AFC South · 2015
Houston Texans
Record
9-7
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.137est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.055
- Success rate40.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.022
- EPA / rush-0.172
- Explosive rate7.4%
- CPOE-4.17
- Third-down rate39.6%
- Red-zone TD rate62.4%
- Points / drive1.50
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.102
- Success rate allowed40.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.090
- EPA / rush allowed-0.124
- Explosive rate allowed8.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)22.3%
- Sack rate6.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.50
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.055 · 26th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.102 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+2.4 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
5-1
As dog
4-6
O/U
8-7-1
-2.7 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2015
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chiefs | L 20-27 | +1 | -0.146 |
| 2 | @ Panthers | L 17-24 | +3 | -0.103 |
| 3 | vs Buccaneers | W 19-9 | -6 | +0.013 |
| 4 | @ Falcons | L 21-48 | +4 | -0.189 |
| 5 | vs Colts | L 20-27 | -4.5 | +0.066 |
| 6 | @ Jaguars | W 31-20 | +2.5 | +0.181 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | L 26-44 | +4.5 | -0.078 |
| 8 | vs Titans | W 20-6 | -3.5 | -0.181 |
| 10 | @ Bengals | W 10-6 | +10 | -0.090 |
| 11 | vs Jets | W 24-17 | +4 | +0.002 |
| 12 | vs Saints | W 24-6 | -3.5 | +0.056 |
| 13 | @ Bills | L 21-30 | +3 | -0.010 |
| 14 | vs Patriots | L 6-27 | +4 | -0.502 |
| 15 | @ Colts | W 16-10 | +2.5 | -0.083 |
| 16 | @ Titans | W 34-6 | -3.5 | +0.074 |
| 17 | vs Jaguars | W 30-6 | -5 | -0.007 |
| WC | vs Chiefs | L 0-30 | +3 | -0.435 |