NFC South · 2021
Carolina Panthers
Record
5-12
Net EPA
-0.226est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.132
- Success rate41.2%
- EPA / dropback-0.158
- EPA / rush-0.089
- Explosive rate7.3%
- CPOE-7.50
- Third-down rate36.1%
- Red-zone TD rate53.0%
- Points / drive1.43
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.031
- Success rate allowed41.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.029
- EPA / rush allowed-0.111
- Explosive rate allowed9.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.1%
- Sack rate6.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.99
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.132 · 8th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.031 · 20th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
5-12
-3.4 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
3-6
As favorite
2-5
As dog
3-7
O/U
8-9
-1.9 vs total
Roster
87 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Newton | QB | 32 | 6'5" 245 | 10 | Auburn | ACT |
| 6 | Phillip Walker | QB | 26 | 5'11" 212 | 4 | Temple | INA |
| 8 | Jordan Ta'amu | QB | 25 | 6'3" 221 | 2 | Mississippi | CUT |
| 14 | Sam Darnold | QB | 24 | 6'3" 225 | 3 | Southern California | ACT |
Backs & receivers20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | D.J. Moore | WR | 24 | 6'0" 215 | 3 | Maryland | ACT |
| 11 | Robby Anderson | WR | 28 | 6'3" 190 | 5 | Temple | ACT |
| 12 | Shi Smith | WR | 24 | 5'10" 190 | R | South Carolina | RES |
| 13 | Alex Erickson | WR | 30 | 6'0" 195 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 16 | Brandon Zylstra | WR | 28 | 6'2" 215 | 3 | Concordia, Minn | ACT |
| 18 | Keith Kirkwood | WR | 28 | 6'3" 210 | 3 | Temple | ACT |
| 19 | Aaron Parker | WR | 23 | 6'3" 191 | 1 | Rhode Island | DEV |
| 20 | Ameer Abdullah | RB | 28 | 5'8" 203 | 6 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 22 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | 25 | 5'11" 205 | 4 | Stanford | RES |
| 30 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | 22 | 6'1" 207 | R | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 33 | Spencer Brown | RB | 24 | 6'0" 220 | R | Alabama-Birmingham | DEV |
| 39 | Reggie Bonnafon | RB | 25 | 6'0" 215 | 3 | Louisville | ACT |
| 45 | Giovanni Ricci | RB | 26 | 6'3" 240 | 1 | Western Michigan | ACT |
| 80 | Ian Thomas | TE | 25 | 6'4" 260 | 3 | Indiana | ACT |
| 81 | C.J. Saunders | WR | 26 | 5'10" 190 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 82 | Tommy Tremble | TE | 21 | 6'4" 248 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 83 | Willie Snead | WR | 30 | 5'11" 205 | 7 | Ball State | DEV |
| 84 | Stephen Sullivan | TE | 26 | 6'5" 242 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 86 | Colin Thompson | TE | 29 | 6'4" 255 | 4 | Temple | DEV |
| 88 | Terrace Marshall | WR | 21 | 6'2" 200 | R | Louisiana State | RES |
Offensive line16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Pat Elflein | OL | 27 | 6'3" 303 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 61 | Matt Paradis | OL | 33 | 6'3" 300 | 7 | Boise State | RES |
| 62 | Aaron Monteiro | OL | 24 | 6'6" 315 | 2 | Boston College | DEV |
| 63 | Patrick Omameh | OL | 33 | 6'4" 327 | 8 | Michigan | CUT |
| 65 | Dennis Daley | OL | 25 | 6'6" 324 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 66 | Mike Horton | OL | 26 | 6'4" 325 | 1 | Auburn | DEV |
| 67 | John Miller | OL | 28 | 6'3" 315 | 6 | Louisville | INA |
| 68 | Sam Tecklenburg | OL | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | Baylor | ACT |
| 70 | Brady Christensen | OL | 26 | 6'6" 297 | R | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 72 | Taylor Moton | OL | 27 | 6'5" 325 | 4 | Western Michigan | ACT |
| 73 | Michael Jordan | OL | 23 | 6'6" 315 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 74 | Austen Pleasants | OL | 24 | 6'7" 312 | 1 | Ohio | DEV |
| 75 | Cameron Erving | OL | 29 | 6'5" 313 | 6 | Florida State | RES |
| 77 | Deonte Brown | OL | 23 | 6'4" 350 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 78 | Trenton Scott | OL | 27 | 6'5" 320 | 3 | Grambling | ACT |
| 79 | Mike Panasiuk | OL | 25 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | Michigan State | RES |
Defensive front22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jermaine Carter | LB | 26 | 6'1" 225 | 3 | Maryland | ACT |
