AFC West · 2021
Denver Broncos
Record
7-10
Net EPA
-0.054est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.021
- Success rate44.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.100
- EPA / rush-0.093
- Explosive rate9.1%
- CPOE+2.34
- Third-down rate38.3%
- Red-zone TD rate62.5%
- Points / drive1.89
- Turnover rate1.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.005
- Success rate allowed45.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.049
- EPA / rush allowed-0.067
- Explosive rate allowed8.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.4%
- Sack rate5.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.73
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.021 · 52th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.005 · 45th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-9
+0.4 vs line
Home
5-4
Away
3-5
As favorite
5-6
As dog
3-3
O/U
5-12
-5.5 vs total
Roster
86 players
47 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Drew Lock | QB | 26 | 6'4" 228 | 2 | Missouri | ACT |
| 4 | Brett Rypien | QB | 25 | 6'2" 200 | 2 | Boise State | ACT |
| 5 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | 30 | 6'2" 215 | 7 | Louisville | RES |
| 8 | Anthony Gordon | QB | 24 | 6'2" 210 | 1 | Washington State | DEV |
Backs & receivers22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K.J. Hamler | WR | 22 | 5'9" 176 | 1 | Penn State | RES |
| 9 | Kendall Hinton | WR | 24 | 6'0" 195 | 1 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 10 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | 22 | 6'1" 192 | 1 | Alabama | ACT |
| 11 | Diontae Spencer | WR | 29 | 5'8" 170 | 7 | McNeese State | INA |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 27 | 6'4" 216 | 3 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 16 | Tyrie Cleveland | WR | 25 | 6'2" 205 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 17 | DaeSean Hamilton | WR | 26 | 6'1" 206 | 3 | Penn State | RES |
| 17 | Travis Fulgham | WR | 27 | 6'2" 215 | 2 | Old Dominion | DEV |
| 17 | Adrian Killins | RB | 23 | 5'8" 164 | 1 | Central Florida | RES |
| 19 | Seth Williams | WR | 21 | 6'2" 211 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 25 | Melvin Gordon | RB | 28 | 6'1" 215 | 6 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 26 | Mike Boone | RB | 26 | 5'10" 205 | 3 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 28 | Damarea Crockett | RB | 25 | 5'11" 225 | 2 | Missouri | DEV |
| 33 | Javonte Williams | RB | 21 | 5'10" 220 | R | North Carolina | ACT |
| 80 | Rico Gafford | WR | 25 | 5'10" 185 | 3 | Wyoming | DEV |
| 81 | Tim Patrick | WR | 29 | 6'4" 212 | 4 | Utah | ACT |
| 82 | Eric Saubert | TE | 27 | 6'5" 253 | 4 | Drake | ACT |
| 83 | Andrew Beck | TE | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 2 | Texas | RES |
| 85 | Albert Okwuegbunam | TE | 23 | 6'5" 255 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 86 | Caleb Wilson | TE | 25 | 6'4" 240 | 2 | UCLA | DEV |
| 87 | Noah Fant | TE | 25 | 6'4" 249 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 88 | Shaun Beyer | TE | 26 | 6'5" 248 | R | Iowa | DEV |
Offensive line16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Netane Muti | OL | 22 | 6'3" 307 | 1 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 61 | Graham Glasgow | OL | 29 | 6'6" 310 | 5 | Michigan | RES |
| 64 | Cody Conway | OL | 25 | 6'6" 296 | 2 | Syracuse | RES |
| 64 | Tristen Hoge | OL | 24 | 6'5" 310 | R | Brigham Young | DEV |
| 65 | Brett Jones | OL | 30 | 6'2" 315 | 8 | Regina, Can. | RES |
| 66 | Dalton Risner | OL | 26 | 6'5" 312 | 2 | Kansas State | RES |
| 69 | Zack Johnson | OL | 24 | 6'6" 315 | 1 | North Dakota State | DEV |
| 70 | Bobby Massie | OL | 32 | 6'6" 325 | 9 | Mississippi | INA |
| 71 | Austin Schlottmann | OL | 27 | 6'6" 300 | 3 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | OL | 29 | 6'5" 300 | 4 | Utah | ACT |
| 73 | Cameron Fleming | OL | 30 | 6'5" 320 | 7 | Stanford | ACT |
| 75 | Quinn Bailey | OL | 27 | 6'6" 323 | 2 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 76 | Calvin Anderson | OL | 25 | 6'5" 300 | 2 | Texas | RES |
| 77 | Quinn Meinerz | OL | 24 | 6'3" 320 | R | Wisconsin-Whitewater | ACT |
| 78 | Drew Himmelman | OL | 26 | 6'9" 317 | R | Illinois State | DEV |
