AFC West · 2023

Denver Broncos

Record

8-9

Net EPA

-0.014est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.046
Success rate42.3%
EPA / dropback-0.005
EPA / rush-0.110
Explosive rate8.6%
CPOE+3.74
Third-down rate36.8%
Red-zone TD rate59.0%
Points / drive1.87
Turnover rate1.9%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.020
Success rate allowed44.5%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.087
EPA / rush allowed-0.083
Explosive rate allowed9.7%
Pressure rate (proxy)20.5%
Sack rate6.3%
Points / drive allowed2.10

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.046 · 39th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.020 · 77th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

6-10-1

-2.2 vs line

Home

4-5

Away

2-5-1

As favorite

3-5-1

As dog

3-5

O/U

8-9

+1.8 vs total

Roster

79 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Russell Wilson	QB	36	5'11" 215	11	Wisconsin	ACT
4	Jarrett Stidham	QB	27	6'3" 214	4	Auburn	ACT
11	Ben DiNucci	QB	28	6'3" 210	3	James Madison	DEV

Backs & receivers23

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Jerry Jeudy	WR	24	6'1" 192	3	Alabama	ACT
12	Tim Patrick	WR	31	6'4" 212	6	Utah	RES
13	Phillip Dorsett	WR	30	5'10" 192	8	Miami	DEV
14	Courtland Sutton	WR	29	6'4" 216	5	Southern Methodist	ACT
15	Jalen Virgil	WR	25	6'1" 210	1	Appalachian State	RES
17	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	WR	25	6'4" 225	4	Texas	ACT
19	Marvin Mims	WR	21	5'11" 182	R	Oklahoma	ACT
20	Michael Burton	RB	31	6'0" 240	8	Rutgers	ACT
25	Samaje Perine	RB	29	5'10" 240	6	Oklahoma	ACT
33	Javonte Williams	RB	23	5'10" 220	2	North Carolina	ACT
36	Tyler Badie	RB	24	5'8" 194	1	Missouri	DEV
38	Jaleel McLaughlin	RB	24	5'7" 183	R	Youngstown State	ACT
39	Dwayne Washington	RB	29	6'1" 223	7	Washington	RES
45	Nate Adkins	TE	24	6'3" 252	R	South Carolina	ACT
80	Greg Dulcich	TE	23	6'4" 250	1	UCLA	RES
81	Tre'Quan Smith	WR	27	6'2" 210	5	Central Florida	DEV
82	Adam Trautman	TE	26	6'5" 253	3	Dayton	ACT
83	Michael Bandy	WR	27	5'10" 190	2	San Diego	INA
84	Chris Manhertz	TE	31	6'6" 255	8	Canisius	INA
84	Johnny Lumpkin	TE	27	6'6" 268	R	Louisiana-Lafayette	DEV
85	Lucas Krull	TE	25	6'6" 260	1	Pittsburgh	ACT
87	David Sills	WR	27	6'3" 210	4	West Virginia	DEV
89	Brandon Johnson	WR	25	6'2" 186	1	Central Florida	ACT

Offensive line13

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Luke Wattenberg	OL	27	6'5" 300	1	Washington	ACT
63	Alex Palczewski	OL	24	6'6" 315	R	Illinois	ACT
64	Haggai Chisom Ndubuisi	OL	24	6'6" 298	2	No College	DEV
69	Mike McGlinchey	OL	28	6'8" 315	5	Notre Dame	RES
71	Demontrey Jacobs	OL	26	6'6" 315	R	South Florida	DEV
72	Garett Bolles	OL	31	6'5" 300	6	Utah	ACT
73	Cameron Fleming	OL	32	6'5" 320	9	Stanford	ACT
74	Ben Powers	OL	28	6'4" 310	4	Oklahoma	ACT
75	Quinn Bailey	OL	29	6'6" 323	4	Arizona State	ACT
76	Alex Forsyth	OL	24	6'4" 312	R	Oregon	INA
77	Quinn Meinerz	OL	26	6'3" 320	2	Wisconsin-Whitewater	ACT
78	William Sherman	OL	24	6'4" 305	2	Colorado	DEV
79	Lloyd Cushenberry	OL	27	6'4" 315	3	Louisiana State	ACT

