NFC North · 2018

Chicago Bears

Record

12-4

Seed

Net EPA

+0.141est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.039
Success rate46.3%
EPA / dropback+0.147
EPA / rush-0.119
Explosive rate8.0%
CPOE+2.41
Third-down rate41.4%
Red-zone TD rate67.8%
Points / drive1.96
Turnover rate2.3%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.127
Success rate allowed40.1%
EPA / dropback allowed-0.087
EPA / rush allowed-0.217
Explosive rate allowed6.1%
Pressure rate (proxy)20.4%
Sack rate6.9%
Points / drive allowed1.31

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.039 · 60th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.127 · 2th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

12-4

+5.5 vs line

Home

7-1

Away

5-3

As favorite

9-3

As dog

3-1

O/U

8-8

+0.3 vs total

Roster

91 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
4	Chase Daniel	QB	33	6'0" 225	9	Missouri	ACT
9	Tyler Bray	QB	28	6'6" 215	5	Tennessee	DEV
10	Mitchell Trubisky	QB	24	6'3" 222	1	North Carolina	ACT

Backs & receivers27

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Malachi Jones	WR	—	6'3" 215	2	Appalachian State	CUT
8	Garrett Johnson	WR	—	5'11" 175	R	Kentucky	CUT
11	Kevin White	WR	26	6'3" 216	3	West Virginia	ACT
12	Allen Robinson	WR	25	6'3" 210	4	Penn State	ACT
13	Cyril Grayson	WR	26	5'9" 183	1	Louisiana State	DEV
14	DeMarcus Ayers	WR	—	5'11" 190	2	Houston	CUT
14	Matt Fleming	WR	—	6'0" 180	R	Benedictine	CUT
15	Josh Bellamy	WR	29	6'0" 208	6	Louisville	ACT
17	Anthony Miller	WR	25	5'11" 190	R	Memphis	ACT
18	Taylor Gabriel	WR	27	5'8" 167	4	Abilene Christian	ACT
19	Tanner Gentry	WR	25	6'2" 209	1	Wyoming	DEV
24	Jordan Howard	RB	25	6'0" 224	2	Indiana	ACT
29	Tarik Cohen	RB	23	5'6" 181	1	North Carolina A&T	ACT
30	Benny Cunningham	RB	28	5'10" 218	5	Middle Tennessee State	ACT
33	Taquan Mizzell	RB	26	5'10" 192	1	Virginia	ACT
35	Ryan Nall	RB	24	6'2" 232	R	Oregon State	DEV
43	Knile Davis	RB	—	5'11" 227	5	Arkansas	CUT
46	Michael Burton	RB	26	6'0" 240	3	Rutgers	ACT
80	Trey Burton	TE	28	6'3" 235	4	Florida	ACT
81	Marlon Brown	WR	27	6'5" 214	5	Georgia	CUT
82	Colin Thompson	TE	26	6'4" 257	1	Temple	CUT
83	Javon Wims	WR	25	6'4" 215	R	Georgia	ACT
84	Ben Braunecker	TE	24	6'4" 252	2	Harvard	ACT
85	Daniel Brown	TE	26	6'5" 247	3	James Madison	ACT
86	Zach Miller	TE	35	6'5" 245	9	Nebraska-Omaha	PUP
87	Adam Shaheen	TE	25	6'6" 270	1	Ashland	ACT
88	Dion Sims	TE	27	6'4" 268	5	Michigan State	RES

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Brandon Greene	OL	24	6'5" 295	1	Alabama	CUT
62	James Stone	OL	26	6'3" 290	4	Tennessee	CUT
62	Dejon Allen	OL	24	6'3" 290	R	Hawaii	DEV
64	Eric Kush	OL	30	6'4" 317	5	California, Pa.	ACT
65	Cody Whitehair	OL	26	6'4" 305	2	Kansas State	ACT
66	Willie Beavers	OL	26	6'5" 324	2	Western Michigan	CUT
66	Jack Allen	OL	—	6'2" 296	2	Michigan State	CUT
68	James Daniels	OL	22	6'3" 295	R	Iowa	ACT
69	Rashaad Coward	OL	25	6'6" 320	1	Old Dominion	ACT
70	Bobby Massie	OL	29	6'6" 317	6	Mississippi	ACT
72	Charles Leno Jr.	OL	28	6'3" 305	4	Boise State	ACT
73	Will Pericak	OL	—	6'3" 300	5	Colorado	CUT
75	Kyle Long	OL	31	6'6" 315	5	Oregon	ACT
78	Matt McCants	OL	—	6'5" 309	6	Alabama-Birmingham	CUT
78	Bryan Witzmann	OL	28	6'7" 320	4	South Dakota State	ACT
79	Bradley Sowell	OL	29	6'7" 312	6	Mississippi	ACT

