NFC North · 2007
Detroit Lions
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.157est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.065
- Success rate42.9%
- EPA / dropback-0.034
- EPA / rush-0.134
- Explosive rate8.6%
- CPOE+1.53
- Third-down rate32.3%
- Red-zone TD rate54.4%
- Points / drive1.58
- Turnover rate3.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.026
- Success rate allowed49.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.102
- EPA / rush allowed-0.093
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.5%
- Sack rate5.5%
- Points / drive allowed2.02
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.065 · 36th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.026 · 84th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-3.5 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
2-6
As favorite
2-1-1
As dog
4-8
O/U
11-5
+4.7 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dan Orlovsky | QB | 24 | 6'5" 230 | 2 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 8 | Jon Kitna | QB | 36 | 6'2" 220 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 14 | J.T. O'Sullivan | QB | 28 | 6'2" 227 | 5 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Brandon Middleton | WR | 26 | 5'10" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Troy Walters | WR | 32 | 5'8" 171 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Tatum Bell | RB | 26 | 5'11" 213 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Kevin Jones | RB | 25 | 6'0" 228 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Aveion Cason | RB | 28 | 5'10" 204 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Jon Bradley | FB | 26 | 6'0" 301 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 45 | T.J. Duckett | RB | 26 | 6'0" 254 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Sean McHugh | TE | 25 | 6'5" 265 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Calvin Johnson | WR | 23 | 6'4" 239 | R | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 82 | Casey Fitzsimmons | FB | 28 | 6'4" 258 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 83 | John Owens | TE | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 5 | — | TRD |
| 83 | John Owens | TE | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Shaun McDonald | WR | 26 | 5'10" 183 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Mike Furrey | WR | 30 | 6'0" 195 | 7 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Dominic Raiola | C | 30 | 6'1" 295 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Edwin Mulitalo | G | 34 | 6'3" 345 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Damien Woody | G | 31 | 6'3" 340 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Stephen Peterman | G | 25 | 6'4" 323 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Blaine Saipaia | C | 29 | 6'3" 315 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Barry Stokes | T | 35 | 6'4" 310 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Manuel Ramirez | G | 24 | 6'3" 326 | R | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 72 | George Foster | T | 27 | 6'5" 338 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Jeff Backus | T | 31 | 6'5" 305 | 6 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ernie Sims | OLB | 24 | 6'0" 225 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Anthony Cannon | OLB | 24 | 6'0" 228 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Paris Lenon | MLB | 31 | 6'2" 235 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Teddy Lehman | MLB | 27 | 6'1" 238 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Buster Davis | LB | 25 | 5'10" 244 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Alex Lewis | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 230 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Shaun Cody | NT | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Cory Redding | NT | 28 | 6'4" 295 | 4 | Texas | ACT |
| 79 | Langston Moore | NT | 26 | 6'1" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Ikaika Alama-Francis | DE | 24 | 6'5" 280 | R | — | ACT |
| 92 | Shaun Rogers | NT | 28 | 6'4" 340 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Corey Smith | DE | 29 | 6'2" 250 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Jared DeVries | DE | 31 | 6'4" 275 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Boss Bailey | OLB | 29 | 6'3" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Kalimba Edwards | DE | 29 | 6'6" 265 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Dewayne White | DE | 29 | 6'2" 273 | 4 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Travis Fisher | CB | 29 | 5'10" 189 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Keith Smith | CB | 27 | 5'11" 191 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Greg Blue | SS | 25 | 6'2" 216 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Fernando Bryant | CB | 30 | 5'11" 184 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Kenoy Kennedy | SS | 31 | 6'1" 215 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Dovonte Edwards | CB | 26 | 6'0" 182 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Ramzee Robinson | DB | 23 | 5'9" 182 | R | — | ACT |
| 42 | Gerald Alexander | FS | 23 | 6'0" 204 | R | — | ACT |
| 47 | Patrick Body | CB | 25 | 6'2" 198 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nick Harris | P | 29 | 6'2" 218 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Jason Hanson | K | 37 | 6'0" 190 | 15 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Don Muhlbach | LS | 26 | 6'4" 265 | 3 | Texas A&M | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Raiders | W 36-21 | +3 | +0.133 |
| 2 | vs Vikings | W 20-17 | -3 | -0.101 |
| 3 | @ Eagles | L 21-56 | +5 | -0.046 |
| 4 | vs Bears | W 37-27 | +2.5 | -0.051 |
| 5 | @ Commanders | L 3-34 | +4 | -0.327 |
| 7 | vs Buccaneers | W 23-16 | -2.5 | +0.169 |
| 8 | @ Bears | W 16-7 | +6 | +0.049 |
| 9 | vs Broncos | W 44-7 | -3 | +0.137 |
| 10 | @ Cardinals | L 21-31 | +2 | -0.317 |
| 11 | vs Giants | L 10-16 | +2.5 | -0.148 |
| 12 | vs Packers | L 26-37 | +3.5 | -0.070 |
| 13 | @ Vikings | L 10-42 | +5.5 | -0.104 |
| 14 | vs Cowboys | L 27-28 | +10 | +0.221 |
| 15 | @ Chargers | L 14-51 | +9.5 | -0.307 |
| 16 | vs Chiefs | W 25-20 | -6 | -0.144 |
| 17 | @ Packers | L 13-34 | +3.5 | -0.198 |