | 5 | Louisville | ACT |
| 42 | Patrick DiMarco | RB | 30 | 6'1" 234 | 8 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 45 | Christian Wade | RB | 28 | 5'7" 185 | R | No College | DEV |
| 48 | Kyle Carter | TE | — | 6'3" 245 | 3 | Penn State | CUT |
| 80 | Jason Croom | TE | 25 | 6'5" 246 | 2 | Tennessee | RES |
| 81 | Tyler Kroft | TE | 28 | 6'6" 250 | 4 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 82 | Duke Williams | WR | 26 | 6'3" 225 | 3 | Auburn | ACT |
| 84 | Nate Becker | TE | 23 | 6'5" 264 | R | Miami, O. | DEV |
| 85 | Lee Smith | TE | 33 | 6'6" 265 | 8 | Marshall | ACT |
| 86 | Nick Easley | WR | 22 | 5'11" 205 | R | Iowa | DEV |
| 87 | Cam Phillips | WR | 25 | 6'0" 201 | 1 | Virginia Tech | CUT |
| 88 | Dawson Knox | TE | 24 | 6'4" 254 | R | Mississippi | ACT |
| 89 | Tommy Sweeney | TE | 24 | 6'4" 251 | R | Boston College | INA |
Offensive line18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | Demetrius Rhaney | OL | — | 6'2" 305 | 5 | Tennessee State | CUT |
| 60 | Mitch Morse | OL | 27 | 6'6" 305 | 4 | Missouri | ACT |
| 60 | Brandon Hitner | OL | 24 | 6'6" 300 | R | Villanova | DEV |
| 61 | Spencer Long | OL | 30 | 6'5" 318 | 5 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 62 | Vladimir Ducasse | OL | — | 6'5" 329 | 9 | Massachusetts | CUT |
| 64 | Victor Salako | OL | 27 | 6'6" 322 | 2 | Oklahoma State | DEV |
| 65 | Ike Boettger | OL | 26 | 6'6" 318 | 1 | Iowa | INA |
| 66 | Russell Bodine | OL | 27 | 6'3" 308 | 5 | North Carolina | CUT |
| 67 | Quinton Spain | OL | 28 | 6'4" 330 | 4 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 70 | Cody Ford | OL | 24 | 6'3" 329 | R | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 71 | Nico Siragusa | OL | — | 6'4" 330 | 2 | San Diego State | CUT |
| 71 | Ryan Bates | OL | 22 | 6'4" 300 | R | Penn State | INA |
| 72 | Jarron Jones | OL | 25 | 6'6" 320 | 2 | Notre Dame | CUT |
| 73 | Dion Dawkins | OL | 25 | 6'5" 320 | 2 | Temple | ACT |
| 74 | LaAdrian Waddle | OL | 28 | 6'6" 315 | 6 | Texas Tech | RES |
| 76 | Jon Feliciano | OL | 27 | 6'4" 323 | 4 | Miami | ACT |
| 77 | Ty Nsekhe | OL | 35 | 6'8" 330 | 7 | Texas State | ACT |
| 79 | De'Ondre Wesley | OL | — | 6'6" 331 | 4 | Brigham Young | CUT |
Defensive front23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Maurice Alexander | LB | 28 | 6'2" 220 | 5 | Utah State | RES |
| 46 | Del'Shawn Phillips | LB | 24 | 6'2" 230 | R | Illinois | DEV |
| 49 | Tremaine Edmunds | LB | 21 | 6'5" 250 | 1 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 50 | Vosean Joseph | LB | 23 | 6'1" 230 | R | Florida | RES |
| 51 | Julian Stanford | LB | 30 | 6'1" 230 | 7 | Wagner | ACT |
| 52 | Corey Thompson | LB | 27 | 6'1" 222 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 53 | Tyrel Dodson | LB | 21 | 6'0" 237 | R | Texas A&M | DEV |
| 55 | Jerry Hughes | DL | 31 | 6'2" 254 | 9 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 55 | Curtis Akins | LB | 25 | 6'1" 229 | R | Memphis | CUT |
| 56 | Mike Love | DL | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 1 | South Florida | RES |
