AFC West · 2012
Denver Broncos
Record
13-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.231est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.113
- Success rate48.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.271
- EPA / rush-0.106
- Explosive rate9.9%
- CPOE+7.00
- Third-down rate46.0%
- Red-zone TD rate64.3%
- Points / drive2.26
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.090
- Success rate allowed40.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.069
- EPA / rush allowed-0.126
- Explosive rate allowed6.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.7%
- Sack rate7.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.30
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.113 · 91th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.090 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
+7.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-3
As favorite
9-3
As dog
1-3
O/U
10-5-1
+1.2 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brock Osweiler | QB | 23 | 6'7" 240 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 16 | Caleb Hanie | QB | 28 | 6'2" 222 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 36 | 6'5" 230 | 14 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trindon Holliday | WR | 26 | 5'5" 169 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 11 | Trindon Holliday | WR | 26 | 5'5" 169 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Matt Willis | WR | 28 | 6'0" 190 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Brandon Stokley | WR | 36 | 6'0" 194 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Andre Caldwell | WR | 27 | 6'0" 190 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Ronnie Hillman | RB | 22 | 5'9" 185 | R | San Diego State | ACT |
| 27 | Knowshon Moreno | RB | 25 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Lance Ball | RB | 27 | 5'9" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Jacob Hester | FB | 27 | 5'11" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Chris Gronkowski | FB | 27 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Julius Thomas | TE | 24 | 6'5" 255 | 1 | Portland State | ACT |
| 81 | Joel Dreessen | TE | 30 | 6'4" 245 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Jacob Tamme | TE | 27 | 6'3" 236 | 4 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 85 | Virgil Green | TE | 24 | 6'5" 252 | 1 | Nevada | ACT |
| 87 | Eric Decker | WR | 25 | 6'3" 218 | 2 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 88 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | 26 | 6'3" 229 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | C.J. Davis | C | 25 | 6'2" 308 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Manuel Ramirez | G | 29 | 6'3" 313 | 5 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 34 | 6'2" 300 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Zane Beadles | G | 27 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 73 | Chris Kuper | G | 31 | 6'4" 303 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Orlando Franklin | T | 26 | 6'7" 330 | 1 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 75 | Chris Clark | T | 28 | 6'5" 305 | 4 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 78 | Ryan Clady | T | 27 | 6'6" 315 | 4 | Boise State | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Wesley Woodyard | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 229 | 4 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 53 | Steven Johnson | MLB | 24 | 6'1" 237 | R | Kansas | ACT |
| 55 | D.J. Williams | OLB | 30 | 6'1" 242 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Nate Irving | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 240 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Keith Brooking | OLB | 38 | 6'2" 240 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | OLB | 23 | 6'3" 237 | 1 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 59 | Danny Trevathan | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 232 | R | Kentucky | ACT |
| 70 | Malik Jackson | DE | 22 | 6'5" 270 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 91 | Robert Ayers | DE | 28 | 6'3" 274 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 92 | Elvis Dumervil | DE | 28 | 5'11" 260 | 6 | Louisville | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Wolfe | DE | 22 | 6'5" 300 | R | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 96 | Mitch Unrein | NT | 25 | 6'4" 291 | 2 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 97 | Justin Bannan | NT | 33 | 6'3" 312 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Sealver Siliga | NT | 22 | 6'2" 307 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 99 | Kevin Vickerson | DT | 29 | 6'5" 290 | 7 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mike Adams | SS | 31 | 5'11" 200 | 8 | Delaware | ACT |
| 22 | Tracy Porter | CB | 26 | 5'11" 186 | 4 | Indiana | ACT |
| 24 | Champ Bailey | CB | 34 | 6'0" 192 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Chris Harris | CB | 23 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | Kansas | ACT |
| 26 | Rahim Moore | FS | 22 | 6'1" 196 | 1 | UCLA | ACT |
| 30 | David Bruton | SS | 25 | 6'2" 217 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Omar Bolden | CB | 25 | 5'10" 195 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 32 | Tony Carter | CB | 26 | 5'9" 175 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Jim Leonhard | FS | 31 | 5'8" 188 | 7 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Britton Colquitt | P | 27 | 6'3" 205 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Prater | K | 28 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 46 | Aaron Brewer | LS | 22 | 6'5" 225 | R | San Diego State | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Steelers | W 31-19 | -2.5 | +0.246 |
| 2 | @ Falcons | L 21-27 | +3 | -0.087 |
| 3 | vs Texans | L 25-31 | +1 | +0.002 |
| 4 | vs Raiders | W 37-6 | -6.5 | +0.260 |
| 5 | @ Patriots | L 21-31 | +6 | +0.076 |
| 6 | @ Chargers | W 35-24 | +1 | +0.094 |
| 8 | vs Saints | W 34-14 | -6 | +0.242 |
| 9 | @ Bengals | W 31-23 | -5 | +0.202 |
| 10 | @ Panthers | W 36-14 | -3.5 | -0.054 |
| 11 | vs Chargers | W 30-23 | -7.5 | -0.115 |
| 12 | @ Chiefs | W 17-9 | -10 | +0.138 |
| 13 | vs Buccaneers | W 31-23 | -9.5 | +0.016 |
| 14 | @ Raiders | W 26-13 | -10 | +0.204 |
| 15 | @ Ravens | W 34-17 | -3 | +0.065 |
| 16 | vs Browns | W 34-12 | -11 | +0.211 |
| 17 | vs Chiefs | W 38-3 | -17 | +0.292 |
| DIV | vs Ravens | L 35-38 | -9.5 | -0.029 |