AFC East · 2023
New England Patriots
Record
4-13
Net EPA
-0.095est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.189
- Success rate38.9%
- EPA / dropback-0.226
- EPA / rush-0.128
- Explosive rate5.5%
- CPOE-3.39
- Third-down rate30.8%
- Red-zone TD rate52.2%
- Points / drive1.00
- Turnover rate2.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.059
- Success rate allowed41.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.026
- EPA / rush allowed-0.187
- Explosive rate allowed6.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.7%
- Sack rate5.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.66
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.189 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.059 · 23th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
5-11-1
-4.2 vs line
Home
1-7-1
Away
4-4
As favorite
1-4
As dog
4-7-1
O/U
7-10
-4.0 vs total
Roster
84 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bailey Zappe | QB | 24 | 6'1" 220 | 1 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 10 | Mac Jones | QB | 26 | 6'3" 214 | 2 | Alabama | INA |
| 13 | Nathan Rourke | QB | 25 | 6'1" 210 | 3 | Ohio | ACT |
Backs & receivers21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DeVante Parker | WR | 30 | 6'3" 216 | 8 | Louisville | ACT |
| 7 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | 28 | 6'1" 215 | 6 | Southern California | RES |
| 11 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | 23 | 6'2" 180 | 1 | Baylor | INA |
| 14 | Jalen Hurd | WR | 27 | 6'4" 227 | 4 | Baylor | RET |
| 15 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | 28 | 6'0" 228 | 7 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 39 | 6'0" 205 | 15 | UCLA | ACT |
| 21 | Ke'Shawn Vaughn | RB | 26 | 5'10" 215 | 3 | Vanderbilt | DEV |
| 36 | Kevin Harris | RB | 24 | 5'10" 220 | 1 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 38 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 25 | 6'0" 246 | 2 | Oklahoma | RES |
| 39 | Jamycal Hasty | RB | 28 | 5'8" 205 | 3 | Baylor | INA |
| 46 | La'Michael Pettway | TE | 26 | 6'1" 223 | 3 | Iowa State | INA |
| 80 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | 21 | 6'0" 205 | R | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 81 | Demario Douglas | WR | 24 | 5'8" 170 | R | Liberty | ACT |
| 82 | Tre Nixon | WR | 25 | 6'2" 190 | 2 | Central Florida | RES |
| 82 | T.J. Luther | WR | 23 | 6'1" 180 | R | Gardner-Webb | DEV |
| 83 | Jalen Reagor | WR | 24 | 5'11" 195 | 3 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 84 | Kendrick Bourne | WR | 28 | 6'1" 203 | 6 | Eastern Washington | RES |
| 85 | Hunter Henry | TE | 30 | 6'5" 250 | 7 | Arkansas | RES |
| 86 | Pharaoh Brown | TE | 29 | 6'6" 258 | 6 | Oregon | ACT |
| 87 | Matt Sokol | TE | 29 | 6'5" 260 | 4 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 88 | Mike Gesicki | TE | 29 | 6'6" 252 | 5 | Penn State | ACT |
Offensive line15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | Vederian Lowe | OL | 24 | 6'6" 320 | 1 | Illinois | ACT |
| 60 | David Andrews | OL | 31 | 6'3" 300 | 8 | Georgia | ACT |
| 62 | Sidy Sow | OL | 25 | 6'5" 334 | R | Eastern Michigan | ACT |
| 64 | Andrew Stueber | OL | 24 | 6'6" 338 | 1 | Michigan | ACT |
| 65 | James Ferentz | OL | 34 | 6'2" 300 | 9 | Iowa | ACT |
| 66 | Kody Russey | OL | 25 | 6'2" 292 | 1 | Houston | DEV |
| 67 | Jake Andrews | OL | 25 | 6'3" 325 | R | Troy | ACT |
| 68 | Atonio Mafi | OL | 24 | 6'3" 339 | R | UCLA | ACT |
| 69 | Cole Strange | OL | 25 | 6'5" 301 | 1 | Chattanooga | RES |
| 71 | Michael Onwenu | OL | 27 | 6'3" 350 | 3 | Michigan | ACT |
| 72 | Tyrone Wheatley | OL | 26 | 6'6" 265 | 2 | Morgan State | RES |
| 74 | Riley Reiff | OL | 36 | 6'6" 305 | 11 | Iowa | RES |
| 75 | Conor McDermott | OL | 32 | 6'8" 305 | 6 | UCLA | RES |
| 76 | Calvin Anderson | OL | 27 | 6'5" 300 | 4 | Texas | RES |
| 77 | Trenton Brown | OL | 30 | 6'8" 380 | 8 | Florida | INA |
Defensive front22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mack Wilson | LB | 25 | 6'1" 240 | 4 | Alabama | ACT |
