AFC West · 2007
Denver Broncos
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.019est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.001
- Success rate42.8%
- EPA / dropback+0.071
- EPA / rush-0.100
- Explosive rate9.4%
- CPOE+1.55
- Third-down rate40.0%
- Red-zone TD rate49.6%
- Points / drive1.46
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.051
- Success rate allowed43.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.139
- EPA / rush allowed-0.045
- Explosive rate allowed10.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.2%
- Sack rate6.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.96
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.001 · 64th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.051 · 95th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
5-11
-5.6 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
1-7
As favorite
2-6
As dog
3-5
O/U
11-4-1
+4.4 vs total
Roster
59 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Darrell Hackney | QB | 24 | 6'0" 242 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 6 | Jay Cutler | QB | 24 | 6'3" 233 | 1 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 11 | Patrick Ramsey | QB | 28 | 6'2" 225 | 5 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Brandon Stokley | WR | 31 | 5'11" 192 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 15 | Brandon Marshall | WR | 23 | 6'4" 230 | 1 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 17 | Glenn Martinez | WR | 27 | 6'2" 182 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Taylor Jacobs | WR | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Taylor Jacobs | WR | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 20 | Travis Henry | RB | 30 | 5'9" 230 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Andre Hall | RB | 25 | 5'8" 212 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Paul Smith | FB | 29 | 5'11" 242 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Mike Bell | FB | 24 | 6'0" 225 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Selvin Young | RB | 25 | 5'11" 207 | R | — | ACT |
| 37 | Cecil Sapp | FB | 30 | 5'11" 229 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Javon Walker | WR | 30 | 6'3" 215 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Tony Scheffler | TE | 24 | 6'5" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Daniel Graham | TE | 30 | 6'3" 257 | 5 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Chris Myers | G | 27 | 6'4" 295 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Erik Pears | T | 25 | 6'8" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 69 | P.J. Alexander | G | 30 | 6'4" 297 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Montrae Holland | G | 27 | 6'2" 322 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Isaac Snell | G | 27 | 6'6" 288 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 72 | Isaac Snell | G | 27 | 6'6" 288 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Chris Kuper | G | 26 | 6'4" 302 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Ryan Harris | T | 22 | 6'5" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 78 | Matt Lepsis | T | 33 | 6'4" 290 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Chad Mustard | T | 31 | 6'6" 277 | 5 | — | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Jamie Winborn | OLB | 28 | 5'11" 242 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Ian Gold | OLB | 29 | 6'0" 223 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Louis Green | OLB | 29 | 6'3" 237 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 55 | D.J. Williams | MLB | 25 | 6'1" 242 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jordan Beck | MLB | 24 | 6'2" 233 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Nate Webster | OLB | 31 | 6'0" 232 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 60 | John Engelberger | DE | 32 | 6'4" 260 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Steven Harris | DT | 23 | 6'5" 305 | R | — | ACT |
| 77 | Larry Birdine | DE | 25 | 6'4" 261 | R | — | TRD |
| 77 | Larry Birdine | DE | 25 | 6'4" 261 | R | — | ACT |
| 79 | Marcus Thomas | DT | 23 | 6'3" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Paul Carrington | DE | 26 | 6'7" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Elvis Dumervil | DE | 23 | 5'11" 260 | 1 | Louisville | ACT |
| 96 | Tim Crowder | DE | 22 | 6'4" 275 | R | — | ACT |
| 97 | Kenny Peterson | DE | 30 | 6'3" 285 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Josh Mallard | DE | 27 | 6'2" 275 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Josh Mallard | DE | 27 | 6'2" 275 | 5 | — | TRC |
| 99 | Alvin McKinley | DT | 29 | 6'3" 294 | 7 | — | ACT |
Secondary8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hamza Abdullah | FS | 24 | 6'2" 216 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Domonique Foxworth | CB | 24 | 5'11" 180 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Champ Bailey | CB | 29 | 6'0" 192 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Dre' Bly | CB | 30 | 5'10" 188 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Steve Cargile | DB | 25 | 6'2" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Karl Paymah | CB | 26 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Roderick Rogers | DB | 24 | 6'2" 187 | R | — | ACT |
| 47 | John Lynch | FS | 37 | 6'2" 220 | 14 | — | ACT |
Specialists6
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Elam | K | 37 | 5'11" 195 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 2 | Sam Paulescu | P | 23 | 6'0" 190 | R | — | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Prater | K | 23 | 5'10" 175 | 1 | Central Florida | TRC |
| 5 | Matt Prater | K | 23 | 5'10" 175 | 1 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Prater | K | 23 | 5'10" 175 | 1 | Central Florida | TRD |
| 83 | Mike Leach | LS | 32 | 6'2" 240 | 7 | William & Mary | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bills | W 15-14 | -3 | +0.144 |
| 2 | vs Raiders | W 23-20 | -10 | +0.015 |
| 3 | vs Jaguars | L 14-23 | -3.5 | -0.074 |
| 4 | @ Colts | L 20-38 | +10 | +0.152 |
| 5 | vs Chargers | L 3-41 | +1 | -0.206 |
| 7 | vs Steelers | W 31-28 | +4 | +0.134 |
| 8 | vs Packers | L 13-19 | -3 | +0.092 |
| 9 | @ Lions | L 7-44 | +3 | -0.344 |
| 10 | @ Chiefs | W 27-11 | +3 | +0.016 |
| 11 | vs Titans | W 34-20 | -1 | +0.307 |
| 12 | @ Bears | L 34-37 | +1 | +0.038 |
| 13 | @ Raiders | L 20-34 | -3.5 | -0.170 |
| 14 | vs Chiefs | W 41-7 | -7.5 | +0.294 |
| 15 | @ Texans | L 13-31 | -2.5 | -0.028 |
| 16 | @ Chargers | L 3-23 | +9 | -0.362 |
| 17 | vs Vikings | W 22-19 | +3 | +0.032 |