| 79 | Lloyd Cushenberry | OL | 25 | 6'4" 315 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
Defensive front26
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Justin Strnad | LB | 25 | 6'3" 235 | 1 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 41 | Kenny Young | LB | 28 | 6'1" 235 | 3 | UCLA | INA |
| 43 | Micah Kiser | LB | 26 | 6'0" 244 | 3 | Virginia | ACT |
| 45 | A.J. Johnson | LB | 31 | 6'2" 255 | 3 | Tennessee | RES |
| 47 | Josey Jewell | LB | 28 | 6'2" 236 | 3 | Iowa | RES |
| 48 | Andre Mintze | LB | 24 | 6'3" 249 | R | Vanderbilt | INA |
| 50 | Jonas Griffith | LB | 24 | 6'4" 250 | 1 | Indiana State | ACT |
| 51 | Marquiss Spencer | DL | 24 | 6'4" 295 | R | Mississippi State | DEV |
| 53 | Jonathon Cooper | LB | 23 | 6'4" 257 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 54 | Barrington Wade | LB | 23 | 6'1" 236 | R | Iowa | DEV |
| 55 | Bradley Chubb | LB | 25 | 6'4" 275 | 3 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 56 | Baron Browning | LB | 22 | 6'3" 240 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 57 | Pita Taumoepenu | LB | 27 | 6'1" 243 | 4 | Utah | CUT |
| 57 | Natrez Patrick | LB | 24 | 6'3" 242 | 2 | Georgia | RES |
| 59 | Malik Reed | LB | 25 | 6'2" 235 | 2 | Nevada | ACT |
| 69 | Akeem Spence | DL | 31 | 6'1" 307 | 8 | Illinois | DEV |
| 74 | Justin Hamilton | DL | 28 | 6'2" 315 | 6 | Louisiana-Lafayette | INA |
| 90 | DeShawn Williams | DL | 30 | 6'1" 292 | 6 | Clemson | RES |
| 91 | Stephen Weatherly | LB | 27 | 6'5" 265 | 5 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 92 | Jonathan Harris | DL | 25 | 6'5" 295 | 2 | Lindenwood | ACT |
| 93 | Dre'Mont Jones | DL | 24 | 6'3" 281 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 94 | Aaron Patrick | LB | 26 | 6'4" 245 | 1 | Eastern Kentucky | ACT |
| 95 | McTelvin Agim | DL | 25 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | Arkansas | INA |
| 96 | Shelby Harris | DL | 30 | 6'2" 290 | 7 | Illinois State | ACT |
| 98 | Mike Purcell | DL | 30 | 6'3" 328 | 8 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 99 | Shamar Stephen | DL | 30 | 6'5" 310 | 7 | Connecticut | ACT |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Patrick Surtain | DB | 21 | 6'2" 203 | R | Alabama | RES |
| 12 | Mike Ford | DB | 26 | 6'0" 196 | 3 | Southeast Missouri | ACT |
| 13 | Michael Ojemudia | DB | 25 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | Iowa | ACT |
| 20 | Duke Dawson | DB | 27 | 5'10" 198 | 3 | Florida | DEV |
| 21 | Ronald Darby | DB | 27 | 5'11" 193 | 6 | Florida State | RES |
| 22 | Kareem Jackson | DB | 33 | 5'10" 185 | 11 | Alabama | RES |
| 23 | Kyle Fuller | DB | 29 | 5'11" 194 | 7 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 27 | Nate Hairston | DB | 27 | 6'0" 185 | 4 | Temple | RES |
| 29 | Bryce Callahan | DB | 31 | 5'9" 188 | 6 | Rice | ACT |
| 30 | Rojesterman Farris | DB | 25 | 6'1" 180 | 1 | Hawaii | DEV |
| 30 | Caden Sterns | DB | 23 | 6'1" 205 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 29 | 6'2" 202 | 5 | Boston College | ACT |
| 32 | Ha Ha Clinton-Dix | DB | 30 | 6'1" 211 | 7 | Alabama | ACT |
| 37 | P.J. Locke | DB | 24 | 5'10" 202 | 2 | Texas | ACT |
| 49 | Jamar Johnson | DB | 23 | 6'1" 197 | R | Indiana | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sam Martin | P | 31 | 6'1" 211 | 8 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 30 | 6'3" 201 | 8 | Temple | ACT |
| 46 | Jacob Bobenmoyer | LS | 24 | 6'2" 235 | 1 | Northern Colorado | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Giants | W 27-13 | -3 | +0.281 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | W 23-13 | -6 | +0.191 |
| 3 | vs Jets | W 26-0 | -10.5 | +0.032 |
| 4 | vs Ravens | L 7-23 | -1 | -0.232 |
| 5 | @ Steelers | L 19-27 | -2 | +0.124 |
| 6 | vs Raiders | L 24-34 | -5 | -0.002 |
| 7 | @ Browns | L 14-17 | +2 | +0.103 |
| 8 | vs Commanders | W 17-10 | -4 | +0.056 |
| 9 | @ Cowboys | W 30-16 | +10.5 | +0.141 |
| 10 | vs Eagles | L 13-30 | -1 | -0.220 |
| 12 | vs Chargers | W 28-13 | +2.5 | +0.099 |
| 13 | @ Chiefs | L 9-22 | +8.5 | -0.147 |
| 14 | vs Lions | W 38-10 | -13 | +0.268 |
| 15 | vs Bengals | L 10-15 | -3 | -0.130 |
| 16 | @ Raiders | L 13-17 | -1 | -0.206 |
| 17 | @ Chargers | L 13-34 | +8 | -0.106 |
| 18 | vs Chiefs | L 24-28 | +11.5 | +0.038 |