AFC East · 2021

New England Patriots

Record

10-7

Seed

Net EPA

+0.086est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.070
Success rate48.6%
EPA / dropback+0.133
EPA / rush-0.012
Explosive rate11.1%
CPOE+2.93
Third-down rate45.5%
Red-zone TD rate62.3%
Points / drive2.41
Turnover rate2.0%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.063
Success rate allowed42.5%
EPA / dropback allowed-0.051
EPA / rush allowed-0.080
Explosive rate allowed7.4%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.7%
Sack rate5.7%
Points / drive allowed1.55

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.070 · 70th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.063 · 11th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

10-7

+6.0 vs line

Home

5-4

Away

5-3

As favorite

7-6

As dog

3-1

O/U

9-8

+0.7 vs total

Roster

85 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
4	Jarrett Stidham	QB	25	6'3" 214	2	Auburn	INA
5	Brian Hoyer	QB	37	6'2" 215	12	Michigan State	ACT
10	Mac Jones	QB	24	6'3" 214	R	Alabama	ACT

Backs & receivers23

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	N'Keal Harry	WR	25	6'4" 225	2	Arizona State	ACT
15	Nelson Agholor	WR	28	6'0" 198	6	Southern California	ACT
16	Jakobi Meyers	WR	26	6'2" 200	2	North Carolina State	ACT
16	Jaylen Smith	WR	24	6'2" 220	2	Louisville	DEV
17	Kristian Wilkerson	WR	24	6'1" 214	1	Southeast Missouri	INA
18	Matt Slater	WR	37	6'0" 205	13	UCLA	ACT
19	Malcolm Perry	RB	24	5'10" 190	1	Navy	RES
25	Brandon Bolden	RB	31	5'11" 220	9	Mississippi	ACT
28	James White	RB	29	5'10" 205	7	Wisconsin	RES
34	Devine Ozigbo	RB	26	6'2" 225	2	Nebraska	DEV
37	Damien Harris	RB	24	5'11" 215	2	Alabama	ACT
38	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	23	6'0" 246	R	Oklahoma	ACT
42	J.J. Taylor	RB	23	5'6" 185	1	Arizona	INA
44	Dalton Keene	TE	22	6'4" 251	1	Virginia Tech	RES
47	Jakob Johnson	RB	28	6'3" 255	2	Tennessee	ACT
80	Gunner Olszewski	WR	26	6'0" 190	2	Bemidji State	ACT
81	Jonnu Smith	TE	26	6'3" 248	4	Florida International	ACT
83	Matt LaCosse	TE	30	6'6" 255	6	Illinois	DEV
84	Kendrick Bourne	WR	26	6'1" 203	4	Eastern Washington	ACT
85	Hunter Henry	TE	28	6'5" 250	5	Arkansas	ACT
86	Devin Asiasi	TE	24	6'3" 260	1	UCLA	INA
87	Tre Nixon	WR	23	6'0" 190	R	Central Florida	DEV
88	Troy Fumagalli	TE	26	6'6" 248	3	Wisconsin	RES

Offensive line12

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	David Andrews	OL	29	6'3" 300	6	Georgia	ACT
64	Alex Redmond	OL	26	6'5" 320	5	UCLA	DEV
65	James Ferentz	OL	32	6'2" 300	7	Iowa	DEV
67	Ted Karras	OL	28	6'4" 305	5	Illinois	ACT
68	William Sherman	OL	22	6'4" 305	R	Colorado	DEV
69	Shaquille Mason	OL	28	6'1" 310	6	Georgia Tech	ACT
70	Yasir Durant	OL	23	6'7" 330	1	Missouri	ACT
71	Michael Onwenu	OL	25	6'3" 350	1	Michigan	ACT
72	Yodny Cajuste	OL	25	6'5" 310	2	West Virginia	ACT
75	Justin Herron	OL	27	6'5" 290	1	Wake Forest	ACT
76	Isaiah Wynn	OL	27	6'2" 310	3	Georgia	INA
77	Trenton Brown	OL	28	6'8" 380	6	Florida	ACT

