NFC North · 2014

Detroit Lions

Record

11-5

Seed

Net EPA

+0.072est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.006
Success rate41.8%
EPA / dropback+0.074
EPA / rush-0.159
Explosive rate8.1%
CPOE-4.76
Third-down rate38.3%
Red-zone TD rate58.4%
Points / drive1.79
Turnover rate1.6%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.102
Success rate allowed41.8%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.000
EPA / rush allowed-0.311
Explosive rate allowed6.8%
Pressure rate (proxy)22.2%
Sack rate6.0%
Points / drive allowed1.48

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.006 · 53th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.102 · 12th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-9

+0.1 vs line

Home

5-3

Away

2-6

As favorite

5-6

As dog

2-3

O/U

5-11

-6.9 vs total

Roster

57 players

52 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Dan Orlovsky	QB	31	6'5" 218	9	Connecticut	ACT
9	Matthew Stafford	QB	26	6'3" 234	5	Georgia	ACT
17	Kellen Moore	QB	26	6'0" 200	2	Boise State	ACT

Backs & receivers13

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Corey Fuller	WR	24	6'2" 200	1	Virginia Tech	ACT
12	Jeremy Ross	WR	26	6'0" 215	3	California	ACT
15	Golden Tate	WR	26	5'10" 195	4	Notre Dame	ACT
21	Reggie Bush	RB	29	6'0" 205	8	USC	ACT
25	Theo Riddick	RB	23	5'9" 200	1	Notre Dame	ACT
35	Joique Bell	RB	28	5'11" 229	4	Wayne State (Mich.)	ACT
38	George Winn	RB	25	5'11" 215	1	Cincinnati	ACT
45	Jed Collins	FB	28	6'1" 252	6	—	ACT
81	Calvin Johnson	WR	30	6'5" 236	7	Georgia Tech	ACT
84	Ryan Broyles	WR	26	5'10" 195	2	—	ACT
85	Eric Ebron	TE	21	6'4" 265	R	North Carolina	ACT
87	Brandon Pettigrew	TE	29	6'5" 275	5	—	ACT
89	Kellen Davis	TE	30	6'7" 265	6	Michigan State	CUT

Offensive line8

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
51	Dominic Raiola	C	37	6'1" 310	13	—	ACT
64	Travis Swanson	C	23	6'5" 312	R	Arkansas	ACT
67	Rob Sims	G	32	6'3" 312	8	—	ACT
70	Garrett Reynolds	G	27	6'7" 305	5	—	ACT
71	Riley Reiff	T	27	6'6" 313	2	Iowa	ACT
74	Rodney Austin	G	27	6'4" 311	2	—	ACT
75	Larry Warford	G	23	6'3" 330	1	Kentucky	ACT
77	Cornelius Lucas	T	23	6'9" 325	R	Kansas State	ACT

Defensive front18

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
49	Julian Stanford	OLB	25	6'1" 230	2	Wagner	ACT
52	Darryl Tapp	DE	31	6'1" 270	8	Virginia Tech	ACT
54	DeAndre Levy	OLB	27	6'2" 235	5	Wisconsin	ACT
57	Josh Bynes	ILB	25	6'1" 240	3	Auburn	ACT
57	Josh Bynes	ILB	25	6'1" 240	3	Auburn	TRC
58	Ashlee Palmer	OLB	28	6'1" 238	5	—	ACT
59	Tahir Whitehead	OLB	24	6'2" 242	2	Temple	ACT
79	Larry Webster	DE	24	6'7" 262	R	Bloomsburg	ACT
90	Ndamukong Suh	DT	27	6'4" 305	4	Nebraska	ACT
91	Jason Jones	DE	28	6'5" 276	6	Eastern Michigan	ACT
92	Devin Taylor	DE	26	6'7" 275	1	South Carolina	ACT
93	George Johnson	DE	28	6'4" 263	4	Rutgers	ACT
94	Ezekiel Ansah	DE	25	6'6" 278	1	Brigham Young	ACT
95	Kyle Van Noy	LB	23	6'3" 244	R	Brigham Young	ACT
96	Andre Fluellen	DT	29	6'2" 302	6	Florida State	ACT
97	Caraun Reid	DT	24	6'2" 305	R	Princeton	ACT
98	Nick Fairley	DT	26	6'4" 308	3	Auburn	ACT
99	C.J. Mosley	DT	31	6'2" 312	9	Missouri	ACT

Secondary11

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
23	Darius Slay	CB	23	6'1" 192	1	Mississippi State	ACT
24	Josh Thomas	CB	25	5'11" 185	3	Buffalo	TRC
24	Josh Thomas	CB	25	5'11" 185	3	Buffalo	ACT
24	Josh Thomas	CB	25	5'11" 185	3	Buffalo	TRD
26	Don Carey	FS	27	5'11" 208	5	Norfolk State	ACT
27	Glover Quin	FS	28	6'0" 206	5	New Mexico	ACT
29	Cassius Vaughn	CB	28	5'11" 195	4	Mississippi	ACT
31	Rashean Mathis	CB	34	6'1" 195	11	Bethune-Cookman	ACT
32	James Ihedigbo	SS	32	6'1" 217	7	Massachusetts	ACT
39	Mohammed Seisay	CB	24	6'2" 200	R	—	ACT
42	Isa Abdul-Quddus	SS	25	6'1" 200	3	Fordham	ACT

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	Matt Prater	K	30	5'10" 195	8	Central Florida	TRC
5	Matt Prater	K	30	5'10" 195	8	Central Florida	ACT
6	Sam Martin	P	24	6'1" 210	1	Appalachian State	ACT
48	Don Muhlbach	LS	33	6'4" 260	10	Texas A&M	ACT

Schedule

17 games

Detroit Lions schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Giants	W 35-14	-6.5	+0.231
2	@ Panthers	L 7-24	+1	-0.093
3	vs Packers	W 19-7	-1.5	-0.024
4	@ Jets	W 24-17	+2	+0.123
5	vs Bills	L 14-17	-4.5	-0.213
6	@ Vikings	W 17-3	+1	-0.082
7	vs Saints	W 24-23	-1.5	-0.004
8	@ Falcons	W 22-21	-3.5	+0.091
10	vs Dolphins	W 20-16	-3	-0.042
11	@ Cardinals	L 6-14	-1	-0.180
12	@ Patriots	L 9-34	+7.5	-0.097
13	vs Bears	W 34-17	-7.5	+0.106
14	vs Buccaneers	W 34-17	-10.5	+0.077
15	vs Vikings	W 16-14	-8	-0.158
16	@ Bears	W 20-14	-10	+0.160
17	@ Packers	L 20-30	+9	-0.043
WC	@ Cowboys	L 20-24	+6	+0.066