AFC East · 2019
New England Patriots
Record
12-4
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.105est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.010
- Success rate42.6%
- EPA / dropback+0.065
- EPA / rush-0.078
- Explosive rate9.2%
- CPOE-2.06
- Third-down rate39.1%
- Red-zone TD rate57.0%
- Points / drive1.85
- Turnover rate1.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.217
- Success rate allowed38.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.241
- EPA / rush allowed-0.168
- Explosive rate allowed7.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.6%
- Sack rate7.1%
- Points / drive allowed0.87
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.010 · 56th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.217 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
+2.4 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
5-3
As favorite
8-7-1
As dog
0-0
O/U
7-9
-4.1 vs total
Roster
84 players
46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jarrett Stidham | QB | 23 | 6'3" 214 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 6 | Cody Kessler | QB | 26 | 6'1" 215 | 3 | Southern California | INA |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 42 | 6'4" 225 | 19 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers24
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Meredith | WR | 28 | 6'3" 207 | 4 | Illinois State | CUT |
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 33 | 5'10" 200 | 10 | Kent State | ACT |
| 13 | Phillip Dorsett | WR | 26 | 5'10" 192 | 4 | Miami | ACT |
| 14 | Mohamed Sanu | WR | 30 | 6'2" 215 | 7 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 15 | N'Keal Harry | WR | 23 | 6'4" 225 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 16 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | 24 | 6'2" 200 | R | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 17 | Antonio Brown | WR | 31 | 5'10" 185 | 9 | Central Michigan | CUT |
| 17 | Damoun Patterson | WR | — | 6'2" 190 | 1 | Youngstown State | CUT |
| 18 | Matthew Slater | WR | 35 | 6'0" 205 | 11 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Ryan Davis | WR | — | 5'9" 188 | R | Auburn | CUT |
| 26 | Sony Michel | RB | 24 | 5'11" 215 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 28 | James White | RB | 27 | 5'10" 205 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 34 | Rex Burkhead | RB | 29 | 5'10" 215 | 6 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 37 | Damien Harris | RB | 22 | 5'11" 215 | R | Alabama | INA |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 29 | 5'11" 220 | 7 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 46 | James Develin | RB | 31 | 6'3" 255 | 9 | Brown | RES |
| 47 | Jakob Johnson | TE | 26 | 6'3" 255 | R | Tennessee | RES |
| 80 | Gunner Olszewski | WR | 24 | 6'0" 190 | R | Bemidji State | RES |
| 82 | Maurice Harris | WR | 28 | 6'3" 205 | 3 | California | CUT |
| 83 | Matt LaCosse | TE | 28 | 6'6" 255 | 4 | Illinois | ACT |
| 83 | Devin Ross | WR | 24 | 5'9" 192 | 1 | Colorado | DEV |
| 84 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 40 | 6'3" 255 | 15 | Georgia | ACT |
| 84 | Quincy Adeboyejo | WR | 24 | 6'3" 200 | 2 | Mississippi | DEV |
| 85 | Ryan Izzo | TE | 25 | 6'5" 255 | 1 | Florida State | INA |
Offensive line15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | David Andrews | OL | 27 | 6'3" 300 | 4 | Georgia | RES |
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | OL | 31 | 6'6" 335 | 8 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 62 | Joe Thuney | OL | 28 | 6'5" 308 | 3 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 63 | Martez Ivey | OL | — | 6'5" 306 | R | Florida | CUT |
| 64 | Hjalte Froholdt | OL | 23 | 6'5" 310 | R | Arkansas | RES |
| 65 | Jermaine Eluemunor | OL | 26 | 6'4" 335 | 2 | Texas A&M | INA |
| 65 | Yodny Cajuste | OL | 23 | 6'5" 310 | R | West Virginia | RSN |
| 66 | James Ferentz | OL | 30 | 6'2" 300 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 66 | Najee Toran | OL | 25 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | UCLA | DEV |
| 69 | Shaq Mason | OL | 26 | 6'1" 310 | 4 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 72 | Marshall Newhouse | OL | 32 | 6'4" 328 | 9 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 74 | Cole Croston | OL | — | 6'5" 310 | 2 | Iowa | CUT |
| 74 | Korey Cunningham | OL | 24 | 6'6" 305 | 1 | Cincinnati | INA |