Defensive front21

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
0	Jonathon Cooper	LB	25	6'4" 257	2	Ohio State	ACT
40	Justin Strnad	LB	27	6'3" 235	3	Wake Forest	ACT
41	Drew Sanders	LB	24	6'5" 233	R	Arkansas	ACT
42	Nik Bonitto	LB	25	6'3" 238	1	Oklahoma	ACT
47	Josey Jewell	LB	30	6'2" 236	5	Iowa	ACT
49	Alex Singleton	LB	31	6'2" 242	8	Montana State	ACT
50	Jonas Griffith	LB	26	6'4" 250	3	Indiana State	RES
51	Ronnie Perkins	DL	25	6'3" 247	2	Oklahoma	DEV
56	Baron Browning	LB	24	6'3" 240	2	Ohio State	ACT
57	Ben Niemann	LB	28	6'2" 233	5	Iowa	ACT
59	Thomas Incoom	LB	24	6'2" 265	R	Central Michigan	INA
90	Jordan Jackson	DL	25	6'5" 285	1	Air Force	DEV
91	Matt Henningsen	DL	24	6'3" 291	1	Wisconsin	ACT
92	Jonathan Harris	DL	27	6'5" 295	4	Lindenwood	ACT
93	D.J. Jones	DL	28	6'0" 321	6	Mississippi	ACT
95	Elijah Garcia	DL	25	6'5" 302	1	Rice	INA
96	Tyler Lancaster	DL	30	6'3" 315	5	Northwestern	DEV
96	Eyioma Uwazurike	DL	25	6'6" 285	1	Iowa State	RES
98	Mike Purcell	DL	32	6'3" 328	10	Wyoming	ACT
99	Zach Allen	DL	26	6'5" 281	4	Boston College	ACT
—	Durell Nchami	LB	—	— 260	R	—	DEV

Secondary16

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Tremon Smith	DB	27	6'0" 190	5	Central Arkansas	ACT
2	Patrick Surtain	DB	23	6'2" 203	2	Alabama	ACT
6	P.J. Locke	DB	26	5'10" 202	4	Texas	ACT
8	K'Waun Williams	DB	32	5'9" 183	9	Pittsburgh	RES
23	Fabian Moreau	DB	29	6'0" 204	6	UCLA	ACT
26	Devon Key	DB	27	6'0" 210	2	Western Kentucky	ACT
27	Damarri Mathis	DB	24	5'11" 195	1	Pittsburgh	ACT
28	Art Green	DB	23	6'2" 200	R	Houston	INA
29	Ja'Quan McMillian	DB	23	5'10" 183	1	East Carolina	ACT
30	Caden Sterns	DB	25	6'1" 205	2	Texas	RES
31	Justin Simmons	DB	31	6'2" 202	7	Boston College	ACT
32	Delarrin Turner-Yell	DB	25	5'11" 190	1	Oklahoma	RES
34	J.L. Skinner	DB	22	6'4" 220	R	Boise State	ACT
37	Riley Moss	DB	23	6'0" 193	R	Iowa	ACT
39	Reese Taylor	DB	24	5'11" 190	R	Purdue	DEV
48	Keidron Smith	DB	25	6'2" 204	R	Kentucky	DEV

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
9	Riley Dixon	P	30	6'4" 221	7	Syracuse	ACT
16	Wil Lutz	K	29	5'11" 184	7	Georgia State	ACT
48	Mitchell Fraboni	LS	28	6'2" 223	2	Arizona State	ACT

Schedule

17 games

Denver Broncos schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Raiders	L 16-17	-3	+0.071
2	vs Commanders	L 33-35	-4	+0.148
3	@ Dolphins	L 20-70	+6	-0.272
4	@ Bears	W 31-28	-3	+0.349
5	vs Jets	L 21-31	-2.5	-0.236
6	@ Chiefs	L 8-19	+10.5	-0.280
7	vs Packers	W 19-17	-1.5	+0.097
8	vs Chiefs	W 24-9	+7	-0.043
10	@ Bills	W 24-22	+7.5	+0.011
11	vs Vikings	W 21-20	-2.5	-0.064
12	vs Browns	W 29-12	-1.5	+0.040
13	@ Texans	L 17-22	+3.5	-0.188
14	@ Chargers	W 24-7	+3	-0.061
15	@ Lions	L 17-42	+5.5	-0.072
16	vs Patriots	L 23-26	-7	-0.164
17	vs Chargers	W 16-9	-3.5	+0.000
18	@ Raiders	L 14-27	+3.5	-0.079