AFC East · 2010
New England Patriots
Record
14-2
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.219est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.191
- Success rate48.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.265
- EPA / rush+0.096
- Explosive rate10.2%
- CPOE+2.77
- Third-down rate48.3%
- Red-zone TD rate65.4%
- Points / drive2.76
- Turnover rate0.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.017
- Success rate allowed45.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.018
- EPA / rush allowed-0.079
- Explosive rate allowed8.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)14.2%
- Sack rate5.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.53
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.191 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.017 · 50th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-5-1
+8.6 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
6-2
As favorite
7-5-1
As dog
3-0
O/U
13-3
+7.1 vs total
Roster
59 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Hoyer | QB | 26 | 6'2" 215 | 1 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 33 | 6'4" 225 | 10 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 24 | 5'10" 198 | 1 | Kent State | ACT |
| 17 | Taylor Price | WR | 24 | 6'0" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 26 | 6'0" 200 | 2 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Brandon Tate | WR | 24 | 6'1" 195 | 1 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 21 | Fred Taylor | RB | 34 | 6'1" 228 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Fred Taylor | RB | 34 | 6'1" 228 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Thomas Clayton | RB | 26 | 5'11" 222 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 22 | Thomas Clayton | RB | 26 | 5'11" 222 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Sammy Morris | RB | 33 | 6'0" 220 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Danny Woodhead | WR | 25 | 5'8" 195 | 2 | Chadron State | TRT |
| 39 | Danny Woodhead | WR | 25 | 5'8" 195 | 2 | Chadron State | ACT |
| 42 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis | RB | 25 | 5'11" 215 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Alge Crumpler | TE | 34 | 6'2" 275 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Wes Welker | WR | 29 | 5'9" 185 | 6 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 84 | Deion Branch | WR | 31 | 5'9" 195 | 8 | — | TRC |
| 84 | Deion Branch | WR | 31 | 5'9" 195 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Aaron Hernandez | TE | 22 | 6'1" 245 | R | — | ACT |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 21 | 6'6" 265 | R | Arizona | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Rich Ohrnberger | G | 24 | 6'2" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Ryan Wendell | C | 24 | 6'2" 290 | 2 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | G | 29 | 6'4" 313 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Mark LeVoir | T | 28 | 6'7" 310 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 32 | 6'2" 296 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Quinn Ojinnaka | G | 26 | 6'5" 295 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 28 | 6'4" 310 | 5 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 32 | 6'4" 305 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | T | 26 | 6'8" 315 | 1 | Houston | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 255 | 4 | Purdue | ACT |
| 51 | Jerod Mayo | ILB | 24 | 6'1" 245 | 2 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 52 | Dane Fletcher | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 244 | R | Montana State | ACT |
| 53 | Marques Murrell | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Brandon Spikes | ILB | 24 | 6'2" 250 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 58 | Tracy White | ILB | 29 | 6'0" 230 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Gary Guyton | ILB | 26 | 6'3" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Landon Cohen | DT | 24 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Landon Cohen | DT | 24 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 71 | Brandon Deaderick | DE | 23 | 6'4" 305 | R | — | ACT |
| 74 | Kyle Love | NT | 25 | 6'1" 310 | R | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 30 | 6'2" 325 | 6 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 91 | Myron Pryor | DE | 24 | 6'1" 310 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Gerard Warren | DE | 32 | 6'4" 330 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Tully Banta-Cain | OLB | 30 | 6'2" 250 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Jermaine Cunningham | DE | 22 | 6'3" 260 | R | — | ACT |
| 98 | Eric Moore | DE | 29 | 6'4" 268 | 5 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Patrick Chung | SS | 23 | 5'11" 212 | 1 | Oregon | ACT |
| 27 | Kyle Arrington | CB | 24 | 5'10" 196 | 2 | Hofstra | ACT |
| 28 | Darius Butler | CB | 24 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 29 | Tony Carter | DB | 24 | 5'9" 175 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Brandon Meriweather | SS | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | CB | 23 | 5'10" 193 | R | Rutgers | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | FS | 28 | 5'10" 210 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Sergio Brown | DB | 22 | 6'2" 210 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 44 | Jarrad Page | FS | 27 | 6'0" 225 | 4 | — | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shayne Graham | K | 34 | 6'0" 214 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 5 | Shayne Graham | K | 34 | 6'0" 214 | 10 | — | TRC |
| 14 | Zoltan Mesko | P | 24 | 6'4" 231 | R | — | ACT |
| 48 | Matt Katula | LS | 28 | 6'6" 265 | 5 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bengals | W 38-24 | -5 | +0.220 |
| 2 | @ Jets | L 14-28 | -3 | +0.071 |
| 3 | vs Bills | W 38-30 | -14 | +0.281 |
| 4 | @ Dolphins | W 41-14 | +1 | +0.140 |
| 6 | vs Ravens | W 23-20 | -3 | +0.014 |
| 7 | @ Chargers | W 23-20 | +2.5 | -0.019 |
| 8 | vs Vikings | W 28-18 | -5 | +0.309 |
| 9 | @ Browns | L 14-34 | -4 | +0.013 |
| 10 | @ Steelers | W 39-26 | +4.5 | +0.256 |
| 11 | vs Colts | W 31-28 | -4 | +0.299 |
| 12 | @ Lions | W 45-24 | -6 | +0.452 |
| 13 | vs Jets | W 45-3 | -4 | +0.430 |
| 14 | @ Bears | W 36-7 | -3 | +0.236 |
| 15 | vs Packers | W 31-27 | -14 | +0.088 |
| 16 | @ Bills | W 34-3 | -7 | +0.134 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | W 38-7 | -4 | +0.166 |
| DIV | vs Jets | L 21-28 | -9.5 | -0.059 |