AFC South · 2018

Houston Texans

Record

11-5

Seed

Net EPA

+0.100est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.032
Success rate44.3%
EPA / dropback+0.144
EPA / rush-0.149
Explosive rate8.5%
CPOE+4.58
Third-down rate36.4%
Red-zone TD rate54.1%
Points / drive1.91
Turnover rate1.4%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.062
Success rate allowed40.9%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.035
EPA / rush allowed-0.253
Explosive rate allowed7.4%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.7%
Sack rate6.1%
Points / drive allowed1.63

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.032 · 50th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.062 · 15th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-8-1

+2.3 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

3-4-1

As favorite

5-6-1

As dog

2-2

O/U

7-9

+0.3 vs total

Roster

89 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Brandon Weeden	QB	36	6'3" 228	6	Oklahoma State	ACT
4	Deshaun Watson	QB	24	6'2" 221	1	Clemson	ACT
5	Joe Webb	QB	33	6'4" 230	8	Alabama-Birmingham	ACT
6	Stephen Morris	QB	—	6'2" 220	4	Miami (Fla.)	CUT

Backs & receivers25

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Amba Etta-Tawo	WR	26	6'1" 194	1	Syracuse	DEV
10	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	26	6'1" 215	5	Clemson	ACT
11	Quan Bray	WR	—	5'10" 183	3	Auburn	CUT
11	Steven Mitchell	WR	24	5'10" 195	R	Southern California	ACT
14	DeAndre Carter	WR	25	5'8" 190	3	Sacramento State	ACT
14	Chris Thompson	WR	24	6'0" 175	1	Florida	CUT
15	Will Fuller	WR	24	6'0" 180	2	Notre Dame	RES
16	Keke Coutee	WR	21	5'11" 180	R	Texas Tech	ACT
17	Vyncint Smith	WR	22	6'3" 195	R	Limestone	ACT
18	Sammie Coates	WR	25	6'1" 210	3	Auburn	CUT
19	Isaac Whitney	WR	24	6'2" 204	1	Southern California	DEV
26	Lamar Miller	RB	27	5'10" 220	6	Miami	ACT
27	D'Onta Foreman	RB	22	6'1" 233	1	Texas	ACT
28	Alfred Blue	RB	27	6'2" 225	4	LSU	ACT
38	Buddy Howell	RB	22	6'1" 215	R	Florida Atlantic	ACT
39	Josh Ferguson	RB	25	5'10" 205	2	Illinois	DEV
42	Terry Swanson	RB	—	5'10" 205	R	Toledo	CUT
45	Jay Prosch	RB	—	6'1" 255	4	Auburn	CUT
81	Jevoni Robinson	TE	27	6'8" 225	1	Barry University	CUT
83	Jordan Thomas	TE	22	6'5" 280	R	Mississippi State	ACT
84	Ryan Griffin	TE	28	6'6" 255	5	Connecticut	ACT
86	Jester Weah	WR	23	6'3" 210	R	Pittsburgh	DEV
87	Demaryius Thomas	WR	32	6'3" 229	8	Georgia Tech	RES
88	Jordan Akins	TE	26	6'3" 250	R	Central Florida	ACT
89	Jerell Adams	TE	27	6'5" 254	2	South Carolina	DEV

Offensive line13

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
62	Chad Slade	OL	26	6'5" 315	3	Auburn	DEV
63	Roderick Johnson	OL	24	6'6" 300	1	Florida State	ACT
64	Senio Kelemete	OL	28	6'3" 300	6	Washington	ACT
65	Greg Mancz	OL	26	6'4" 310	3	Toledo	ACT
66	Nick Martin	OL	25	6'4" 300	2	Notre Dame	ACT
69	David Steinmetz	OL	23	6'8" 321	R	Purdue	DEV
70	Julie'n Davenport	OL	23	6'7" 318	1	Bucknell	ACT
72	Jaryd Jones-Smith	OL	24	6'7" 320	R	Pittsburgh	CUT
73	Zach Fulton	OL	28	6'5" 316	4	Tennessee	ACT
74	Kendall Lamm	OL	26	6'6" 310	3	Appalachian State	ACT
75	Martinas Rankin	OL	25	6'4" 315	R	Mississippi State	ACT
76	Seantrel Henderson	OL	26	6'7" 330	4	Miami (Fla.)	RES
76	Maurquice Shakir	OL	26	6'4" 326	1	Middle Tennessee State	DEV