| 75 | Ted Karras | OL | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | Illinois | ACT |
| 76 | Isaiah Wynn | OL | 25 | 6'2" 310 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
Defensive front22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Brandon King | LB | 26 | 6'2" 220 | 4 | Auburn | RES |
| 50 | Chase Winovich | DL | 24 | 6'3" 251 | R | Michigan | ACT |
| 51 | Ja'Whaun Bentley | LB | 23 | 6'2" 255 | 1 | Purdue | ACT |
| 52 | Elandon Roberts | LB | 25 | 6'0" 238 | 3 | Houston | ACT |
| 53 | Kyle Van Noy | LB | 28 | 6'3" 250 | 5 | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | LB | 29 | 6'3" 260 | 7 | Alabama | ACT |
| 55 | John Simon | DL | 30 | 6'2" 260 | 6 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 55 | Eric Lee | DL | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 3 | South Florida | DEV |
| 58 | Jamie Collins | LB | 31 | 6'3" 255 | 6 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 58 | Keionta Davis | DL | 25 | 6'4" 280 | 2 | Tennessee-Chattanooga | RES |
| 59 | Terez Hall | LB | 24 | 6'2" 235 | R | Missouri | DEV |
| 70 | Adam Butler | DL | 25 | 6'5" 300 | 2 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 71 | Danny Shelton | DL | 26 | 6'2" 345 | 4 | Washington | ACT |
| 75 | David Parry | DL | — | 6'2" 315 | 4 | Stanford | CUT |
| 90 | Shilique Calhoun | LB | 27 | 6'4" 260 | 3 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 90 | Tashawn Bower | DL | 24 | 6'5" 250 | 2 | Louisiana State | DEV |
| 91 | Deatrich Wise | DL | 25 | 6'5" 275 | 2 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 92 | Nick Thurman | DL | 24 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | Houston | DEV |
| 93 | Lawrence Guy | DL | 29 | 6'4" 315 | 8 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Rivers | DL | 25 | 6'5" 250 | 2 | Youngstown State | RES |
| 96 | Scooby Wright | LB | 25 | 6'0" 240 | 3 | Arizona | CUT |
| 99 | Byron Cowart | DL | 23 | 6'3" 300 | R | Maryland | INA |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Duron Harmon | DB | 28 | 6'1" 205 | 6 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 22 | Obi Melifonwu | DB | 25 | 6'4" 224 | 2 | Connecticut | NWT |
| 23 | Patrick Chung | DB | 32 | 5'11" 215 | 10 | Oregon | ACT |
| 24 | Stephon Gilmore | DB | 30 | 6'1" 202 | 7 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Terrence Brooks | DB | 27 | 5'11" 205 | 5 | Florida State | ACT |
| 27 | J.C. Jackson | DB | 25 | 6'1" 198 | 1 | Maryland | ACT |
| 29 | Justin Bethel | DB | 29 | 6'0" 200 | 7 | Presbyterian | ACT |
| 30 | Jason McCourty | DB | 32 | 5'11" 195 | 10 | Rutgers | INA |
| 31 | Jonathan Jones | DB | 27 | 5'10" 190 | 3 | Auburn | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | DB | 32 | 5'10" 195 | 9 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 33 | Joejuan Williams | DB | 23 | 6'3" 212 | R | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 35 | Adarius Pickett | DB | 24 | 5'11" 198 | R | UCLA | DEV |
| 41 | D'Angelo Ross | DB | 24 | 5'9" 190 | R | New Mexico | RES |
| 42 | Malik Gant | DB | 22 | 6'2" 203 | R | Marshall | RES |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | DB | 32 | 6'0" 215 | 7 | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mike Nugent | K | 37 | 5'10" 190 | 14 | Ohio State | CUT |
| 2 | Nick Folk | K | 36 | 6'1" 222 | 12 | Arizona | ACT |
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 35 | 6'1" 215 | 13 | Memphis | RES |
| 7 | Jake Bailey | P | 22 | 6'2" 205 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 49 | Joe Cardona | LS | 27 | 6'3" 245 | 4 | Navy | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Steelers | W 33-3 | -5.5 | +0.220 |
| 2 | @ Dolphins | W 43-0 | -18 | +0.178 |
| 3 | vs Jets | W 30-14 | -20.5 | -0.022 |
| 4 | @ Bills | W 16-10 | -7 | -0.207 |
| 5 | @ Commanders | W 33-7 | -15.5 | +0.144 |
| 6 | vs Giants | W 35-14 | -16.5 | -0.041 |
| 7 | @ Jets | W 33-0 | -9.5 | +0.066 |
| 8 | vs Browns | W 27-13 | -9.5 | -0.001 |
| 9 | @ Ravens | L 20-37 | -3 | -0.130 |
| 11 | @ Eagles | W 17-10 | -4.5 | -0.079 |
| 12 | vs Cowboys | W 13-9 | -5.5 | -0.136 |
| 13 | @ Texans | L 22-28 | -3.5 | +0.068 |
| 14 | vs Chiefs | L 16-23 | -3 | -0.137 |
| 15 | @ Bengals | W 34-13 | -10.5 | +0.059 |
| 16 | vs Bills | W 24-17 | -7 | +0.066 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | L 24-27 | -17.5 | +0.039 |
| WC | vs Titans | L 13-20 | -4.5 | -0.092 |