| 8 | Ja'Whaun Bentley | LB | 27 | 6'2" 255 | 5 | Purdue | ACT |
| 9 | Matt Judon | LB | 31 | 6'3" 261 | 7 | Grand Valley State | RES |
| 30 | Marte Mapu | LB | 25 | 6'3" 216 | R | Sacramento State | ACT |
| 33 | Anfernee Jennings | LB | 27 | 6'3" 259 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
| 44 | Joe Giles-Harris | LB | 26 | 6'2" 234 | 4 | Duke | DEV |
| 45 | Chris Board | LB | 28 | 6'2" 230 | 5 | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 48 | Jahlani Tavai | LB | 28 | 6'2" 250 | 4 | Hawaii | ACT |
| 50 | Raekwon McMillan | LB | 29 | 6'2" 242 | 6 | Ohio State | RES |
| 53 | Christian Elliss | LB | 24 | 6'3" 233 | 2 | Idaho | ACT |
| 55 | Josh Uche | LB | 26 | 6'3" 250 | 3 | Michigan | ACT |
| 56 | William Bradley-King | DL | 27 | 6'3" 248 | 2 | Baylor | DEV |
| 59 | Terez Hall | LB | 28 | 6'2" 235 | 4 | Missouri | RES |
| 70 | Jeremiah Pharms | DL | 28 | 6'3" 270 | 3 | Friends | ACT |
| 90 | Christian Barmore | DL | 24 | 6'5" 310 | 2 | Alabama | ACT |
| 91 | Deatrich Wise | DL | 29 | 6'6" 275 | 6 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 92 | Davon Godchaux | DL | 30 | 6'3" 311 | 6 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 93 | Lawrence Guy | DL | 33 | 6'4" 315 | 12 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 95 | Daniel Ekuale | DL | 29 | 6'3" 300 | 5 | Washington State | RES |
| 96 | Sam Roberts | DL | 25 | 6'5" 292 | 1 | Northwest Missouri State | INA |
| 97 | Trysten Hill | DL | 25 | 6'3" 308 | 4 | Central Florida | DEV |
| 99 | Keion White | DL | 24 | 6'5" 286 | R | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jalen Mills | DB | 29 | 6'0" 191 | 7 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 5 | Jabrill Peppers | DB | 29 | 5'11" 213 | 6 | Michigan | ACT |
| 6 | Christian Gonzalez | DB | 21 | 6'2" 201 | R | Oregon | RES |
| 19 | Marco Wilson | DB | 24 | 6'0" 191 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 21 | Adrian Phillips | DB | 31 | 5'11" 210 | 9 | Texas | ACT |
| 22 | Cody Davis | DB | 34 | 6'2" 203 | 10 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 23 | Kyle Dugger | DB | 27 | 6'2" 216 | 3 | Lenoir-Rhyne | ACT |
| 24 | Joshuah Bledsoe | DB | 26 | 5'11" 198 | 2 | Missouri | INA |
| 25 | Marcus Jones | DB | 26 | 5'8" 185 | 1 | Houston | RES |
| 26 | Shaun Wade | DB | 26 | 6'1" 195 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 27 | Myles Bryant | DB | 25 | 5'9" 180 | 3 | Washington | ACT |
| 27 | William Hooper | DB | 23 | 6'0" 185 | R | Northwestern State, La. | DEV |
| 28 | Alex Austin | DB | 22 | 6'1" 191 | R | Oregon State | ACT |
| 29 | J.C. Jackson | DB | 29 | 6'1" 198 | 5 | Maryland | RES |
| 29 | Isaiah Bolden | DB | 25 | 6'2" 205 | R | Jackson State | RES |
| 31 | Jonathan Jones | DB | 31 | 5'10" 190 | 7 | Auburn | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | DB | 36 | 5'10" 195 | 13 | Rutgers | RET |
| 35 | Breon Borders | DB | 28 | 6'0" 189 | 6 | Duke | DEV |
| 41 | Brenden Schooler | DB | 26 | 6'1" 206 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 48 | Azizi Hearn | DB | 24 | 6'2" 206 | R | UCLA | DEV |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bryce Baringer | P | 24 | 6'3" 215 | R | Michigan State | ACT |
| 37 | Chad Ryland | K | 25 | 6'0" 183 | R | Maryland | ACT |
| 49 | Joe Cardona | LS | 31 | 6'3" 245 | 8 | Navy | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eagles | L 20-25 | +3.5 | -0.192 |
| 2 | vs Dolphins | L 17-24 | +2 | -0.074 |
| 3 | @ Jets | W 15-10 | -2.5 | -0.037 |
| 4 | @ Cowboys | L 3-38 | +6.5 | -0.478 |
| 5 | vs Saints | L 0-34 | -2.5 | -0.716 |
| 6 | @ Raiders | L 17-21 | +3 | +0.005 |
| 7 | vs Bills | W 29-25 | +7.5 | +0.179 |
| 8 | @ Dolphins | L 17-31 | +7.5 | -0.212 |
| 9 | vs Commanders | L 17-20 | -2.5 | -0.049 |
| 10 | vs Colts | L 6-10 | +1 | -0.006 |
| 12 | @ Giants | L 7-10 | -4.5 | -0.164 |
| 13 | vs Chargers | L 0-6 | +4.5 | -0.259 |
| 14 | @ Steelers | W 21-18 | +6 | -0.095 |
| 15 | vs Chiefs | L 17-27 | +10 | -0.358 |
| 16 | @ Broncos | W 26-23 | +7 | -0.108 |
| 17 | @ Bills | L 21-27 | +15 | -0.283 |
| 18 | vs Jets | L 3-17 | -2.5 | -0.559 |