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Zach Cunningham	LB	25	6'3" 234	1	Vanderbilt	ACT
46	Chris Landrum	DL	27	6'2" 245	2	Jacksonville State	DEV
47	Kennan Gilchrist	LB	25	6'2" 225	1	Appalachian State	CUT
48	Davin Bellamy	LB	25	6'5" 245	R	Georgia	DEV
49	Josh Keyes	LB	25	6'2" 223	3	Boston College	ACT
50	Tyrell Adams	LB	26	6'2" 228	3	West Georgia	ACT
50	Ben Heeney	LB	—	6'0" 230	3	Kansas	CUT
51	Dylan Cole	LB	24	6'0" 220	1	Missouri State	ACT
52	Brian Peters	LB	31	6'4" 240	4	Northwestern (Ia)	RES
53	Duke Ejiofor	LB	23	6'3" 275	R	Wake Forest	ACT
55	Benardrick McKinney	LB	27	6'4" 260	3	Mississippi State	ACT
57	Brennan Scarlett	LB	25	6'4" 260	2	Stanford	RES
58	Peter Kalambayi	LB	23	6'2" 247	R	Stanford	ACT
59	Whitney Mercilus	LB	28	6'4" 265	6	Illinois	ACT
60	Kingsley Opara	DL	—	6'3" 300	R	Maryland	CUT
68	Nick Thurman	DL	23	6'4" 295	R	Houston	CUT
90	Jadeveon Clowney	DL	25	6'5" 270	4	South Carolina	ACT
91	Carlos Watkins	DL	26	6'3" 309	1	Clemson	ACT
92	Brandon Dunn	DL	27	6'2" 310	4	Louisville	ACT
93	Joel Heath	DL	25	6'6" 300	2	Michigan State	ACT
95	Christian Covington	DL	26	6'2" 305	3	Rice	ACT
97	Angelo Blackson	DL	27	6'4" 318	3	Auburn	ACT
98	D.J. Reader	DL	24	6'3" 335	2	Clemson	ACT
99	J.J. Watt	DL	29	6'5" 295	7	Wisconsin	ACT

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Justin Reid	DB	21	6'1" 204	R	Stanford	ACT
22	Aaron Colvin	DB	28	6'0" 193	4	Oklahoma	ACT
23	Johnson Bademosi	DB	28	6'0" 206	6	Stanford	ACT
23	Kurtis Drummond	DB	—	6'1" 200	3	Michigan State	CUT
24	Johnathan Joseph	DB	34	5'11" 185	12	South Carolina	ACT
25	Kareem Jackson	DB	30	5'10" 185	8	Alabama	ACT
29	Andre Hal	DB	26	5'10" 195	4	Vanderbilt	ACT
30	Kevin Johnson	DB	26	6'0" 185	3	Wake Forest	RES
32	Tyrann Mathieu	DB	26	5'9" 186	5	Louisiana State	ACT
33	A.J. Moore	DB	24	5'11" 202	R	Mississippi	ACT
34	Mike Tyson	DB	25	6'2" 200	1	Cincinnati	RES
35	Jermaine Kelly	DB	23	6'1" 195	R	San Jose State	RES
36	Kayvon Webster	DB	27	5'11" 190	5	South Florida	RES
37	A.J. Hendy	DB	25	6'0" 208	2	Maryland	ACT
39	Michael Hunter	DB	25	6'0" 192	2	Oklahoma State	DEV
39	Deante Burton	DB	24	6'2" 205	1	Kansas State	ACT
43	Shareece Wright	DB	31	5'11" 184	7	USC	ACT
44	Bryce Jones	DB	—	6'0" 180	1	Akron	CUT

Specialists5

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Nick Rose	K	24	6'2" 200	2	Texas	CUT
7	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	24	6'0" 190	2	UCLA	ACT
8	Trevor Daniel	P	25	6'1" 227	R	Tennessee	ACT
9	Shane Lechler	P	—	6'2" 230	18	Texas A&M	CUT
46	Jon Weeks	LS	32	5'10" 250	8	Baylor	ACT

Schedule

17 games

Houston Texans schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Patriots	L 20-27	+6	-0.150
2	@ Titans	L 17-20	-3.5	+0.104
3	vs Giants	L 22-27	-6.5	+0.064
4	@ Colts	W 37-34	-1	+0.083
5	vs Cowboys	W 19-16	-3.5	-0.049
6	vs Bills	W 20-13	-10.5	-0.288
7	@ Jaguars	W 20-7	+4	-0.014
8	vs Dolphins	W 42-23	-7.5	+0.325
9	@ Broncos	W 19-17	+1	+0.012
11	@ Commanders	W 23-21	-3	-0.085
12	vs Titans	W 34-17	-3.5	+0.224
13	vs Browns	W 29-13	-5	+0.066
14	vs Colts	L 21-24	-4	+0.055
15	@ Jets	W 29-22	-7	+0.072
16	@ Eagles	L 30-32	+1	+0.140
17	vs Jaguars	W 20-3	-7	-0.016
WC	vs Colts	L 7-21	-2	-0.125