NFC North · 2003
Green Bay Packers
Record
10-6
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.149est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.065
- Success rate45.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.126
- EPA / rush+0.001
- Explosive rate10.4%
- Third-down rate41.0%
- Red-zone TD rate74.0%
- Points / drive2.11
- Turnover rate2.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.077
- Success rate allowed39.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.072
- EPA / rush allowed-0.086
- Explosive rate allowed7.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.2%
- Sack rate5.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.50
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.065 · 84th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.077 · 26th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
+5.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-3
As favorite
8-5
As dog
2-1
O/U
9-7
+2.8 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brett Favre | QB | 35 | 6'2" 225 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Craig Nall | QB | 24 | 6'3" 230 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Doug Pederson | QB | 35 | 6'3" 220 | 12 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nicolas Luchey | FB | 26 | 6'2" 270 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Ahman Green | RB | 26 | 6'0" 217 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 33 | William Henderson | FB | 32 | 6'1" 249 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Tony Fisher | RB | 25 | 6'1" 222 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Najeh Davenport | RB | 24 | 6'1" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Donald Driver | WR | 28 | 6'0" 188 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Antonio Chatman | WR | 24 | 5'9" 177 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Javon Walker | WR | 26 | 6'3" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Wesley Walls | TE | 37 | 6'5" 240 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Antonio Freeman | WR | 31 | 6'1" 198 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 87 | David Martin | TE | 24 | 6'4" 260 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Bubba Franks | TE | 25 | 6'6" 263 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Robert Ferguson | WR | 25 | 6'1" 209 | 2 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | Mike Flanagan | C | 31 | 6'5" 297 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 60 | Rob Davis | C | 36 | 6'3" 284 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Marco Rivera | G | 31 | 6'4" 310 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Mark Tauscher | T | 26 | 6'4" 320 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Grey Ruegamer | G | 27 | 6'4" 310 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mike Wahle | G | 26 | 6'6" 307 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Brennan Curtin | T | 23 | 6'9" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kevin Barry | T | 24 | 6'4" 330 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Chad Clifton | T | 27 | 6'5" 330 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Marcus Spriggs | T | 29 | 6'3" 310 | 6 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Hannibal Navies | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 247 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Torrance Marshall | MLB | 26 | 6'2" 255 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Paris Lenon | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 240 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Nick Barnett | MLB | 22 | 6'2" 240 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Na'il Diggs | OLB | 25 | 6'4" 238 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Aaron Kampman | DE | 25 | 6'4" 286 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Grady Jackson | NT | 30 | 6'2" 330 | 6 | — | TRD |
| 75 | Grady Jackson | NT | 30 | 6'2" 330 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chukie Nwokorie | DE | 28 | 6'3" 288 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Gilbert Brown | NT | 32 | 6'2" 340 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila | DE | 27 | 6'4" 255 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Larry Smith | DT | 30 | 6'5" 310 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Cletidus Hunt | DT | 27 | 6'4" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Kenny Peterson | DT | 26 | 6'3" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 99 | Jamal Reynolds | DE | 24 | 6'3" 260 | 2 | — | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Marques Anderson | SS | 24 | 5'11" 212 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Bhawoh Jue | FS | 24 | 6'0" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 25 | James Whitley | SS | 24 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | James Whitley | SS | 24 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 26 | Erwin Swiney | CB | 26 | 6'0" 192 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Michael Hawthorne | CB | 26 | 6'3" 200 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 27 | Michael Hawthorne | CB | 26 | 6'3" 200 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Curtis Fuller | FS | 25 | 5'10" 191 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Al Harris | CB | 30 | 6'1" 185 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Mike McKenzie | CB | 27 | 6'0" 194 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Darren Sharper | FS | 29 | 6'2" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Derek Combs | CB | 24 | 6'0" 185 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Travis Dorsch | K | 25 | 6'6" 227 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 8 | Ryan Longwell | K | 29 | 6'0" 199 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Josh Bidwell | P | 27 | 6'3" 220 | 4 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Vikings | L 25-30 | -4 | -0.033 |
| 2 | vs Lions | W 31-6 | -7 | +0.084 |
| 3 | @ Cardinals | L 13-20 | -7.5 | +0.001 |
| 4 | @ Bears | W 38-23 | -4 | +0.298 |
| 5 | vs Seahawks | W 35-13 | -1 | +0.348 |
| 6 | vs Chiefs | L 34-40 | -2.5 | +0.034 |
| 7 | @ Rams | L 24-34 | +4 | -0.021 |
| 9 | @ Vikings | W 30-27 | +5.5 | +0.265 |
| 10 | vs Eagles | L 14-17 | -4.5 | -0.140 |
| 11 | @ Buccaneers | W 20-13 | +3.5 | -0.019 |
| 12 | vs 49ers | W 20-10 | -3.5 | -0.107 |
| 13 | @ Lions | L 14-22 | -6.5 | -0.231 |
| 14 | vs Bears | W 34-21 | -7.5 | -0.184 |
| 15 | @ Chargers | W 38-21 | -5 | +0.201 |
| 16 | @ Raiders | W 41-7 | -5.5 | +0.401 |
| 17 | vs Broncos | W 31-3 | -10 | +0.140 |
| WC | vs Seahawks | W 33-27 | -7.5 | +0.152 |
| DIV | @ Eagles | L 17-20 | +4 | +0.014 |