Defensive front25

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Ja'Whaun Bentley	LB	25	6'2" 255	3	Purdue	ACT
9	Matt Judon	LB	29	6'3" 261	5	Grand Valley State	ACT
36	Brandon King	LB	28	6'2" 220	6	Auburn	ACT
45	Cameron McGrone	LB	21	6'1" 236	R	Michigan	RES
46	Raekwon McMillan	LB	27	6'2" 242	4	Ohio State	RES
48	Jahlani Tavai	LB	26	6'2" 250	2	Hawaii	ACT
49	LaRoy Reynolds	LB	32	6'1" 240	8	Virginia	DEV
50	Chase Winovich	DL	26	6'3" 251	2	Michigan	INA
51	Ronnie Perkins	DL	23	6'3" 247	R	Oklahoma	RES
52	Harvey Langi	LB	30	6'2" 252	4	Brigham Young	RES
53	Kyle Van Noy	LB	30	6'3" 250	7	Brigham Young	ACT
54	Dont'a Hightower	LB	31	6'3" 260	9	Alabama	ACT
55	Josh Uche	LB	24	6'3" 250	1	Michigan	ACT
58	Jamie Collins	LB	33	6'3" 255	8	Southern Mississippi	ACT
58	Anfernee Jennings	LB	25	6'3" 259	1	Alabama	RES
59	Terez Hall	LB	26	6'2" 235	2	Missouri	RES
90	Christian Barmore	DL	22	6'5" 310	R	Alabama	ACT
91	Deatrich Wise	DL	27	6'5" 275	4	Arkansas	ACT
92	Davon Godchaux	DL	28	6'3" 311	4	Louisiana State	ACT
93	Lawrence Guy	DL	31	6'4" 315	10	Arizona State	ACT
94	Henry Anderson	DL	30	6'6" 301	6	Stanford	RES
95	Daniel Ekuale	DL	27	6'3" 300	3	Washington State	ACT
97	Bill Murray	DL	24	6'4" 280	1	William & Mary	DEV
98	Carl Davis	DL	29	6'5" 320	6	Iowa	INA
99	Byron Cowart	DL	25	6'3" 300	2	Maryland	RES

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Jalen Mills	DB	27	6'0" 191	5	Louisiana State	RES
13	De'Vante Bausby	DB	28	6'2" 190	6	Pittsburg State	ACT
21	Adrian Phillips	DB	29	5'11" 210	7	Texas	ACT
21	Cre'von LeBlanc	DB	27	5'10" 190	5	Florida Atlantic	DEV
22	Cody Davis	DB	32	6'2" 203	8	Texas Tech	ACT
23	Patrick Chung	DB	34	5'11" 215	12	Oregon	RET
23	Kyle Dugger	DB	25	6'2" 216	1	Lenoir-Rhyne	ACT
26	Shaun Wade	DB	24	6'1" 195	R	Ohio State	RES
27	J.C. Jackson	DB	27	6'1" 198	3	Maryland	ACT
29	Justin Bethel	DB	31	6'0" 200	9	Presbyterian	ACT
30	Sean Davis	DB	29	6'1" 202	5	Maryland	DEV
31	Jonathan Jones	DB	29	5'10" 190	5	Auburn	RES
31	D.J. Daniel	DB	24	6'1" 185	R	Georgia	DEV
32	Devin McCourty	DB	34	5'10" 195	11	Rutgers	ACT
33	Joejuan Williams	DB	25	6'3" 212	2	Vanderbilt	ACT
34	Joshuah Bledsoe	DB	24	5'11" 198	R	Missouri	RES
39	D'Angelo Ross	DB	26	5'9" 190	2	New Mexico	ACT
41	Myles Bryant	DB	23	5'9" 180	1	Washington	ACT

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Quinn Nordin	K	23	6'1" 215	R	Michigan	DEV
6	Nick Folk	K	38	6'1" 222	14	Arizona	ACT
7	Jake Bailey	P	24	6'2" 205	2	Stanford	ACT
49	Joe Cardona	LS	29	6'3" 245	6	Navy	ACT

Schedule

18 games

New England Patriots schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Dolphins	L 16-17	-3.5	+0.009
2	@ Jets	W 25-6	-5.5	-0.015
3	vs Saints	L 13-28	-3	-0.260
4	vs Buccaneers	L 17-19	+6	-0.052
5	@ Texans	W 25-22	-8	+0.043
6	vs Cowboys	L 29-35	+3.5	-0.040
7	vs Jets	W 54-13	-7	+0.481
8	@ Chargers	W 27-24	+3.5	-0.057
9	@ Panthers	W 24-6	-3.5	-0.034
10	vs Browns	W 45-7	-2.5	+0.462
11	@ Falcons	W 25-0	-7	-0.042
12	vs Titans	W 36-13	-7.5	+0.225
13	@ Bills	W 14-10	+3	-0.042
15	@ Colts	L 17-27	-1	-0.102
16	vs Bills	L 21-33	-1	+0.103
17	vs Jaguars	W 50-10	-17.5	+0.423
18	@ Dolphins	L 24-33	-6	+0.003
WC	@ Bills	L 17-47	+4.5	+0.108