| 57 | Lorenzo Alexander | LB | 36 | 6'1" 245 | 14 | California | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Milano | LB | 25 | 6'0" 223 | 2 | Boston College | ACT |
| 76 | Jonathan Woodard | DL | 27 | 6'5" 271 | 3 | Central Arkansas | DEV |
| 90 | Shaq Lawson | DL | 25 | 6'3" 267 | 3 | Clemson | ACT |
| 91 | Ed Oliver | DL | 23 | 6'1" 287 | R | Houston | ACT |
| 92 | Darryl Johnson | DL | 22 | 6'6" 253 | R | North Carolina A&T | ACT |
| 93 | Trent Murphy | DL | 30 | 6'6" 259 | 5 | Stanford | ACT |
| 94 | Corey Liuget | DL | 29 | 6'2" 300 | 8 | Illinois | ACT |
| 96 | Robert Thomas | DL | — | 6'1" 316 | 5 | Arkansas | CUT |
| 96 | Vincent Taylor | DL | 25 | 6'3" 311 | 2 | Oklahoma State | INA |
| 97 | Jordan Phillips | DL | 28 | 6'6" 341 | 4 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 98 | Star Lotulelei | DL | 31 | 6'2" 318 | 6 | Utah | ACT |
| 99 | Harrison Phillips | DL | 23 | 6'3" 307 | 1 | Stanford | RES |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jordan Poyer | DB | 28 | 6'0" 191 | 6 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 23 | Micah Hyde | DB | 30 | 6'0" 197 | 6 | Iowa | ACT |
| 24 | Taron Johnson | DB | 23 | 5'11" 192 | 1 | Weber State | ACT |
| 26 | Captain Munnerlyn | DB | — | 5'9" 195 | 10 | South Carolina | CUT |
| 26 | E.J. Gaines | DB | 27 | 5'10" 190 | 5 | Missouri | CUT |
| 27 | Tre'Davious White | DB | 24 | 5'11" 192 | 2 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 28 | Kurt Coleman | DB | 31 | 5'11" 208 | 9 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 29 | Kevin Johnson | DB | 27 | 6'0" 185 | 4 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 30 | Lafayette Pitts | DB | 28 | 5'11" 195 | 3 | Pittsburgh | CUT |
| 31 | Dean Marlowe | DB | 27 | 6'1" 208 | 4 | James Madison | ACT |
| 33 | Siran Neal | DB | 25 | 6'0" 205 | 1 | Jacksonville State | ACT |
| 35 | Abraham Wallace | DB | — | 5'10" 192 | R | West Alabama | CUT |
| 39 | Levi Wallace | DB | 24 | 6'0" 179 | 1 | Alabama | INA |
| 46 | Jaquan Johnson | DB | 25 | 5'10" 190 | R | Miami | ACT |
| 47 | Cam Lewis | DB | 22 | 5'9" 183 | R | Buffalo | DEV |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stephen Hauschka | K | 34 | 6'4" 210 | 11 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 7 | Cory Carter | P | — | 5'11" 220 | 3 | Texas Southern | CUT |
| 9 | Corey Bojorquez | P | 24 | 6'0" 208 | 1 | New Mexico | ACT |
| 69 | Reid Ferguson | LS | 25 | 6'2" 235 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jets | W 17-16 | +2.5 | -0.093 |
| 2 | @ Giants | W 28-14 | -1 | +0.168 |
| 3 | vs Bengals | W 21-17 | -5.5 | -0.059 |
| 4 | vs Patriots | L 10-16 | +7 | -0.214 |
| 5 | @ Titans | W 14-7 | +3.5 | -0.100 |
| 7 | vs Dolphins | W 31-21 | -17 | +0.112 |
| 8 | vs Eagles | L 13-31 | -1 | -0.191 |
| 9 | vs Commanders | W 24-9 | -10.5 | +0.066 |
| 10 | @ Browns | L 16-19 | +3 | +0.038 |
| 11 | @ Dolphins | W 37-20 | -7 | +0.265 |
| 12 | vs Broncos | W 20-3 | -3.5 | +0.075 |
| 13 | @ Cowboys | W 26-15 | +6.5 | +0.219 |
| 14 | vs Ravens | L 17-24 | +6.5 | -0.222 |
| 15 | @ Steelers | W 17-10 | +1 | -0.141 |
| 16 | @ Patriots | L 17-24 | +7 | +0.005 |
| 17 | vs Jets | L 6-13 | +1.5 | -0.261 |
| WC | @ Texans | L 19-22 | +2.5 | -0.025 |