NFC North · 2016

Detroit Lions

Record

9-7

Seed

Net EPA

-0.053est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.054
Success rate45.4%
EPA / dropback+0.166
EPA / rush-0.187
Explosive rate7.8%
CPOE+0.07
Third-down rate42.7%
Red-zone TD rate53.3%
Points / drive2.05
Turnover rate1.4%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.106
Success rate allowed49.0%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.223
EPA / rush allowed-0.093
Explosive rate allowed8.8%
Pressure rate (proxy)14.7%
Sack rate4.1%
Points / drive allowed2.01

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.054 · 72th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.106 · 95th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-8

+0.0 vs line

Home

5-3

Away

3-5

As favorite

3-3

As dog

5-5

O/U

6-10

-2.7 vs total

Roster

99 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Dan Orlovsky	QB	33	6'5" 215	11	Connecticut	ACT
9	Matthew Stafford	QB	28	6'3" 226	7	Georgia	ACT
14	Jake Rudock	QB	23	6'3" 207	R	Michigan	ACT

Backs & receivers33

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Alex Chisum	WR	—	6'3" 194	—	—	CUT
11	Marvin Jones	WR	26	6'2" 198	4	California	ACT
12	Andre Roberts	WR	28	5'11" 192	6	Citadel	ACT
13	T.J. Jones	WR	24	6'0" 190	2	Notre Dame	ACT
15	Golden Tate	WR	28	5'10" 197	6	Notre Dame	ACT
16	Jace Billingsley	WR	23	5'9" 189	R	Eastern Oregon	ACT
17	Andre Caldwell	WR	—	6'0" 200	—	—	CUT
17	Aaron Dobson	WR	25	6'3" 205	3	Marshall	CUT
18	Ryan Spadola	WR	25	6'1" 205	3	Lehigh	RES
21	Ameer Abdullah	RB	23	5'9" 203	1	Nebraska	RES
25	Theo Riddick	RB	25	5'9" 201	3	Notre Dame	RES
34	Zach Zenner	RB	26	5'11" 221	1	South Dakota	ACT
36	Dwayne Washington	RB	22	6'1" 223	R	Washington	ACT
44	Joique Bell	RB	30	5'11" 231	—	Wayne State (Mich.)	ACT
46	Michael Burton	RB	24	6'0" 247	1	Rutgers	ACT
49	Andrew Quarless	TE	29	6'4" 252	—	—	CUT
49	Ben McCord	TE	—	6'4" 248	—	—	CUT
80	Anquan Boldin	WR	37	6'1" 220	13	Florida State	ACT
80	Quinshad Davis	WR	—	6'4" 218	—	—	CUT
82	Matthew Mulligan	TE	31	6'4" 267	—	Maine	ACT
83	Timothy Wright	TE	26	6'4" 220	3	Rutgers	RES
84	Clay Harbor	TE	29	6'3" 240	6	Missouri State	ACT
84	Orson Charles	TE	25	6'3" 247	4	Georgia	CUT
85	Eric Ebron	TE	23	6'4" 253	2	North Carolina	ACT
86	Khari Lee	TE	24	6'4" 253	1	Bowie State	DEV
86	Adam Fuehne	TE	—	6'7" 255	—	—	CUT
87	Brandon Pettigrew	TE	31	6'5" 278	—	—	CUT
89	Cole Wick	TE	24	6'6" 257	R	Incarnate Word	RES
—	Rashad Ross	WR	26	6'0" 180	3	Arizona State	DEV
—	Mike James	RB	25	5'10" 223	3	Miami (Fla.)	DEV
—	Kennard Backman	TE	23	6'3" 245	—	—	DEV
—	Andrew Turzilli	WR	26	6'4" 195	1	Rutgers	DEV
—	Jay Lee	WR	23	6'2" 211	—	—	CUT

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Graham Glasgow	OL	24	6'6" 308	R	Michigan	ACT
64	Luke Marquardt	OL	—	6'8" 315	—	—	CUT
64	Travis Swanson	OL	25	6'5" 304	2	Arkansas	ACT
66	Joe Dahl	OL	23	6'4" 305	R	Washington State	ACT
68	Taylor Decker	OL	23	6'7" 311	R	Ohio State	ACT
70	Corey Robinson	OL	24	6'7" 317	1	South Carolina	RES
71	Riley Reiff	OL	29	6'6" 305	4	Iowa	ACT
72	Laken Tomlinson	OL	24	6'3" 312	1	Duke	ACT
73	Garrett Reynolds	OL	29	6'7" 305	—	—	ACT
73	Lemuel Jeanpierre	OL	—	6'3" 301	—	—	CUT
74	Geoff Schwartz	OL	—	6'6" 340	—	—	CUT
75	Larry Warford	OL	25	6'3" 317	3	Kentucky	ACT
77	Cornelius Lucas	OL	25	6'9" 330	2	Kansas State	ACT
—	Jason Weaver	OL	27	6'5" 309	—	—	DEV
—	Brandon Thomas	OL	25	6'3" 317	2	Clemson	DEV
—	Matt Rotheram	OL	24	6'5" 325	1	Pittsburgh	DEV

