AFC South · 2012
Indianapolis Colts
Record
11-5
Seed
#5
Net EPA
+0.005est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.035
- Success rate45.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.094
- EPA / rush-0.077
- Explosive rate9.1%
- CPOE-4.46
- Third-down rate42.3%
- Red-zone TD rate59.8%
- Points / drive1.62
- Turnover rate2.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.079
- Success rate allowed44.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.126
- EPA / rush allowed+0.007
- Explosive rate allowed8.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.9%
- Sack rate5.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.78
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.035 · 57th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.079 · 84th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
11-5
+1.0 vs line
Home
7-1
Away
4-4
As favorite
5-1
As dog
6-4
O/U
6-10
+0.1 vs total
Roster
60 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Drew Stanton | QB | 28 | 6'3" 243 | 5 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 12 | Andrew Luck | QB | 24 | 6'4" 234 | R | Stanford | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nathan Palmer | WR | 23 | 5'11" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 10 | Nathan Palmer | WR | 23 | 5'11" 195 | R | — | TRC |
| 11 | Donnie Avery | WR | 28 | 5'11" 200 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 13 | T.Y. Hilton | WR | 24 | 5'9" 183 | R | Florida International | ACT |
| 15 | LaVon Brazill | WR | 23 | 5'11" 191 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Vick Ballard | RB | 22 | 5'10" 217 | R | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 34 | Delone Carter | RB | 25 | 5'9" 238 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Deji Karim | RB | 27 | 5'8" 209 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Mewelde Moore | RB | 30 | 5'11" 209 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Coby Fleener | TE | 25 | 6'6" 252 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 83 | Dwayne Allen | TE | 22 | 6'3" 255 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 85 | Weslye Saunders | TE | 23 | 6'5" 270 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 85 | Weslye Saunders | TE | 23 | 6'5" 270 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Reggie Wayne | WR | 35 | 6'0" 198 | 11 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Bradley Sowell | T | 23 | 6'7" 320 | R | Mississippi | TRC |
| 60 | Bradley Sowell | T | 23 | 6'7" 320 | R | Mississippi | ACT |
| 62 | A.Q. Shipley | C | 26 | 6'1" 309 | 3 | Penn State | ACT |
| 64 | Samson Satele | C | 29 | 6'3" 299 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Winston Justice | T | 29 | 6'6" 317 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Jeff Linkenbach | T | 25 | 6'6" 323 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Seth Olsen | G | 28 | 6'5" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Anthony Castonzo | T | 24 | 6'7" 315 | 1 | Boston College | ACT |
| 75 | Mike McGlynn | G | 27 | 6'4" 327 | 4 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 76 | Joe Reitz | G | 27 | 6'7" 322 | 4 | Western Michigan | ACT |
| 78 | Tony Hills | T | 29 | 6'5" 304 | 4 | Texas | ACT |
Defensive front19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Jerrell Freeman | ILB | 26 | 6'0" 234 | 4 | Mary Hardin-Baylor | ACT |
| 51 | Pat Angerer | ILB | 25 | 6'0" 236 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Kavell Conner | ILB | 25 | 6'0" 243 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Mario Harvey | ILB | 25 | 6'0" 264 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Moise Fokou | ILB | 27 | 6'1" 236 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Kellen Heard | DT | 28 | 6'6" 339 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Kellen Heard | DT | 28 | 6'6" 339 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 66 | Clifton Geathers | DE | 26 | 6'7" 325 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 67 | Lawrence Guy | DE | 22 | 6'4" 304 | 1 | Arizona State | TRC |
| 67 | Lawrence Guy | DE | 22 | 6'4" 304 | 1 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 68 | Martin Tevaseu | NT | 26 | 6'2" 325 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Cory Redding | DE | 33 | 6'4" 315 | 9 | Texas | ACT |
| 91 | Ricardo Mathews | DE | 25 | 6'3" 310 | 2 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 92 | Jerry Hughes | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 254 | 2 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 93 | Dwight Freeney | OLB | 32 | 6'1" 268 | 10 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 97 | Jamaal Westerman | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 260 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jamaal Westerman | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 260 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | OLB | 31 | 6'2" 245 | 9 | Alabama A&M | ACT |
| 99 | Antonio Johnson | NT | 29 | 6'3" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Darius Butler | CB | 26 | 5'10" 185 | 3 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 21 | Teddy Williams | DB | 24 | 6'1" 201 | 2 | Texas-San Antonio | ACT |
| 23 | Vontae Davis | CB | 24 | 5'11" 205 | 3 | Illinois | ACT |
| 26 | Delano Howell | FS | 24 | 5'11" 201 | R | — | TRD |
| 26 | Delano Howell | FS | 24 | 5'11" 201 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Josh Gordy | CB | 25 | 5'11" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Tom Zbikowski | SS | 27 | 5'11" 200 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Cassius Vaughn | CB | 26 | 5'11" 195 | 2 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 35 | Joe Lefeged | FS | 24 | 6'0" 205 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Sergio Brown | SS | 24 | 6'2" 210 | 2 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 41 | Antoine Bethea | FS | 28 | 5'11" 196 | 6 | Howard | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat McAfee | P | 25 | 6'1" 220 | 3 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 41 | 6'0" 206 | 16 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 45 | Matt Overton | LS | 27 | 6'1" 254 | 2 | Western Washington | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bears | L 21-41 | +10 | -0.059 |
| 2 | vs Vikings | W 23-20 | +3 | -0.003 |
| 3 | vs Jaguars | L 17-22 | -3 | +0.043 |
| 5 | vs Packers | W 30-27 | +6.5 | +0.074 |
| 6 | @ Jets | L 9-35 | +3.5 | -0.099 |
| 7 | vs Browns | W 17-13 | -1 | +0.036 |
| 8 | @ Titans | W 19-13 | +3.5 | +0.214 |
| 9 | vs Dolphins | W 23-20 | +2.5 | +0.201 |
| 10 | @ Jaguars | W 27-10 | -3 | +0.128 |
| 11 | @ Patriots | L 24-59 | +10 | -0.024 |
| 12 | vs Bills | W 20-13 | -2 | -0.011 |
| 13 | @ Lions | W 35-33 | +7 | +0.047 |
| 14 | vs Titans | W 27-23 | -3.5 | -0.108 |
| 15 | @ Texans | L 17-29 | +10.5 | -0.057 |
| 16 | @ Chiefs | W 20-13 | -4.5 | -0.005 |
| 17 | vs Texans | W 28-16 | +6.5 | +0.117 |
| WC | @ Ravens | L 9-24 | +7.5 | -0.044 |