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Nick Kwiatkoski	LB	25	6'2" 242	2	West Virginia	ACT
45	Joel Iyiegbuniwe	LB	24	6'1" 230	R	Western Kentucky	ACT
47	Isaiah Irving	LB	24	6'3" 254	1	San Jose State	ACT
48	Andrew Trumbetti	LB	22	6'4" 263	R	Notre Dame	RES
49	Kylie Fitts	LB	25	6'4" 260	R	Utah	ACT
50	Elijah Norris	LB	—	6'4" 220	R	Shepherd	CUT
52	Khalil Mack	LB	27	6'3" 252	4	Buffalo	ACT
53	John Timu	LB	—	6'0" 246	3	Washington	CUT
55	Josh Woods	LB	22	6'1" 204	R	Maryland	DEV
58	Roquan Smith	LB	21	6'1" 225	R	Georgia	ACT
59	Danny Trevathan	LB	28	6'1" 239	6	Kentucky	ACT
63	Ro'Derrick Hoskins	LB	—	6'3" 240	R	Florida State	CUT
74	Bunmi Rotimi	DL	—	6'4" 275	R	Old Dominion	CUT
76	Abdullah Anderson	DL	22	6'4" 295	R	Bucknell	DEV
78	Cavon Walker	DL	24	6'2" 278	R	Maryland	CUT
90	Jonathan Bullard	DL	26	6'3" 296	2	Florida	ACT
91	Eddie Goldman	DL	24	6'4" 320	3	Florida State	ACT
93	Sam Acho	LB	31	6'3" 259	7	Texas	RES
94	Leonard Floyd	LB	27	6'4" 251	2	Georgia	ACT
95	Roy Robertson-Harris	DL	25	6'7" 294	2	Texas-El Paso	ACT
96	Akiem Hicks	DL	30	6'5" 332	6	Regina, Can.	ACT
97	Nick Williams	DL	28	6'4" 309	5	Samford	ACT
98	Bilal Nichols	DL	23	6'4" 290	R	Delaware	ACT
99	Aaron Lynch	LB	25	6'6" 270	4	South Florida	ACT

Secondary16

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Prince Amukamara	DB	29	6'0" 204	7	Nebraska	ACT
21	Michael Joseph	DB	23	6'1" 187	R	Dubuque	DEV
22	Kevin Toliver	DB	24	6'2" 204	R	Louisiana State	ACT
23	Kyle Fuller	DB	26	5'11" 190	4	Virginia Tech	ACT
25	Jonathon Mincy	DB	27	5'10" 196	3	Auburn	DEV
26	Deon Bush	DB	25	6'0" 205	2	Miami	ACT
27	Sherrick McManis	DB	32	6'1" 193	8	Northwestern	ACT
29	Rashard Fant	DB	23	5'10" 180	R	Indiana	RES
31	Marcus Williams	DB	27	5'11" 196	4	North Dakota State	ACT
35	Doran Grant	DB	—	5'10" 196	3	Ohio State	CUT
36	DeAndre Houston-Carson	DB	25	6'1" 205	2	William & Mary	ACT
37	Bryce Callahan	DB	28	5'9" 188	3	Rice	RES
38	Adrian Amos	DB	25	6'0" 214	3	Penn State	ACT
39	Eddie Jackson	DB	26	6'0" 202	1	Alabama	ACT
43	John Franklin	DB	25	6'1" 186	R	Florida Atlantic	DEV
46	Nick Orr	DB	—	5'10" 187	R	Texas Christian	CUT

Specialists5

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Cody Parkey	K	26	6'0" 190	4	Auburn	ACT
6	Ryan Winslow	P	24	6'5" 217	R	Pittsburgh	CUT
16	Pat O'Donnell	P	27	6'4" 217	4	Miami	ACT
48	Patrick Scales	LS	30	6'4" 239	7	Utah State	ACT
63	Tanner Carew	LS	—	6'1" 200	R	Oregon	CUT

Schedule

17 games

Chicago Bears schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Packers	L 23-24	+6.5	-0.002
2	vs Seahawks	W 24-17	-5	-0.073
3	@ Cardinals	W 16-14	-6	-0.053
4	vs Buccaneers	W 48-10	-3	+0.490
6	@ Dolphins	L 28-31	-7.5	+0.135
7	vs Patriots	L 31-38	+1	+0.046
8	vs Jets	W 24-10	-8.5	+0.164
9	@ Bills	W 41-9	-10.5	-0.026
10	vs Lions	W 34-22	-7.5	+0.281
11	vs Vikings	W 25-20	-2.5	-0.048
12	@ Lions	W 23-16	-3	-0.068
13	@ Giants	L 27-30	-3.5	-0.094
14	vs Rams	W 15-6	+3	-0.224
15	vs Packers	W 24-17	-6	+0.027
16	@ 49ers	W 14-9	-3.5	+0.086
17	@ Vikings	W 24-10	+6	+0.094
WC	vs Eagles	L 15-16	-6.5	+0.045