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
40	Chi Chi Ariguzo	LB	—	6'1" 235	—	—	CUT
46	Dominique Tovell	LB	—	6'2" 248	—	—	CUT
47	Jon Bostic	LB	25	6'1" 245	3	Florida	RES
49	Khaseem Greene	LB	—	6'1" 241	—	—	CUT
50	Thurston Armbrister	LB	25	6'3" 235	1	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
51	Brandon Copeland	LB	25	6'3" 263	3	Pennsylvania	ACT
52	Antwione Williams	LB	23	6'3" 240	R	Georgia Southern	ACT
54	DeAndre Levy	LB	29	6'2" 234	—	Wisconsin	ACT
57	Josh Bynes	LB	27	6'1" 235	5	Auburn	ACT
58	Steve Longa	LB	23	6'1" 241	R	Rutgers	DEV
59	Tahir Whitehead	LB	26	6'2" 241	4	Temple	ACT
61	Kerry Hyder	DL	25	6'2" 270	2	Texas Tech	ACT
67	Louis Palmer	DL	—	6'2" 265	—	—	CUT
69	Anthony Zettel	DL	24	6'4" 270	R	Penn State	ACT
91	A'Shawn Robinson	DL	21	6'3" 320	R	Alabama	ACT
92	Haloti Ngata	DL	32	6'4" 345	10	Oregon	ACT
93	Tyrunn Walker	DL	26	6'3" 310	4	Tulsa	ACT
93	Quanterus Smith	DL	—	6'5" 255	—	—	CUT
94	Ezekiel Ansah	DL	27	6'5" 275	3	Brigham Young	ACT
96	Stefan Charles	DL	28	6'5" 320	3	Regina (Canada)	RES
97	Armonty Bryant	LB	26	6'4" 265	3	East Central (OK)	RES
98	Devin Taylor	DL	28	6'7" 275	3	South Carolina	ACT
—	Jayson DiManche	LB	—	6'1" 244	3	Southern Illinois	CUT
99	Khyri Thornton	DL	28	6'3" 315	2	Southern Mississippi	ACT

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
23	Darius Slay	DB	25	6'0" 190	3	Mississippi State	ACT
24	Nevin Lawson	DB	25	5'9" 192	2	Utah State	ACT
26	Don Carey	DB	29	5'11" 202	7	Norfolk State	ACT
27	Glover Quin	DB	30	6'0" 207	7	New Mexico	ACT
28	Quandre Diggs	DB	23	5'9" 200	1	Texas	RES
29	Johnson Bademosi	DB	26	6'0" 206	4	Stanford	ACT
30	Darrin Walls	DB	—	6'1" 190	—	—	CUT
30	Asa Jackson	DB	28	5'10" 183	4	Cal Poly-S.L.O.	RES
31	Rafael Bush	DB	29	5'11" 203	6	South Carolina State	ACT
32	Tavon Wilson	DB	26	6'0" 212	4	Illinois	ACT
33	Alex Carter	DB	23	6'0" 198	1	Stanford	ACT
35	Miles Killebrew	DB	23	6'2" 222	R	Southern Utah	ACT
38	Adairius Barnes	DB	22	5'10" 188	R	Louisiana Tech	ACT
40	Ian Wells	DB	23	5'11" 199	—	—	RES
41	Crezdon Butler	DB	29	6'1" 191	—	Clemson	ACT
42	Brandon McGee	DB	—	5'11" 193	—	—	CUT
42	Keith Lewis	DB	—	6'1" 190	—	—	CUT
—	Charles Washington	DB	23	5'10" 192	R	Fresno State	DEV

Specialists5

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Devon Bell	PR	—	6'2" 190	—	—	CUT
5	Matt Prater	K	32	5'10" 201	10	Central Florida	ACT
6	Sam Martin	P	26	6'1" 211	3	Appalachian State	ACT
42	Jimmy Landes	LS	24	6'1" 252	—	—	RES
48	Don Muhlbach	LS	35	6'4" 258	12	Texas A&M	ACT

Schedule

17 games

Detroit Lions schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Colts	W 39-35	+2.5	+0.373
2	vs Titans	L 15-16	-6	-0.042
3	@ Packers	L 27-34	+6	+0.203
4	@ Bears	L 14-17	-3	-0.151
5	vs Eagles	W 24-23	+3.5	+0.063
6	vs Rams	W 31-28	-2.5	+0.333
7	vs Commanders	W 20-17	+1	+0.127
8	@ Texans	L 13-20	+1	-0.021
9	@ Vikings	W 22-16	+4	-0.024
11	vs Jaguars	W 26-19	-5.5	-0.188
12	vs Vikings	W 16-13	-2	-0.069
13	@ Saints	W 28-13	+6.5	+0.242
14	vs Bears	W 20-17	-7.5	-0.001
15	@ Giants	L 6-17	+4	-0.146
16	@ Cowboys	L 21-42	+6.5	+0.020
17	vs Packers	L 24-31	+3.5	+0.124
WC	@ Seahawks	L 6-26	+8	-0.209