NFC North · 2005
Chicago Bears
Record
11-5
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.001est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.138
- Success rate37.0%
- EPA / dropback-0.147
- EPA / rush-0.129
- Explosive rate8.0%
- Third-down rate28.3%
- Red-zone TD rate49.7%
- Points / drive1.08
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.167
- Success rate allowed36.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.187
- EPA / rush allowed-0.136
- Explosive rate allowed6.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.3%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed0.81
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.138 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.167 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-5-1
+3.4 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
5-1-1
As dog
5-4
O/U
4-12
-4.8 vs total
Roster
55 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rex Grossman | QB | 25 | 6'1" 217 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 11 | Jeff Blake | QB | 36 | 6'1" 223 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Kyle Orton | QB | 24 | 6'4" 223 | R | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Justin Gage | WR | 24 | 6'4" 212 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 20 | Thomas Jones | RB | 27 | 5'10" 220 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 20 | Thomas Jones | RB | 27 | 5'10" 220 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Adrian Peterson | RB | 26 | 5'10" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Cedric Benson | RB | 24 | 5'10" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 37 | Jason McKie | FB | 25 | 5'11" 240 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Bryan Johnson | FB | 27 | 6'1" 242 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Bernard Berrian | WR | 26 | 6'1" 180 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Gabriel Reid | TE | 28 | 6'3" 253 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 85 | John Gilmore | TE | 27 | 6'5" 260 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Eddie Berlin | WR | 27 | 5'11" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Muhsin Muhammad | WR | 32 | 6'2" 215 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Desmond Clark | TE | 28 | 6'3" 254 | 6 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | Olin Kreutz | C | 28 | 6'2" 292 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 60 | Terrence Metcalf | G | 27 | 6'3" 318 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Lennie Friedman | G | 30 | 6'3" 295 | 6 | — | TRD |
| 62 | Lennie Friedman | G | 30 | 6'3" 295 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Roberto Garza | G | 26 | 6'2" 300 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Fred Miller | T | 32 | 6'7" 320 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Qasim Mitchell | G | 27 | 6'5" 347 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Ruben Brown | G | 33 | 6'3" 300 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 76 | John Tait | T | 30 | 6'6" 315 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 78 | John St. Clair | T | 28 | 6'4" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Steve Edwards | G | 26 | 6'5" 330 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | Leon Joe | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Brian Urlacher | MLB | 27 | 6'4" 258 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Lance Briggs | OLB | 26 | 6'1" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Jeremy Cain | LB | 25 | 6'1" 231 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Jamaal Green | DE | 25 | 6'2" 272 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Alfonso Boone | DT | 29 | 6'4" 318 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Israel Idonije | DE | 26 | 6'6" 275 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Tommie Harris | DT | 22 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Hunter Hillenmeyer | OLB | 26 | 6'4" 238 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Adewale Ogunleye | DE | 28 | 6'4" 260 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Brendon Ayanbadejo | OLB | 30 | 6'1" 228 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Ian Scott | DT | 25 | 6'3" 302 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Alex Brown | DE | 26 | 6'3" 260 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Michael Haynes | DE | 26 | 6'4" 274 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Tank Johnson | DT | 25 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rashied Davis | CB | 26 | 5'9" 180 | R | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jerry Azumah | CB | 29 | 5'10" 192 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Daven Holly | CB | 23 | 5'10" 192 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Chris Thompson | CB | 23 | 6'0" 187 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Mike Brown | FS | 27 | 5'10" 207 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Nathan Vasher | CB | 25 | 5'10" 180 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Charles Tillman | CB | 24 | 6'1" 196 | 2 | Louisiana-Lafayette | ACT |
| 35 | Todd Johnson | SS | 28 | 6'1" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Mike Green | FS | 30 | 6'0" 195 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 46 | Chris Harris | FS | 23 | 6'0" 205 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brad Maynard | P | 31 | 6'1" 186 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Robbie Gould | K | 24 | 6'1" 181 | R | Penn State | ACT |
| 65 | Patrick Mannelly | LS | 30 | 6'5" 265 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Commanders | L 7-9 | +6 | -0.192 |
| 2 | vs Lions | W 38-6 | +2.5 | +0.134 |
| 3 | vs Bengals | L 7-24 | +3 | -0.374 |
| 5 | @ Browns | L 10-20 | +3 | -0.299 |
| 6 | vs Vikings | W 28-3 | -2 | -0.178 |
| 7 | vs Ravens | W 10-6 | -1 | -0.072 |
| 8 | @ Lions | W 19-13 | +3 | -0.087 |
| 9 | @ Saints | W 20-17 | -2.5 | -0.081 |
| 10 | vs 49ers | W 17-9 | -12 | -0.144 |
| 11 | vs Panthers | W 13-3 | +3 | -0.151 |
| 12 | @ Buccaneers | W 13-10 | +3 | -0.133 |
| 13 | vs Packers | W 19-7 | -7 | -0.400 |
| 14 | @ Steelers | L 9-21 | +4 | -0.033 |
| 15 | vs Falcons | W 16-3 | -3 | -0.149 |
| 16 | @ Packers | W 24-17 | -7 | +0.004 |
| 17 | @ Vikings | L 10-34 | +3 | -0.042 |
| DIV | vs Panthers | L 21-29 | -3 | +0.002 |

