AFC North · 2007
Cleveland Browns
Record
10-6
Net EPA
+0.023est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.013
- Success rate42.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.032
- EPA / rush-0.076
- Explosive rate10.4%
- CPOE-2.23
- Third-down rate42.7%
- Red-zone TD rate61.0%
- Points / drive1.84
- Turnover rate2.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.009
- Success rate allowed43.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.076
- EPA / rush allowed-0.085
- Explosive rate allowed9.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)14.9%
- Sack rate4.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.87
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.013 · 57th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.009 · 74th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
12-4
+2.0 vs line
Home
7-1
Away
5-3
As favorite
8-1
As dog
4-3
O/U
9-6-1
+4.8 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2007
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Steelers | L 7-34 | +4.5 | -0.399 |
| 2 | vs Bengals | W 51-45 | +7 | +0.320 |
| 3 | @ Raiders | L 24-26 | +3 | -0.055 |
| 4 | vs Ravens | W 27-13 | +3.5 | +0.063 |
| 5 | @ Patriots | L 17-34 | +15.5 | -0.225 |
| 6 | vs Dolphins | W 41-31 | -4 | +0.296 |
| 8 | @ Rams | W 27-20 | -3 | +0.316 |
| 9 | vs Seahawks | W 33-30 | -1 | +0.149 |
| 10 | @ Steelers | L 28-31 | +10 | -0.109 |
| 11 | @ Ravens | W 33-30 | -1 | -0.132 |
| 12 | vs Texans | W 27-17 | -3 | -0.040 |
| 13 | @ Cardinals | L 21-27 | +1 | -0.060 |
| 14 | @ Jets | W 24-18 | -3 | +0.150 |
| 15 | vs Bills | W 8-0 | -4.5 | -0.174 |
| 16 | @ Bengals | L 14-19 | -1 | -0.230 |
| 17 | vs 49ers | W 20-7 | -11.5 | +0.023 |