AFC West · 2003
Denver Broncos
Record
10-6
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.032est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.045
- Success rate44.6%
- EPA / dropback+0.043
- EPA / rush+0.047
- Explosive rate8.6%
- Third-down rate39.9%
- Red-zone TD rate57.7%
- Points / drive1.96
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.073
- Success rate allowed37.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.048
- EPA / rush allowed-0.114
- Explosive rate allowed8.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.2%
- Sack rate6.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.43
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.045 · 74th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.073 · 33th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
+2.2 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
5-3
As favorite
6-5
As dog
2-3
O/U
7-9
-0.3 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Danny Kanell | QB | 31 | 6'3" 218 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Jake Plummer | QB | 30 | 6'2" 212 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Jarious Jackson | QB | 26 | 6'0" 228 | 3 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Charlie Adams | WR | 25 | 6'2" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Nate Jackson | WR | 24 | 6'3" 223 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Quentin Griffin | RB | 22 | 5'7" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Clinton Portis | RB | 23 | 5'11" 205 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Reuben Droughns | FB | 25 | 5'11" 207 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Cecil Sapp | RB | 26 | 5'11" 229 | R | — | ACT |
| 38 | Mike Anderson | FB | 31 | 6'0" 230 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Rod Smith | WR | 33 | 6'0" 200 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Adrian Madise | WR | 23 | 5'11" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 83 | Mike Leach | TE | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 3 | William & Mary | ACT |
| 84 | Shannon Sharpe | TE | 35 | 6'2" 228 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Ashley Lelie | WR | 23 | 6'3" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Patrick Hape | TE | 29 | 6'4" 262 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Ed McCaffrey | WR | 35 | 6'5" 215 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Jeb Putzier | TE | 24 | 6'4" 256 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Dwayne Carswell | TE | 31 | 6'3" 260 | 9 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ben Hamilton | G | 26 | 6'4" 283 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Dan Neil | G | 31 | 6'2" 285 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Cooper Carlisle | G | 26 | 6'5" 295 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Tom Nalen | C | 32 | 6'3" 286 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 69 | P.J. Alexander | G | 26 | 6'4" 297 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 69 | P.J. Alexander | G | 26 | 6'4" 297 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 71 | Blake Brockermeyer | T | 30 | 6'4" 300 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 72 | George Foster | T | 23 | 6'5" 338 | R | — | ACT |
| 74 | Ephraim Salaam | T | 27 | 6'7" 295 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Matt Lepsis | T | 29 | 6'4" 290 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Steve Herndon | G | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | Johnny Rutledge | MLB | 26 | 6'3" 239 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Keith Burns | OLB | 31 | 6'2" 235 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Al Wilson | MLB | 26 | 6'0" 240 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jashon Sykes | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 236 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Donnie Spragan | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 239 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mario Fatafehi | DT | 24 | 6'2" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Monsanto Pope | DT | 25 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Darius Holland | DT | 31 | 6'5" 330 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Bert Berry | DE | 28 | 6'3" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Trevor Pryce | DE | 28 | 6'5" 295 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Dorsett Davis | DT | 24 | 6'5" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Reggie Hayward | DE | 24 | 6'5" 270 | 2 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Scott Turner | CB | 31 | 5'10" 180 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Willie Middlebrooks | CB | 24 | 6'1" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Deltha O'Neal | CB | 26 | 5'10" 196 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Kenoy Kennedy | SS | 27 | 6'1" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Kelly Herndon | CB | 28 | 5'10" 180 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Chris Young | SS | 23 | 6'0" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Jimmy Spencer | CB | 34 | 5'9" 188 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Lenny Walls | CB | 25 | 6'4" 192 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Sam Brandon | FS | 24 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Ryan McNeil | CB | 34 | 6'2" 210 | 10 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Elam | K | 33 | 5'11" 200 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Micah Knorr | P | 28 | 6'2" 199 | 3 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bengals | W 30-10 | -6 | -0.115 |
| 2 | @ Chargers | W 37-13 | -3 | +0.364 |
| 3 | vs Raiders | W 31-10 | -5.5 | +0.188 |
| 4 | vs Lions | W 20-16 | -12 | +0.070 |
| 5 | @ Chiefs | L 23-24 | +3.5 | +0.125 |
| 6 | vs Steelers | W 17-14 | -6.5 | -0.209 |
| 7 | @ Vikings | L 20-28 | +4 | -0.059 |
| 8 | @ Ravens | L 6-26 | +2.5 | -0.378 |
| 9 | vs Patriots | L 26-30 | -2 | -0.048 |
| 11 | vs Chargers | W 37-8 | -8.5 | +0.058 |
| 12 | vs Bears | L 10-19 | -10.5 | +0.009 |
| 13 | @ Raiders | W 22-8 | -3 | +0.054 |
| 14 | vs Chiefs | W 45-27 | -3 | +0.515 |
| 15 | vs Browns | W 23-20 | -11.5 | +0.054 |
| 16 | @ Colts | W 31-17 | +6.5 | +0.294 |
| 17 | @ Packers | L 3-31 | +10 | -0.292 |
| WC | @ Colts | L 10-41 | +3 | -0.095 |