| 7 | Shaq Thompson | LB | 27 | 6'0" 230 | 6 | Washington | ACT |
| 43 | Haason Reddick | LB | 28 | 6'1" 235 | 4 | Temple | ACT |
| 47 | Jordan Mack | LB | — | 6'2" 230 | 1 | Virginia | RET |
| 47 | Kamal Martin | LB | 23 | 6'3" 245 | 1 | Minnesota | INA |
| 48 | Jacob Tuioti-Mariner | LB | 25 | 6'2" 285 | 3 | UCLA | INA |
| 49 | Frankie Luvu | LB | 26 | 6'3" 235 | 3 | Washington State | ACT |
| 50 | Julian Stanford | LB | 32 | 6'1" 230 | 9 | Wagner | ACT |
| 53 | Brian Burns | DL | 23 | 6'5" 250 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 54 | Azur Kamara | DL | 24 | 6'4" 235 | 1 | Kansas | INA |
| 69 | Frank Herron | DL | 27 | 6'5" 305 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 71 | Phil Hoskins | DL | 24 | 6'5" 280 | R | Kentucky | RES |
| 76 | Damontre Moore | DL | 30 | 6'4" 260 | 8 | Texas A&M | DEV |
| 90 | DaQuan Jones | DL | 31 | 6'4" 322 | 7 | Penn State | ACT |
| 91 | Morgan Fox | DL | 28 | 6'3" 275 | 5 | Colorado State-Pueblo | ACT |
| 92 | Darryl Johnson | DL | 24 | 6'6" 253 | 2 | North Carolina A&T | ACT |
| 93 | Bravvion Roy | DL | 26 | 6'1" 333 | 1 | Baylor | ACT |
| 94 | Daviyon Nixon | DL | 24 | 6'3" 305 | R | Iowa | RES |
| 95 | Derrick Brown | DL | 23 | 6'5" 318 | 1 | Auburn | ACT |
| 96 | Austin Larkin | DL | 26 | 6'3" 265 | 3 | Purdue | DEV |
| 97 | Yetur Gross-Matos | DL | 23 | 6'5" 264 | 1 | Penn State | RES |
| 98 | Marquis Haynes | DL | 29 | 6'2" 235 | 3 | Mississippi | ACT |
Secondary18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jaycee Horn | DB | 23 | 6'1" 200 | R | South Carolina | RES |
| 9 | Stephon Gilmore | DB | 32 | 6'1" 202 | 9 | South Carolina | RES |
| 15 | C.J. Henderson | DB | 24 | 6'1" 191 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 21 | Jeremy Chinn | DB | 23 | 6'3" 212 | 1 | Southern Illinois | INA |
| 23 | Stantley Thomas-Oliver | DB | 23 | 6'0" 184 | 1 | Florida International | ACT |
| 24 | A.J. Bouye | DB | 30 | 6'0" 191 | 8 | Central Florida | RES |
| 25 | Troy Pride | DB | 23 | 5'11" 194 | 1 | Notre Dame | RES |
| 26 | Donte Jackson | DB | 27 | 5'10" 180 | 3 | Louisiana State | RES |
| 27 | Kenny Robinson | DB | 22 | 6'2" 202 | 1 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 28 | Keith Taylor | DB | 22 | 6'3" 195 | R | Washington | ACT |
| 29 | Rashaan Melvin | DB | 33 | 6'2" 196 | 8 | Northern Illinois | ACT |
| 31 | Juston Burris | DB | 28 | 6'0" 212 | 5 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 34 | Sean Chandler | DB | 25 | 5'10" 205 | 3 | Temple | INA |
| 35 | Jalen Julius | DB | 25 | 5'10" 192 | 1 | Mississippi | CUT |
| 36 | Tae Hayes | DB | 24 | 5'9" 188 | 2 | Appalachian State | DEV |
| 36 | Madre Harper | DB | 25 | 6'1" 190 | 1 | Southern Illinois | ACT |
| 38 | Myles Hartsfield | DB | 24 | 5'11" 211 | 1 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 42 | Sam Franklin | DB | 25 | 6'3" 210 | 1 | Temple | ACT |
Specialists7
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lirim Hajrullahu | K | 31 | 5'11" 215 | 1 | Western Ontario, Can. | ACT |
| 4 | Blake Haubeil | K | 22 | 6'3" 230 | R | Ohio State | CUT |
| 5 | Zane Gonzalez | K | 26 | 6'0" 202 | 4 | Arizona State | RES |
| 10 | Lachlan Edwards | P | 29 | 6'4" 209 | 5 | Sam Houston State | ACT |
| 16 | Dominik Eberle | K | 25 | 6'1" 190 | 1 | Utah State | DEV |
| 44 | J.J. Jansen | LS | 35 | 6'2" 235 | 13 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 46 | Thomas Fletcher | LS | 24 | 6'1" 231 | R | Alabama | RES |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jets | W 19-14 | -3.5 | -0.039 |
| 2 | vs Saints | W 26-7 | +3 | +0.087 |
| 3 | @ Texans | W 24-9 | -8 | +0.202 |
| 4 | @ Cowboys | L 28-36 | +4.5 | +0.096 |
| 5 | vs Eagles | L 18-21 | -2.5 | -0.302 |
| 6 | vs Vikings | L 28-34 | +2.5 | -0.197 |
| 7 | @ Giants | L 3-25 | -3 | -0.375 |
| 8 | @ Falcons | W 19-13 | +2.5 | +0.037 |
| 9 | vs Patriots | L 6-24 | +3.5 | -0.512 |
| 10 | @ Cardinals | W 34-10 | +7 | -0.025 |
| 11 | vs Commanders | L 21-27 | -3.5 | +0.113 |
| 12 | @ Dolphins | L 10-33 | -1 | -0.338 |
| 14 | vs Falcons | L 21-29 | -2.5 | -0.151 |
| 15 | @ Bills | L 14-31 | +14 | -0.154 |
| 16 | vs Buccaneers | L 6-32 | +11.5 | -0.305 |
| 17 | @ Saints | L 10-18 | +7 | -0.259 |
| 18 | @ Buccaneers | L 17-41 | +11 | -0.201 |